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HomeMy WebLinkAboutNSD_JeffCo_DosewallipsBrinnonAssessment_022125 Tami Pokorny Natural Resources Coordinator Jefferson County Public Health Department 615 Sheridan Street Port Townsend, WA 98368 1900 N. Northlake Way, Suite 211 Seattle, WA 98103 Dosewallips River – Brinnon Reach Draft Existing Conditions Assessment Memo February 2025 THIS PAGE INTENTIONALLY LEFT BLANK JEFFERSON COUNTY  BRINNON REACH EXISTING CONDITIONS ASSESSMENT Natural Systems Design i February 2025 TABLE OF CONTENTS 1 Project background ............................................................................................................................................ 1 1.1 Assessment Goals .................................................................................................................................... 2 1.2 Reach History ........................................................................................................................................... 2 1.3 Previous Restoration Efforts .................................................................................................................... 4 2 Current Conditions ............................................................................................................................................. 4 2.1 Flows During 2024 Site Visit ..................................................................................................................... 4 2.2 Reach Geology ......................................................................................................................................... 5 2.3 Channel and Floodplain Morphology ....................................................................................................... 7 2.4 Sediment .................................................................................................................................................. 9 2.5 Channel Migration ................................................................................................................................. 12 2.6 Aquatic Habitat Conditions .................................................................................................................... 15 2.7 Salmonid Use, Life History, and Limiting Factors in the Lower Dosewallips River ................................ 18 2.7.1 Puget Sound Chinook (Oncorhynchus tshawytscha) ................................................................ 19 2.7.2 Hood Canal Summer Chum ESU (Oncorhynchus keta) ............................................................. 19 2.8 Large Wood Distribution and Function .................................................................................................. 20 2.9 Riparian and Wetland Communities ...................................................................................................... 24 2.10 Nearshore and Estuary Habitat .............................................................................................................. 29 3 Hydrology and Hydraulics ................................................................................................................................ 29 3.1 Hydrology ............................................................................................................................................... 29 3.1.1 Tidal Datums ............................................................................................................................. 32 3.1.2 Hydrologic Effects of Climate Change ....................................................................................... 33 3.1.3 Future Tidal Datums .................................................................................................................. 34 3.2 Hydraulics ............................................................................................................................................... 34 3.2.1 Model Development ................................................................................................................. 34 4 Existing Conditions Model Results ................................................................................................................... 38 4.1 Implications for salmonids ..................................................................................................................... 38 4.2 Implications for flood and channel migration risk ................................................................................. 40 4.3 Climate Change ...................................................................................................................................... 43 5 Flood and Channel Migration Risk ................................................................................................................... 45 5.1 Flood Risk Focus Areas ........................................................................................................................... 45 5.2 Projected Changes in Flood Risk with Climate Change .......................................................................... 52 5.2.1 Findings from this Study ........................................................................................................... 52 JEFFERSON COUNTY  BRINNON REACH EXISTING CONDITIONS ASSESSMENT Natural Systems Design ii February 2025 5.2.2 Summary of findings in 2023 Jefferson County Sea Level Rise study ....................................... 53 6 Primary Impairments to Fluvial Processes ....................................................................................................... 56 6.1 Disruption of the Floodplain-Large-Wood-Cycle ................................................................................... 56 6.2 Artificial Bank Hardening and Channel Simplification ........................................................................... 57 6.3 Undersized Hydraulic Structures and Lack of Flood Protection ............................................................ 57 7 Proposed Actions to Treat Impaired Processes ............................................................................................... 58 8 References ....................................................................................................................................................... 60 LIST OF TABLES Table 1. Habitat unit widths, depths, and areas ...................................................................................................... 16 Table 2. Side channel lengths................................................................................................................................... 16 Table 3. Periodicity for key salmonid species within the lower Dosewallips River. ................................................ 19 Table 7. Estimated discharge values ........................................................................................................................ 32 Table 8. Estimated Change and Magnitude of Future Flows ................................................................................... 34 Table 10. Range of Sea-Level Rise Projections for Jefferson County, WA ............................................................... 54 Table 11. Table of impairments and proposed actions ........................................................................................... 58 LIST OF FIGURES Figure 1. Overview Map of the Dosewallips River Watershed and Project Reach .................................................... 1 Figure 2. Photo of Splash Dam in Early 1900s ............................................................................................................ 2 Figure 3. Historic 1939 aerial photo of the project reach and the surrounding upland forest ................................. 3 Figure 4. Flow conditions for the 2023/2024 water year on the Duckabush River gage USGS 12054000 ................ 5 Figure 5. 1:24k Geologic map of the Brinnon project area ........................................................................................ 6 Figure 6. Deep seated landslides in glacial sediments ............................................................................................... 6 Figure 7. Relative elevation model map .................................................................................................................... 8 Figure 8. Longitudinal profile of the project reach .................................................................................................... 9 Figure 9. Dominant substrate map .......................................................................................................................... 10 Figure 10. Pebble count results relative to preferred chum and chinook spawning ranges ................................... 11 Figure 11. Time series of Dosewallips River delta.................................................................................................... 12 Figure 12. Channel migration history relative to bank modifications and previously constructed ELJs ................. 13 Figure 13. Channel migration zone (CMZ) mapped by the USBOR (2004) .............................................................. 14 Figure 14. Photos of left bank berm feature preventing northward channel migration ......................................... 15 Figure 15. Habitat unit and side channel map ......................................................................................................... 17 Figure 16. Constructed side channels ...................................................................................................................... 18 Figure 17. Large wood observed during the June 2024 field reconnaissance ......................................................... 22 Figure 18. Examples of a key piece (left) and functional wood (right) .................................................................... 23 Figure 19. Examples of an engineered log jam (left) and natural log jam (right) .................................................... 23 Figure 20. Functional ELJ at RM 0.1 ......................................................................................................................... 24 Figure 21. Canopy height and wetland map ............................................................................................................ 26 Figure 22. Constructed channel through native forest; emergent estuary community .......................................... 27 Figure 23. Young alder forest; Alder-Cottonwood community downstream of the US-101 bridge ........................ 27 JEFFERSON COUNTY  BRINNON REACH EXISTING CONDITIONS ASSESSMENT Natural Systems Design iii February 2025 Figure 24. Wetlands forming around high flow side channels; narrow band of trees rooted into berm ............... 27 Figure 25. Side channel, pool, and wetland habitat; high gravel bar with wood debris ......................................... 28 Figure 26. Big-leaf maple and red alder forest; and mixed conifer/deciduous forest ............................................ 28 Figure 27. Two seasonal tributaries drain through the southern terrace and flow into the Dosewallips River ..... 28 Figure 28. Key salmonid life history stages and Dosewallips River flows ................................................................ 30 Figure 29. Drainage areas utilized for hydrologic analysis and hydraulic model..................................................... 31 Figure 30. CoSMoS data station availability in the vicinity of the project area. ...................................................... 33 Figure 31. Boundary condition locations within hydraulic model domain. ............................................................. 35 Figure 32. Hydraulic structures included in hydraulic modeling for project reach. ................................................ 36 Figure 33. Existing berm extents based on 2023 LiDAR ........................................................................................... 37 Figure 34. Modeled water depth for existing conditions spawning and juvenile outmigration flow scenarios ..... 38 Figure 35. Modeled flow velocity for spawning and juvenile outmigration flow scenarios .................................... 39 Figure 36. Water depth and velocity distributions during median February exceedance flow .............................. 39 Figure 37. Water depth and velocity distributions during median September exceedance flow ........................... 40 Figure 38. Modeled water depth for existing conditions flood flow scenarios ....................................................... 41 Figure 39. Modeled flow velocity for existing conditions flood flow scenarios ...................................................... 42 Figure 40. Water surface elevations indicating location of backwater influence by MHHW (red line) .................. 42 Figure 41. Water depth and velocity distributions and preferences for key salmonid species .............................. 43 Figure 42. Modeled changes in depth and velocity relative to climate change predictions ................................... 44 Figure 43. Areas of heightened flood risk ................................................................................................................ 45 Figure 44. Berm extent as designed (left) and observed in 2023/2024 (right) ....................................................... 47 Figure 45. Berm cross section at three modeled flows (2-year, 100-year, typical winter flow) ............................. 48 Figure 46. Profile of berm design (WA State Department of Waterways, 1957) .................................................... 48 Figure 47. REM and channel migration map along extent of berm ......................................................................... 49 Figure 48. Modeled water depth along length of berm at 2-year and 100-year flows ........................................... 50 Figure 49. Flooding in Dosewallips State Park Campground ................................................................................... 51 Figure 50. Diagram of the floodplain large-wood cycle (Collins et al., 2012) .......................................................... 53 Figure 51. Still water elevations and total water levels for the 1% event ............................................................... 54 Figure 52. Sea level rise projections (ESA 2023) ...................................................................................................... 55 Figure 53. Erosion effects of sea level rise (Battalio et al., 2016) ............................................................................ 56 JEFFERSON COUNTY  BRINNON REACH EXISTING CONDITIONS ASSESSMENT Natural Systems Design 1 February 2025 1 PROJECT BACKGROUND Natural Systems Design (NSD) was contracted by Jefferson County to assess the existing conditions in the lower 1.2 miles of the Dosewallips River, where it runs south of the town of Brinnon and into Dabob Bay of the Hood Canal (Figure 1). The assessment is focused on characterizing the geomorphic, habitat, and hydraulic conditions in the project reach, along with assessing flood and channel migration risk to the town of Brinnon. Additionally, the assessment includes insights into how existing conditions are projected to change with climate change. The habitat assessment is focused on Puget Sound Chinook (Oncorhynchus tshawytscha) and Hood Canal summer- run chum (Oncorhynchus keta), both listed under the Endangered Species Act as federally threatened species. This assessment will ultimately be the basis for conceptual designs for aquatic habitat and flood risk improvements. Figure 1. Overview Map of the Dosewallips River Watershed and Project Reach JEFFERSON COUNTY  BRINNON REACH EXISTING CONDITIONS ASSESSMENT Natural Systems Design 2 February 2025 1.1 Assessment Goals The specific goals for this assessment are as follows: 1. Quantifying existing aquatic and riparian habitat associated with key salmonid species. 2. Assessing channel migration and flooding risk to key infrastructure and property in the town of Brinnon, US 101, and the Dosewallips State Park Campground. This assessment is intended to provide reach-scale information on impaired processes and their causal mechanisms with respect to addressing these two goals. The outcomes of this assessment will inform future restoration actions. Actions will focus on addressing: 1. Areas of heightened flood and erosion risk, and improving sustainability to existing mitigation structures 2. Increasing the quality and quantity of key aquatic habitats 3. Increasing the structure and function of riparian habitats. 1.2 Reach History The Dosewallips river valley has a rich history of human occupation and homesteading, with the most documented accounts during and after the 1900’s. Native Americans inhabited the Dosewallips region for 14,000 years, with the first contact with Europeans occurring in the late 16th century (Bush et al., 2023). In the early 19th century, Euro-American settlement began and increased after the Donation and Land Claim Act of 1850, and the homestead act of 1862 (Bush et al., 2023). Logging in the area initiated in 1859 which incorporated railroads near the turn of the 20th century, and later trucks in 1920 (Labbe et al., 2005). Logging impacts in the floodplain and river were extensive, including the use of a splash dam at the downstream end of the Rocky Brook reach (~RM 3.5) which was constructed in 1917 and operated for 9-10 years by Sims Logging Company (Figure 2; Labbe et al., 2005, Baily & Baily, 2011). When water was released from the dam, all wood was transported from the head of the Dosewallips Canyon to Hood Canal (Labbe et al., 2005) – an erosive event that was catastrophic for salmon and salmon habitat. Figure 2. Photo of Splash Dam in Early 1900s Source: Baily and Baily (2011) JEFFERSON COUNTY  BRINNON REACH EXISTING CONDITIONS ASSESSMENT Natural Systems Design 3 February 2025 Historic accounts from Vern and Ida Baily, longtime residents of the Dosewallips Valley, indicate that the river was full of large wood and old growth trees in the early 1900’s, including log jams that were large and stable enough to cross and fish from (Labbe et al., 2005, p74). They also stated that some jams appeared to be more than 100 years old. At present, there is little to no wood in the stream, nor large old growth trees in the valley bottom. Vern and Ida Bailey also recounted an abundance of king salmon and steelhead, which are rarely seen or caught today: “I remember when I was eight years old the big king salmon coming up here. There were great big ones as big as this table. Of course you never see them anymore. My dad was a fisherman and he would catch them. And he caught lots of steelhead. And now we hardly ever get a steelhead. I’m sure the steelhead were wild steelhead in those days.” – Ida Bailey (Labbe et al., 2005, p74). Historical imagery from the early 1900’s shows that the landscape and channel location have been relatively stable throughout the last 100 years between RM 0 and RM 1.2 (Figure 3). Forested uplands managed by the state flank the southern bank and valley, with a mix of pasture, forest, and municipal land to the north in the town of Brinnon. The project area to the east of Hwy 101 is owned by a mix of the state and private landowners, with several areas also leased for commercial shellfish production. The stability in planform of the project reach is owed significantly to human modifications to reduce flood risk and facilitate human settlement (Labbe et al., 2005). Several left and right bank dikes have been constructed, particularly surrounding and downstream of the US-101 bridge, where the thalweg has also been dredged repeatedly to maintain the current planform (Labbe et al., 2005). Part of the bank stabilization throughout the 1900’s was large woody debris removal (Labbe et al., 2005), the outcomes of which are prevalent in current conditions as of 2024, with limited instream wood throughout the project reach. Figure 3. Historic 1939 aerial photo of the project reach and the surrounding upland forest JEFFERSON COUNTY  BRINNON REACH EXISTING CONDITIONS ASSESSMENT Natural Systems Design 4 February 2025 1.3 Previous Restoration Efforts From the early-2000’s through 2022, the Wild Fish Conservancy and Washington State Parks partnered to implement habitat restoration and park facility updates at the Dosewallips State Park downstream of the Highway 101 bridge, an effort called the Lower Dosewallips Floodplain and Estuary Restoration project. The overall goal of the project was to increase floodplain and estuarine ecological processes in the lower Dosewallips River and Estuary through dike, revetment, and levee removal, the construction of ELJs and distributary channels, invasive plant removal and riparian plantings, and re-location of park facilities out of the lower floodplain. By the spring of 2022 the removal of 1000 ft of revetment along the main river shoreline, and the removal 2820 linear feet of asphalt roads in the floodplain was completed, including 500 feet of road that was buried 2 feet underneath the existing surface and was likely abandoned by parks after a flood buried it in the 1960's or 1970's (Figure 12). The project also created over 3500 feet of new distributary channel and constructed 3 engineered log jams at distributary junctions with the main river, to work with the 5 ELJs that were constructed during a previous phase. Invasive plant species (Himalayan blackberry) was removed across an area of 2 acres, and riparian plantings occurred throughout the entire area disturbed by construction. 2 CURRENT CONDITIONS To assess current conditions in the project reach, NSD used a combination of newly acquired lidar, GIS, hydraulic modeling, field reconnaissance, and previous design records of bank and instream modifications. Lidar was collected by NV5G (October 31st, 2023) and was used to develop the hydraulic model and additional geospatial products, such as a relative elevation map. Hydraulic modeling was completed at multiple flood and fish life history flows, across both an existing conditions scenario and with projected mid-century hydrologic and sea level conditions (For more details see Sections 3 and 4). During the field reconnaissance we collected information on 1) channel and floodplain morphology 2) streambed sediment, 3) riparian habitat, 4) large wood quantification and function, and 5) instream aquatic habitat features. Along with field assessments of current conditions, the team also assessed reach geology, channel migration history, and reviewed documentation on nearshore/estuarine environments. An additional focus of the reach assessment was observing critical hydraulic structures within the project reach, including culverts, bridge crossings, and a berm on the northern bank upstream of US-101. We discuss the findings of each of these observations below. 2.1 Flows During 2024 Site Visit The flows leading up to the 2024 site visit were reflective of the tail end of winter rainfall events and the onset of spring snowmelt on the eastern Olympic Peninsula. As discussed in more detail in section 3.1 below, the gage on the Dosewallips River (USGS 12053000, drainage area 93.5 square miles) has been inactive since 1951, however the Duckabush gage in the basin immediately to the south (USGS 1205400, drainage area 66.5 square miles) can be used to approximate current flow conditions. Figure 4 below shows the 2023/2024 water year on the Duckabush River, with the dates of lidar acquisition and the 2024 site visits highlighted. The 2023 lidar dataset was acquired between flashy fall rain events, and the 2024 site visit occurred at the onset of spring snowmelt, at a slightly higher flow than when the lidar was flown. JEFFERSON COUNTY  BRINNON REACH EXISTING CONDITIONS ASSESSMENT Natural Systems Design 5 February 2025 Figure 4. Flow conditions for the 2023/2024 water year on the Duckabush River gage USGS 12054000 Lidar acquisition and 2024 field visit dates are highlighted. 2.2 Reach Geology The Dosewallips watershed lies on the eastern slope of the Olympic Mountains which are composed of uplifted and folded oceanic crust formed by subduction of the Juan de Fuca plate under the North American plate offshore of the Pacific coast. The upper portion of the watershed is composed of slightly metamorphosed and highly erodible marine sedimentary lithologies formed during uplift processes. Because of their highly erodible nature, these uplifted marine sedimentary materials provide the Dosewallips River with a high, fine-grained sediment load (Labbe et al., 2005). Much of this material is transported as suspended load, with the majority of substrate within the Dosewallips active channel characterized as a gravel/cobble. The middle and lower portions of the watershed are composed of less erodible Crescent formation basalts (Figure 5) which are exposed at the uppermost extent of the project reach where the river exits a bedrock constriction. The valley bottom below the constriction at RM 1.2 is filled with Holocene alluvium (river-derived sediment) that has been deposited since the retreat of the Cordilleran ice sheet over the last ~10,000 years. Hillslopes to the south in the Dosewallips state park are overlain with glacial outwash and till that have been compacted by ice, along with isolated glacial lacustrine deposits. These glacial sediments are unconsolidated and highly erodible, which makes them susceptible to mass-wasting processes such as landslides. There are two deep-seated landslide deposits within the project reach which are located northwest of the Dosewallips State Park Campground, between RM 0.7 and RM 1 (Figure 6). JEFFERSON COUNTY  BRINNON REACH EXISTING CONDITIONS ASSESSMENT Natural Systems Design 6 February 2025 Figure 5. 1:24k Geologic map of the Brinnon project area Figure 6. Deep seated landslides in glacial sediments Source: WDNR Landslides Database (accessed January 2025) JEFFERSON COUNTY  BRINNON REACH EXISTING CONDITIONS ASSESSMENT Natural Systems Design 7 February 2025 2.3 Channel and Floodplain Morphology The project reach has four distinct morphological zones (MZ) (Figure 7). These include, from upstream to downstream: 1) a simplified pool-riffle reach between RM 0.9-1.2 below the bedrock constriction, 2) a pool-riffle reach with a large right-bank side channel complex between RM 0.6 and RM 0.9, 3) an armored, constricted section under the US-101 bridge crossing, between RM 0.3 and RM 0.6, and 4) a highly modified and tidally influenced zone with one main channel and several right and left bank distributaries downstream of RM 0.3. Generally, the mainstem channel has a pool-riffle morphology throughout, with limited influence of instream wood. The tidal influence was apparent starting at/downstream of the US-101 bridge, mainly in the left bank distributary channels. The right bank side channel complex within the state park west of the bridge (MZ2) was only contained ponded waters during the site visit, with evidence of overbank flow during flood events. This indicates that these side channels are only active during higher flow events. Besides this area, the floodplain was generally disconnected from frequent flood flows due to a lack large log jams that can work to connect side channel and floodplain areas, and intentional bank modifications throughout the 1900’s (Labbe et al., 2005) to keep the channel within the existing planform. The side channel complex throughout MZ2 has an ephemeral morphology, with frequent migration of the mainstem active channel through this area and back towards the current position along the northern bank (see section 2.5 below). The frequent migration through this area has led to erosion of developing floodplain surfaces, limiting the growth of mature forest and reproduction of large wood to stabilize banks and provide cover for salmonids. The high channel migration rate in this area is in a positive feedback cycle, fed by a combination of a lack of mature trees to stabilize banks and sediment aggradation (see section 2.4 below). The slope of the channel profile throughout the 1.2 mile long reach is relatively stable at 0.4% (Figure 8) indicating that the relatively higher sediment aggradation is most likely attributed to a combination of local hillslope sources, such as the right bank landslides immediately adjacent (Figure 6), and backwater from the US-101 bridge constriction, as found by a larger regional assessment by Aspect Consulting (2009). The reach just upstream of the bedrock constriction at the top of the project reach, referred to as Powerlines in other reports (i.e. NSD 2021) has high aggradation and channel migration rates as well, owing similarly to backwater behind the natural bedrock constriction. Significant sediment deposition in the Powerlines reach may also be contributing to the lower aggradation and channel migration rates seen in MZ1, which his comparatively much more stable than MZ2, and has limited artificial bank armoring. Downstream of MZ2, MZ3 and MZ4 are also comparatively much more stable, owing mainly to bank modifications. A long history of bank hardening, channel dredging, and large wood removal throughout the 1900’s kept the channel straight downstream of RM 0.6 (Labbe et al., 2005), including dikes downstream of the US-101 bridge, eliminating connectivity of distributary channels. Currently, bank modifications include the left- bank armoring/berm between RM 0.4 and RM 0.7, which prevents channel migration towards the town of Brinnon, and previously placed engineered log jams on both banks downstream of the US-101 bridge, which encourage flow into distributary channels. The armoring of the left bank intentionally removes hydrologic connectivity with the northern floodplain, and the distributary channels downstream of the bridge are contributing to 1) floodplain connectivity and additional estuary habitat for rearing summer chum, and 2) a stable morphology, where flow and shear stress is distributed across multiple stable channels as opposed to a single mainstem. JEFFERSON COUNTY  BRINNON REACH EXISTING CONDITIONS ASSESSMENT Natural Systems Design 8 February 2025 Figure 7. Relative elevation model map Elevations are relative to the low flow water surface. MZ= Morphology Zone JEFFERSON COUNTY  BRINNON REACH EXISTING CONDITIONS ASSESSMENT Natural Systems Design 9 February 2025 Figure 8. Longitudinal profile of the project reach 2.4 Sediment We classified the dominant and subdominant grain size per habitat unit throughout the project reach and collected two pebble counts (Wolman 1954) to characterize patterns in sediment deposition and transport (Figure 9, Figure 10). Generally, the substrate retained in this reach is influenced by channel morphology, with coarser sediment in riffle areas and finer sediment in pools as expected (Montgomery and Buffington, 1997). In MZ1 and MZ2 (Figure 7), the pool riffle sections downstream of the bedrock constriction, the substrate has a pattern alternating between coarse gravel and coarse cobble, aligned with pools and riffles respectively. Downstream of RM 0.6, where bank modifications become most prevalent and the river channel is constricted to flow under the US 101 bridge, the grain size distribution in the channel coarsens, and is large-cobble- dominated throughout most of the mapped habitat units. Pockets of sand and medium gravel were apparent in deeper pools, which are forced by both wood and left-bank armoring features. There is also evidence of bed armoring when comparing surface and subsurface grain size distributions, such as at PC1, where subsurface sediment has a much finer distribution than the surface at the same location (Figure 10). Sediment inputs into the project reach come from erodible marine sedimentary bedrock upstream in the watershed, along with glacial outwash, till, and lacustrine deposits. Importantly, glacial sediments on hillslopes are susceptible to deep-seated landslides (Figure 6), which have the potential to input a significant amount of sediment in distinct events. Pebble counts on representative gravel bars (Figure 9) showed grain size distributions within that preferred by Chinook salmon, and are slightly coarser than the sizes preferred by chum (Figure 10). The subsurface grain size distribution indicates that smaller grain sizes preferred by chum (versus Chinook) is entering the reach, however it is not retained due to the reach hydraulic conditions. JEFFERSON COUNTY  BRINNON REACH EXISTING CONDITIONS ASSESSMENT Natural Systems Design 10 February 2025 Figure 9. Dominant substrate map JEFFERSON COUNTY  BRINNON REACH EXISTING CONDITIONS ASSESSMENT Natural Systems Design 11 February 2025 Figure 10. Pebble count results relative to preferred chum and chinook spawning ranges See pebble count locations in Figure 9. The high sediment load entering the project reach is readily transported upstream of RM 0.9 and downstream of RM 0.5, as indicated by the stable morphology (described in further detail in section 2.5 below) and coarse, armored bed in these locations. The area between RM 0.5 and 0.9, in contrast, shows evidence of frequent channel migration and sediment deposition, in both historic imagery and in the current morphology of several dry overbank/side channels. This indicates that the lower 1.2 miles are primarily a “transport” reach where the channel has the capacity to transport the sediment load input, with one dynamic segment of sediment deposition and channel response. Section 2.3 above discusses how local sediment sources and the impact of backwatering behind the US-101 bridge during peak events (Aspect Consulting, 2009) is contributing to higher aggradation rates between RM 0.5 and RM 0.9. The downstream extent of the delta at the outlet of the Dosewallips River has remained generally stable since 1939. The lack of progradation is likely attributed to the steep, glacially carved bathymetry of Hood Canal, which drops to -122 meters (400 feet) in depth less than a half mile from shore (NOAA 1969), rather than a lack of sediment transport through the project reach. High transport loads at the delta are indicated by the frequently meandering planform downstream of RM 0.1, outside of where bank modifications were prevalent throughout the 1900’s (Labbe et al., 2005; Figure 11). JEFFERSON COUNTY  BRINNON REACH EXISTING CONDITIONS ASSESSMENT Natural Systems Design 12 February 2025 Figure 11. Time series of Dosewallips River delta 2.5 Channel Migration To assess channel migration history, we traced the wetted channel area in eight historical images between 1939 and 2023 (Figure 12). We found that the channel is generally stable upstream of RM 0.9 and downstream of RM 0.5, with a very dynamic sub-reach in between. The causal mechanisms of channel migration in this area are a combination of 1) high sediment input into the reach (Labbe et al., 2005) 2) a decrease in channel gradient (Aspect Consulting, 2009), 3) backwater at the US-101 bridge crossing during high flows (Aspect Consulting, 2009), and 4) limited large wood both in the stream and on the floodplain to stabilize banks (more detail in section 3.7 below). The floodplain between RM 0.5 and RM 0.9 was dry during the site visit, with early succession woody vegetation colonization (i.e. willow and red Alder). This type of floodplain surface is susceptible to bank erosion, with limited root cohesion and hydraulic roughness. It is expected that the channel will likely continue to migrate frequently within this zone without the influence of stabilizing features such as large wood. Channel migration was limited near areas of constructed bank revetment. JEFFERSON COUNTY  BRINNON REACH EXISTING CONDITIONS ASSESSMENT Natural Systems Design 13 February 2025 Figure 12. Channel migration history relative to bank modifications and previously constructed ELJs Photos taken June 20th, 2024 JEFFERSON COUNTY  BRINNON REACH EXISTING CONDITIONS ASSESSMENT Natural Systems Design 14 February 2025 Downstream of RM 0.5 the channel has migrated very little over the last 85 years (Figure 12). This is due to a combination of bank modifications upstream and downstream of the US-101 bridge (Labbe et al., 2005), and the tidal influence of the estuary further downstream. A channel migration zone study completed by the US Bureau of reclamation in 2004 (USBOR 2004) discusses how channel migration in this area is significantly impacted by these features. They found that the entire alluvial valley north of the mainstem channel and Dosewallips State Park Campground is within a defined avulsion hazard area, however this area is disconnected from channel migration, with a high dependency on existing bank revetment features (Disconnected Migration Area (DMA) area in Figure 13). The bank armoring on the southern bank along Dosewallips State Park was eroding during the 2004 assessment (USBOR 2004), and few exposures were observed during the June 2024 site visit (Figure 14). The degradation of these revetment features upstream of the park indicates that the features are providing less resistance to erosion than originally intended. The left-bank erosion revetment berm feature was generally intact, with significant vegetation establishment on top of the feature (Figure 14). This berm feature is discussed in greater detail in section 5.1. USBOR (2004) found that channel migration rates were low upstream of RM 0.9, even though there are no revetment features, which is corroborated by this analysis. Figure 13. Channel migration zone (CMZ) mapped by the USBOR (2004) Modified from US BOR (2004). “High” and “Moderate” indicate risk of channel migration. DMA = Disconnected Migration Area. JEFFERSON COUNTY  BRINNON REACH EXISTING CONDITIONS ASSESSMENT Natural Systems Design 15 February 2025 Figure 14. Photos of left bank berm feature preventing northward channel migration The southwestern bank between RM 0.5 and 0.9 also shows evidence of deep-seated landslides, as mapped in the WDNR landslides database (Figure 12). It is likely that these landslides were partially induced by toe erosion by the channel into the hillslopes of glacial sediment, as occurs throughout many river valleys in western Washington (e.g. Booth et al., 2017). While there is limited infrastructure directly adjacent to these southern hillslopes, a future landslide in this area would deposit a significant amount of sediment in a discrete pulse to the channel, which may lead to subsequent rapid channel changes including channel migration and avulsions. The coincidence with the landslide locations and low-lying avulsion pathways on the north side of the active channel highlights this area as one of particular concern as sediment deposited from a landslide could encourage channel migration and a potential avulsion towards the north (away from the landslide), putting pressure on the left-bank berm. ELJs constructed between the early 2000’s and 2022 (see section 1.3 above) were placed on the left and right banks of the mainstem Dosewallips, downstream of the US-101 bridge (Figure 12). This ELJ implementation was completed in tandem with rock bank revetment/dike removal to reconnect the mainstem to existing distributary channels on the left bank and newly excavated side channels on the right bank. Discussed in further detail in sections 2.6 and 2.8 below, these features are adding bank stability to the mainstem while also connecting the floodplain and estuary by encouraging flow into secondary channels. There has not been any significant channel changes associated with the ELJ placement, rock bank revetment/dike removal, and side channel excavation, with the channel remaining in a similar location since implementation. The lack of channel change associated with the ELJ construction is inherent to where and how the structures were placed – with most being tied into the banks, and as such not significantly obstructing mainstem flow. 2.6 Aquatic Habitat Conditions The project reach was highlighted by Labbe et al., (2005) to have relatively higher habitat quality for Chinook and Hood Canal summer chum than upstream reaches of the Dosewallips River, despite being highly modified to JEFFERSON COUNTY  BRINNON REACH EXISTING CONDITIONS ASSESSMENT Natural Systems Design 16 February 2025 reduce flood hazard and facilitate human settlement. The reach is lower gradient, with relatively more seasonal floodplain engagement and LWD on the floodplain than upstream reaches. Additional key aquatic habitat features identified by Labbe et al., (2005) include right bank side channels within Dosewallips State Park west of Hwy 101, which showed signs of seasonal connectivity in the early 2000’s, along with pools and isolated large wood jams upstream of the US-101 bridge. Additional features include the Walcott Slough network in the northern end of Brinnon which is tidally influenced but disconnected from the river, and State Park Creek, which is a seasonal channel that is important for Chum spawning (Figure 15). Although these habitat features exist, there is room for improving the functionality of habitat features within the project reach, specifically engaging the right bank floodplain side channels within MZ2 for a longer percentage of time during the year. To update the findings by Labbe et al., (2005) with current conditions, we mapped habitat units and side channels throughout the project reach at a coarse scale (Figure 15). In the field, we collected the length, dominant/subdominant substrate size, and unit type. We then used the lidar and hydraulic modeling tools to determine geometric attributes like wetted width and depth (Table 1). Side channels were mapped using a combination of field observations, the relative elevation model map (Figure 7), and hydraulic modeling results (discussed in section 4). The distribution of different habitat unit types aligns with the pool-riffle morphology observed at a broader scale, with a mix of pools, riffles, and glides (Table 1). We mapped 24 pools, 22 of which were wood-forced, and two were related to bedrock and bank modifications. Some of the wood-forced pools were directly linked to engineered log jams from the WFC Lower Dosewallips Floodplain and Estuary Restoration project (see section 1.3). During the June 2024 site visit, juvenile salmonids were prevalent in isolated pools in the right bank side channel complex between RM 0.5 and 0.9. Table 1. Habitat unit widths, depths, and areas HABITAT UNIT TYPE POOL RIFFLE GLIDE Percent of reach area 17% 45% 39% Mean low flow wetted width (ft)1 - 87 98 Mean low flow depth (ft)2 4.2 2.9 3.0 Mean pool area (sqft) 3,850 - - 1: Mean wetted width is based on flow during lidar flight (2023). 2: Mean low flow depth is based on modeled low flow depth. We mapped a total of 2.7 miles of side channels with variable degrees of hydraulic and hyporheic flow connectivity to the mainstem Dosewallips River (Table 2). The largest proportion of side channels are tidal distributary channels that are connected and prevalent east of the US-101 bridge crossing. Of the remaining length of mapped channels, 0.5 miles were either directly connected to the mainstem or were wetted with a hyporheic connection during the June 2024 site visit and are located in MZ2. Seasonal and flood overflow channels were prevalent as well, primarily in the area of high channel migration rates between RM 0.5 and RM 0.9. Table 2. Side channel lengths SIDE CHANNEL TYPE LENGTH (FT) LENGTH (MILES) Connected to mainstem 1,530 0.3 Hyporheic connection 1,170 0.2 Tidal/distributary channel 7,410 1.4 Seasonal overflow channel 1,090 0.2 Flood overflow channel 2,850 0.5 JEFFERSON COUNTY  BRINNON REACH EXISTING CONDITIONS ASSESSMENT Natural Systems Design 17 February 2025 Connectivity of tidal distributary channels is a recent habitat feature as of the early 2000’s, as the area downstream of the bridge was highly modified and straightened throughout the 1900’s (Labbe et al., 2005). These side channels were reconnected through the Lower Dosewallips Floodplain and Estuary Restoration project (see section 1.3) and were observed to be sustaining flows while showing some bank and channel deformity and head-cut erosion during the 2024 site visit indicating that they are continuing to evolve following implementation of the restoration actions. Figure 15. Habitat unit and side channel map Imagery source: 2023 NAIP JEFFERSON COUNTY  BRINNON REACH EXISTING CONDITIONS ASSESSMENT Natural Systems Design 18 February 2025 Figure 16. Constructed side channels As part of the Lower Dosewallips Floodplain and Estuary Restoration project. Along with mainstem and side channel habitat, several small tributaries enter the Dosewallips River floodplain in the project reach (Figure 15). A small tributary at RM 0.95 drains from the southern hillslope, across the right bank terrace, forming a small alluvial fan at the toe of the hillslope. During the field reconnaissance there were several channels through this fan area with exposed gravel, but no surface water. Upstream from this tributary at RM 1.0 a large tributary channel drains from the southern hillslope. This channel has incised 8 feet down through the terrace to form an open channel connection with the main Dosewallips River channel. This channel was also dry during the field reconnaissance and appears to flow powerfully with seasonal variation and storm events. A third tributary identified by Labbe et al. (2005) flows along the floodplain to the southwest of the reach, crossing beneath US-101 near the main entrance of the State Park Campground (referred to as State Park Creek). 2.7 Salmonid Use, Life History, and Limiting Factors in the Lower Dosewallips River The focal species in the Dosewallips River, fall Chinook, Hood Canal summer chum, spawn in the fall and spend hours to months rearing in freshwater before out-migrating to estuarine and nearshore habitat. Both fall Chinook and Hood Canal summer chum are listed as federally threatened species under the Endangered Species Act. The life stages of these species most affected by the quality, quantity, and diversity of aquatic habitats are spawning, incubation, emergence, and fry rearing. The following sections focus on these three species, but the Dosewallips River also supports Pink Salmon (Oncorhynchus gorbuscha), and steelhead and rainbow trout (Oncorhynchus mykiss). Critical life stages for chum and Chinook in the Dosewallips River have been identified as spawning, incubation and adult holding (Shared Strategy 2007). Incubation and rearing success are driven by large wood and moderate peak flows, absence of excessive fines in spawning gravels, moderate or low levels of scour, and access to off-channel and slow-water floodplain habitats (Brewer et al. 2005). Loss of riparian forest has also been noted for the Dosewallips watershed. The floodplain in the lower reaches of the river has been converted to agriculture, forestry, urban commercial and rural residential uses (Correa 2003). These changes in land use have reduced the side channel and floodplain wetland habitat in the project reach and reduced the recruitment of large wood that provides channel stability, sorts and retains spawning gravels, creates pools, and forces side channel creation. JEFFERSON COUNTY  BRINNON REACH EXISTING CONDITIONS ASSESSMENT Natural Systems Design 19 February 2025 Table 3 presents the periodicity of habitat uses for summer chum, and Chinook in the Dosewallips River. Additional details on life history and periodicity of these key species are listed in sections 2.7.1, and 2.72 below, along with limiting factors to survival. Table 3. Periodicity for key salmonid species within the lower Dosewallips River. 2.7.1 Puget Sound Chinook (Oncorhynchus tshawytscha) Chinook, as a larger species, require larger substrate for spawning and deep holding pools with cover for adult migration. Egg incubation is affected by bed scour during high flows and excessive fine sediment deposition which can smother redds. Juvenile Chinook remain in the river for approximately 4 months (Table 3) and depend on low velocity habitat and cover for rearing. The majority of juvenile Chinook in the Dosewallips and other coastal rivers exhibit the ocean-type life history and out-migrate after about 4 months of rearing in freshwater, completing the rest of their growth in estuarine or nearshore habitat. A small proportion of Chinook maintain a stream-type life history, spending up to a year in fresh water before outmigration. The proportion of stream- type Chinook in the Dosewallips is unknown but expected to be small. Low velocity habitat includes river margins, alcoves, back watered areas, and side channels, where small fish can escape the force of the current, have sufficient hiding cover for protection from predators, and be able to rest and feed. The factors most limiting Chinook production in the Dosewallips River are estuarine degradation, habitat complexity and channel conditions, high water scour and fine sediment and floodplain disconnection. These mostly occur in the lower reaches of the river and the estuary habitat since the upper watershed is less developed (Shared Strategy 2007). 2.7.2 Hood Canal Summer Chum ESU (Oncorhynchus keta) Chum salmon have similar requirements for deep pools with cover for adult holding, but they use slightly smaller gravels for spawning than Chinook (Figure 10). While most Chinook spawn in mainstem river channels, chum salmon are more likely to spawn in lower velocity areas with smaller substrate, which may include mainstem habitat or smaller creeks and side channels. Incubation for chum is also limited by bed scour from high flows, perhaps to a greater extent than Chinook based on the chum behavior of mass spawning and redd superimposition. Spawning success for chum is linked to suitable spawning gravel, adequate stream flows and water temperatures, along with habitat quality in the form of large wood for cover and holding pools for returning adults to rest. Excessive fine sediment is also a concern for chum eggs in terms of suffocation. Since chum fry out-migrate upon emergence (Table 3), their dependance on adequate riverine rearing habitat is less than that of Chinook, but they still need safe pathways to out-migrate through the mainstem channel and have a higher need for sufficient estuarine and nearshore habitat. Chum spawning in the Dosewallips is limited to the lower 4.3 miles of river, with the greatest concentrations below RM 2.5 (Brewer et al. 2005), which includes the project reach. Chinook Salmon Life History Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Spawning Emergence Rearing Outmigration Summer Chum Salmon Life History Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Spawning Emergence Rearing Outmigration Coho Salmon Life History JEFFERSON COUNTY  BRINNON REACH EXISTING CONDITIONS ASSESSMENT Natural Systems Design 20 February 2025 Several factors have been identified in the Dosewallips River as affecting summer chum populations. Unfavorable stream flows in 1975 and 1976 caused a crash in chum populations across Washington State, but Hood Canal populations remained low while other populations recovered. High levels of fishing in the 1980s had further impacts on the population and coincided with a shift in ocean conditions in 1986 to patterns less favorable to chum (Brewer et al, 2005). In the Dosewallips River, much of the lower few miles of the river has been simplified, with the construction of dikes, placement of riprap, splash damming and the removal of wood. The surrounding floodplain in the area has also been converted to pastureland and residential development (Brewer et al. 2005). Channelization and diking are also noted as a problem for spawning and incubation. Logging of forests, specifically old growth areas, has resulted in loss of recruitment sources for large wood into the river, with most trees in the floodplain below RM 4.5, including in the project reach, being 12 inches or less in diameter (Brewer et al. 2005). Loss of side channel habitat and channel instability have also been noted as limiting factors for salmon habitat. Estuarine habitat degradation was also noted as a leading limiting factor for juvenile Hood Canal summer chum rearing. 2.8 Large Wood Distribution and Function Large stable wood provides critical functions for sustaining river systems. For example, it partitions shear stress (i.e., stream energy) across the channel bed and banks, and thus lowers the available energy for bank erosion, channel migration, and channel incision (Manga & Kirchner, 2000; May & Gresswell, 2003). Instream wood also increases channel complexity by forming pools and promoting multi-thread (anabranching) channel patterns, which increases the diversity of high-quality habitat for aquatic species. During the 2024 field survey, NSD counted, measured (through visual estimation), and geo-located functional wood pieces, natural log jams, engineered log jams, and key pieces within the project reach (Figure 17). The total number of key pieces for each data point were also identified and used to compare to reference conditions, and for comparison NSD also evaluated the condition of the existing installed ELJs as part of the Dosewallips State Park restoration project. The following definitions were used to evaluate the large wood distributions and guide the data collection: Key pieces: Pieces of wood estimated to be stable during flood events (Figure 18). Key pieces serve as the forming members of log jams. A general rule for key piece sizing is the length equal to ½ bankfull width and the diameter at breast height (DBH) equal to ½ bankfull depth (Abbe & Montgomery, 2003). We identified all pieces greater than 30” DBH to be a key piece within the Dosewallips River. Natural Log jams: Wood accumulations that showed evidence of remaining stable under high flow conditions, such as the presence of multiple piece wood accumulations in the river, sediment accumulation behind or vegetation establishment within or around the jam (Figure 19). Engineered Log jams: Wood accumulations that have been engineered to provide in-channel habitat and side channel enhancement have been constructed within the project reach as part of previous restoration efforts associated with the Lower Dosewallips Floodplain and Estuary Restoration project (Figure 19). The total number of natural key piece analogs was determined for each engineered log jam type for use in reference condition comparisons. Other Functional wood: Wood pieces that exert an influence on bed topography and sediment distributions but may not necessarily be stable during high flows (i.e. not a key piece, Figure 18). These wood pieces are important habitat features (e.g., providing cover) despite not always exerting a strong geomorphic influence on channel processes (<30” dbh). JEFFERSON COUNTY  BRINNON REACH EXISTING CONDITIONS ASSESSMENT Natural Systems Design 21 February 2025 Table 4. Count of functional instream or floodplain wood STANDALONE KEY PIECES NATURAL LOG JAMS ENGINEERED LOG JAMS OTHER FUNCTIONAL WOOD 12 24 8 19 Table 5. Number of key pieces in study reach, compared to reference conditions (Fox and Bolton, 2007) N KEY PIECES STANDALONE KEY PIECES KEY PIECES IN NATURAL JAMS KEY PIECES IN ELJS TOTAL Number of Key Pieces 12 31 19 62 Reference number of Key Pieces >77 >77 >77 >77 total Reference key pieces were calculated using the 75th percentile for reference reaches in Western Washington (Fox and Bolton, 2007) Table 6. Primary functions of instream and floodplain wood FUNCTION1 STANDALONE KEY PIECES NATURAL JAMS ELJS OTHER FUNCTIONAL WOOD Pool Formation2 83% 67% 50% 11% Bar/Island Formation 83% 25% 25% 26% Grade Control 25% 8% 0% 21% Substrate Sorting 8% 67% 50% 32% 1: Percentages reflect functions that were identified as primary or secondary for each observation of LWD. 2: includes pools/depressions that were not wetted/engaged with flow during the June 2024 site visit. NSD made 61 observations of functional instream and floodplain wood, including 12 standalone key pieces, 24 natural log jams, 8 engineered log jams, and 19 other accumulations of functional wood (Table 4, Figure 17). The total amount of key pieces within the active channel and floodplain, combining all classifications, was 62 pieces which is on the same order of magnitude as expected in reference condition channels in western Washington (Table 5, Fox and Bolton, 2007) however less than the reference amount of >77 pieces. The majority of key pieces were included in natural or engineered log jams (Table 5). Table 6 above highlights the wood functions that were observed to be the primary or secondary function of each LWD observation. The most common primary or secondary function was pool formation, followed by bar formation and substrate sorting, with the majority of LWD on the banks of the active channel. Grade control was observed with a few pieces of mostly buried wood on the mainstem and within side channels. While pools were formed at the majority of functional wood, many of these pools were dry depressions on the right bank floodplain, not providing functional habitat for aquatic species during the field visit (e.g. Figure 18). All of the ELJs installed as a part of the Dosewallips Floodplain and Estuary Restoration Project were constructed at the inlets of side channels downstream of US-101. The structures are currently functioning to stabilize the heads of islands between the mainstem and secondary channels, as well as encourage flow into both natural and excavated channels where they are engaged with the active channel. Hydraulic conditions where ELJs are engaged with flow also create scour pools, encourage substrate sorting, and encourage island/bar development in their lee. Many of the ELJs, however, were disengaged from active flow, mainly serving to stabilize the heads of right bank islands between the mainstem and excavated side channels. JEFFERSON COUNTY  BRINNON REACH EXISTING CONDITIONS ASSESSMENT Natural Systems Design 22 February 2025 Figure 17. Large wood observed during the June 2024 field reconnaissance JEFFERSON COUNTY  BRINNON REACH EXISTING CONDITIONS ASSESSMENT Natural Systems Design 23 February 2025 Figure 18. Examples of a key piece (left) and functional wood (right) All ELJs were intact during the June 2024 survey, however the most downstream structure at RM 0.1 was not positioned in the middle of the channel as depicted in the original design sheets. The structure was highly functional, creating a deep pool, and development of a vegetated island, and split flow onto the right bank floodplain (Figure 20). This was the most functional ELJ observed, highlighting the efficacy of wood that is highly engaged with active flow. Tieing this observation back to the impairments of the project reach, while there are amounts of large wood close to reference conditions within the floodplain of the active channel (Table 5), the majority of pieces are either tied into ELJs that are not engaged with flow, or distributed throughout the right bank floodplain where they are also not engaged. Additional functional large wood that is directly obstructing flow of the mainstem channel would have a greater impact on engaging the right bank floodplain upstream of Dosewallips State Park, and distributing the shear stress of flows across multiple channels. Figure 19. Examples of an engineered log jam (left) and natural log jam (right) JEFFERSON COUNTY  BRINNON REACH EXISTING CONDITIONS ASSESSMENT Natural Systems Design 24 February 2025 Figure 20. Functional ELJ at RM 0.1 2.9 Riparian and Wetland Communities NSD used tree height data from Lidar, aerial imagery, and a field reconnaissance to characterize the riparian composition and structure within the project reach. This analysis concluded that the adjacent floodplain riparian communities within the project reach are characterized by mature mixed coniferous and deciduous forested communities typical of wet forests within the Pacific Northwest. However, their current composition and condition has been impacted by past and current land clearing. The North Pacific Lowland Riparian Forest and Woodland Group typical of the lower Dosewallips River floodplain, is found on low-elevation, alluvial floodplains that are confined by valleys and inlets throughout the coastal regions of the Pacific Northwest (NatureServe 2015). Although geographically widespread, over half of this system is estimated to have been lost and the remaining majority degraded as a result of land uses within the riparian zone as well as surrounding uplands (e.g. logging, dams, road construction, agriculture) (Rocchio and Crawford 2015). Riverine flooding and subsequent successional processes following flood disturbance are major factors creating the species composition and successional diversity of riparian systems. Major broadleaf dominant species that would be expected within the Dosewallips River riparian areas are bigleaf maple (Acer macrophyllum), red alder (Alnus rubra), and black cottonwood (Populus balsamifera). These early successional species would give way to conifers such as grand fir (Abies grandis), Sitka spruce (Picea sitchensis), western red cedar (Thuja plicata), and Douglas fir (Pseudotsuga menziesii) with succession in the absence of major disturbance (Rocchio and Crawford 2015). Throughout the project reach the clearing for timber harvest, roads, home construction, Highway 101, and the Dosewallips River State Park has altered much of the riparian community within the floodplain. Impacts associated with past clearing and channel migration can be seen in the canopy height model in Figure 21. Riparian communities located directly adjacent to the riverbanks and on the lower floodplain are dominated by western red cedar, red alder, big-leaf maple, and black cottonwood in the overstory, with vine maple (Acer circinatum), salmonberry (Rubus spectabilis), and sword fern (Polystichum munitum) in the understory. The overstory in these communities are primarily dominated by deciduous tree species, with multiple age class of coniferous species growing within the understory. This is an indicator that the riparian forest in these locations is recovering from past human and natural disturbances, with young conifer starting to establish. JEFFERSON COUNTY  BRINNON REACH EXISTING CONDITIONS ASSESSMENT Natural Systems Design 25 February 2025 Low-lying gravel bars show signs of frequent flooding (i.e. wood debris and scour patterns) and support pioneer species such as sapling red alder, and the invasive species Scotch broom (Cytisus scoparius), and Himalayan blackberry (Rubus discolor). The mosaic of overflow channels on river right upstream of the Highway 101 bridge, supports a mix of flood-tolerant species such as willow (Salix sp.), sedge (Carex sp.), and the invasive reed canarygrass (Phalaris arundinacea). Wetland and waters occupy these low overflow channels, however the higher terraces do not display any wetland characteristics although some of the areas are labeled as wetlands in the National Wetlands and Jefferson County inventories (USFWS 2020, Jefferson County 2017). These higher floodplains dominated by red alder, western red cedar, and big-leaf maple tend to be wet forests rather than jurisdictional wetlands (Figure 24, Figure 25, Figure 26). Two seasonal tributary channels flow through the high floodplain terrace to the south of the river upstream of the State Park (Figure 15). Both channels showed signs of seasonal flow with areas of fan-like deposition and incision through the terrace materials. These channels do not provide fish habitat but do provide inputs of flow and gravels seasonally (Figure 27). Below the Highway 101 bridge the riparian community continues to be affected by past land clearing associated with the State Park, revegetation efforts, and a change to estuarine conditions. The river left floodplain is a mosaic of higher wet forest dominated by red alder, black cottonwood, big-leaf maple, western red cedar, and dense Himalayan blackberry, and lower wetland forest dominated by red alder, salmonberry, and sedge communities. Previous restoration efforts associated with the Lower Dosewallips Floodplain and Estuary Restoration project have initiated riparian plantings with the relocation of Park facilities and construction of distributary channels. Many of the willow stake plantings have been either lost to bank erosion or browse/beaver activity. A few planted sapling red alder and Sitka spruce have survived and are now providing shade to the stream channels (Figure 23). The lower Dosewallips River estuary is characterized by the main channel, multiple distributary channels, and vegetation and wetland communities adapted to salinity and periodic inundation from tidal exchange. Vegetation includes common saltmarsh species of Puget Sound including seaside arrowgrass (Triglochin maritima), plantain (Plantago lanceolata), Pacific silverweed (Potentilla anserina), redtop (Agrostis gigantea), and saltgrass (Distichlis spicata) (Figure 22). JEFFERSON COUNTY  BRINNON REACH EXISTING CONDITIONS ASSESSMENT Natural Systems Design 26 February 2025 Figure 21. Canopy height and wetland map JEFFERSON COUNTY  BRINNON REACH EXISTING CONDITIONS ASSESSMENT Natural Systems Design 27 February 2025 Figure 22. Constructed channel through native forest; emergent estuary community Figure 23. Young alder forest; Alder-Cottonwood community downstream of the US-101 bridge Figure 24. Wetlands forming around high flow side channels; narrow band of trees rooted into berm JEFFERSON COUNTY  BRINNON REACH EXISTING CONDITIONS ASSESSMENT Natural Systems Design 28 February 2025 Figure 25. Side channel, pool, and wetland habitat; high gravel bar with wood debris Figure 26. Big-leaf maple and red alder forest; and mixed conifer/deciduous forest Figure 27. Two seasonal tributaries drain through the southern terrace and flow into the Dosewallips River JEFFERSON COUNTY  BRINNON REACH EXISTING CONDITIONS ASSESSMENT Natural Systems Design 29 February 2025 2.10 Nearshore and Estuary Habitat The Dosewallips estuary and the rest of Jefferson County experiences mixed-semidiurnal tides, with two daily high and low tides of differing elevations (ESA 2023). Spring-neap tidal cycles are also prevalent, occurring approximately twice per month with the lunar cycle. Sea level at the Port Townsend gage since 1972 has an upward trend in elevation, indicating a 0.59’ rise over 100 years, which is expected to accelerate with climate change (ESA 2023). Still water elevations during storm events are generally 1’ higher in Dabob Bay and surrounding the Dosewallips estuary than elsewhere in Jefferson County, with elevations up to 12.7’ NAVD88 in Dabob Bay, compared to 11.6’ NAVD88 in Port Townsend (FEMA 2019). Sandy and rocky beaches throughout Jefferson County, including the Dosewallips estuary, create important nearshore and intertidal habitat for salmonids including Chum, Chinook, and Coho, along with steelhead and cutthroat trout (ESA 2023). Additional organisms that depend on estuary and nearshore habitat include forage fish, shellfish, shore and sea birds, and marine mammals for feeding, breeding and migration, which are expected to be impacted by retreating coastlines projected with climate change (Krueger et al. 2011; Miller et al. 2013; Smith and Liedtke 2022). The influence of tidal channels occurs downstream of the US-101 bridge on the mainstem Dosewallips (see Figure 34 in section 4.1), with two inlet channels crossing the highway at the north end of town near the Community Center (Walcott Slough, Figure 15). Additional assessments of nearshore habitats were not a part of this project scope. 3 HYDROLOGY AND HYDRAULICS 3.1 Hydrology The lower 1.2 miles of the Dosewallips runs through private, county, and state park managed land, from a bedrock constriction at RM 1.3, south of the town of Brinnon, and into a tidal delta downstream of US 101. The Dosewallips River flows eastward from the central Olympic Mountains and has a watershed area of 116 square miles (mi2) and a relief of 7,770 feet. The watershed receives an average annual precipitation of 77.6 inches which falls as both rain and snow during the fall and winter months (October-February). The annual hydrology at the outlet of the Dosewallips River is governed by this mixed rain-snow basin hydrology, with flashy flooding events throughout the winter and a spring freshet from high elevation snow melt (Figure 28). Most of the basin is forested, with 63% of the area covered by tree canopy (USGS, 2019). JEFFERSON COUNTY  BRINNON REACH EXISTING CONDITIONS ASSESSMENT Natural Systems Design 30 February 2025 Figure 28. Key salmonid life history stages and Dosewallips River flows To model relevant hydraulic conditions in the project reach, we developed discharge estimates for five flow scenarios: two that are relevant to salmonid life history stages (Figure 28), and three peak flow scenarios including the 2-year, 10-year, and 100-year floods (Table 7). The hydraulic model used for this analysis is a subsection of a larger model which extends from RM 6.7, at the USFS bridge, to the river outlet at Hood Canal. The model includes three inflow points: an upstream inflow located at RM 6.7, an inflow for Rocky Brook Creek near RM 3.7, and an intermediate inflow point applied at a right bank tributary near RM 2.8. All inflows are applied upstream of the project reach. Flow estimates were made based on the historical discharge record available from the now inactive USGS gage that was located on the Dosewallips River just upstream of the project site (USGS gage #12053000). Accurately representing the magnitude of peak flows within the project reach is challenging because the Dosewallips River gage operated for a relatively short period, from 1930-1951, with no other available gage in the basin. The active USGS gage on the Duckabush River (USGS gage #120454000), which has been operating from 1938 to present, was considered as an alternate source of peak flow data, as the Duckabush River watershed is located immediately to the south of the Dosewallips River watershed and has similar characteristics for slope, relief, and precipitation. A Bulletin 17B peak flow analysis (USGS 1982) of both the Dosewallips gage and the Duckabush gage data was performed and scaled to the project area by drainage area as described in Mastin et al., (2016). However, since the drainage area ratio of the Dosewallips project area to the Duckabush River gage area is greater than the recommended limit of 1.5, the flow estimates from the shorter-duration Dosewallips River gage were chosen for use in hydraulic model. A flow duration analysis was computed for the Dosewallips gage to estimate low flows relevant to salmonid life stages. The median September exceedance flow was selected to represent typical flows for Hood Canal Summer Chum spawning, and the median daily February exceedance JEFFERSON COUNTY  BRINNON REACH EXISTING CONDITIONS ASSESSMENT Natural Systems Design 31 February 2025 flow was selected to represent typical flows for Hood Canal Summer Chum outmigration. Inflows for Rocky Brook were based on USGS regression estimates obtained from the USGS StreamStats (Mastin et al., 2016). The drainage basins for the project reach were delineated using the USGS Streamstats tool (USGS, 2019) and are displayed in Figure 29. The total drainage area for the Dosewallips basin at Hood Canal is approximately 116 square miles. The drainage area attributed to the upstream Dosewallips River inflow is approximately 101 square miles while the drainage area for Rocky Brook is approximately 9 square miles. Scaled flows for two nearby, unnamed tributaries, located on the right and left banks of the Dosewallips River just downstream of Rocky Brook, were added to the Rocky Brook inflow due to their relatively low magnitude and proximity to Rocky Brook. The total drainage area included at the Rocky Brook inflow location is approximately 10.6 square miles. The intermediate inflow applied at RM 2.8 accounts for flow that accrues within the model domain downstream of Rocky Brook Creek, with a drainage area of 4.4 square miles. Figure 29. Drainage areas utilized for hydrologic analysis and hydraulic model. Smaller tributaries were not explicitly included as separate hydrologic inputs in the hydrologic analysis and hydraulic model but were considered in the upper Dosewallips River and RM 2.8 intermediate inflows, due to their relatively low flow contributions at the scale of the hydraulic model. Discharge values used for current conditions hydraulic modeling and associated analyses are shown in Table 7. The 2-, 10- and 100-year recurrence peak flows are also referred to as the 2-, 10- and 100-year floods. We also calculated two flows that are critical to the timing of Hood Canal summer chum adult spawning (median September flow) and juvenile outmigration (median February). JEFFERSON COUNTY  BRINNON REACH EXISTING CONDITIONS ASSESSMENT Natural Systems Design 32 February 2025 Table 7. Estimated discharge values RECURRENCE INTERVAL DOSEWALLIPS RIVER DISCHARGE ESTIMATE (CFS) ROCKY BROOK DISCHARGE ESTIMATE (CFS) RM 2.8 INTERMEDIATE DISCHARGE ESTIMATE (CFS) HCSC Spawning (median Sept exceedance) 168 18 7 HCSC Outmigration (median Feb exceedance) 327 34 14 2-year (50% probability in any given year) 4,689 412 192 10-year (10% probability in any given year) 8,776 783 352 100-year (1% probability in any given year) 14,469 1,279 589 HCSC = Hood Canal Summer Chum 3.1.1 Tidal Datums The downstream boundary for the hydraulic model extends into Hood Canal, into the nearshore zone. The hydraulic model utilizes a constant stage hydrograph downstream boundary condition based on the tidal datums at Hood Canal. Mean higher high water (MHHW), defined as the average level of the highest tide for each day over a period of 19-years, was chosen as the tidal condition for all modeled flows. MHHW was computed using outputs from the Coastal Storm Modeling System (CoSMoS) over the period from 1996 to 2015 (Grossman, 2023). Available CoSMoS data station locations are shown in Figure 30. Data station 259 (located at - 122.786, 47.691) was chosen to compute MHHW for the project site. MHHW for this station location was computed as 9.15 feet NAVD88. This value was applied as the downstream stage elevation for all modeled flows. JEFFERSON COUNTY  BRINNON REACH EXISTING CONDITIONS ASSESSMENT Natural Systems Design 33 February 2025 Figure 30. CoSMoS data station availability in the vicinity of the project area. Full hydraulic model domain and Brinnon project reach endpoints shown for reference. 3.1.2 Hydrologic Effects of Climate Change Once peak flows were determined for the study reach, it was necessary to estimate the impact that climate change would have on these flows to understand and model future flow events. The Columbia Basin Climate Change Scenarios (CBCCS) project summarizes climate change projections for many watersheds, the closest to the Dosewallips being the Skokomish River (Hamlet, 2010). For each basin, the CBCCS projects the 20-year, 50- year, and 100-year recurrence interval floods into the future to estimate their magnitude in the years 2070-2099 based on one of two climate change scenarios. For this project the A1B climate change scenario was used, which is the higher of the two scenarios and the closest to current climate change projections. In addition, monthly mean model predictions for September and February were extracted from the model and compared to historic conditions to predict change during the Hood Canal summer chum spawning and outmigration periods. Data were downloaded from the CBCCS Project website (Hamlet, 2010). These materials were produced by the Climate Impacts Group at the University of Washington in collaboration with the WA State Department of Ecology, Bonneville Power Administration, Northwest Power and Conservation Council, Oregon Water Resources Department, and the B.C. Ministry of the Environment. The percent change in the Skokomish River floods from 2020 to 2070-2099 as estimated by the CBCCS and then applied as a multiplier to the Dosewallips floods to estimate climate change flows (Table 8). An important note is that the lowest flood flow for which the CBCCS makes estimates is the 20-year flood; therefore, the multiplier applied to the Dosewallips 2-year and 10- year floods is the CBCCS-estimated 20-year flood percent increase. JEFFERSON COUNTY  BRINNON REACH EXISTING CONDITIONS ASSESSMENT Natural Systems Design 34 February 2025 Table 8. Estimated Change and Magnitude of Future Flows FLOW PROJECTED CHANGE (%) FUTURE (2070-2099) DOSEWALLIPS RIVER DISCHARGE ESTIMATE (CFS) FUTURE (2070-2099) ROCKY BROOK DISCHARGE ESTIMATE (CFS) FUTURE (2070-2099) RM 2.8 INTERMEDIATE DISCHARGE ESTIMATE (CFS) HCSC Spawning -30 118 12 5 HCSC Outmigration 10 360 38 15 2-year 18 5,533 487 226 10-year 18 10,355 924 416 100-year 23 17,797 1,573 724 HCSC = Hood Canal Summer Chum; Projected Climate Change Impacts for 2070-2099 3.1.3 Future Tidal Datums To assess future conditions, relative sea level rise (RSLR) was estimated for Hood Canal at the mouth of the Dosewallips River using Miller er al., (2018). Sea level rise for the 1% exceedance RCP 8.5 emissions scenario was estimated as 1.3 feet for 2050. This value was applied to the MHHW elevation, resulting in an estimated future MHHW elevation of 10.45 ft NAVD88. This future conditions tidal elevation was coupled with the estimated future flows shown in Table 8. 3.2 Hydraulics 3.2.1 Model Development A two-dimensional (2D) hydraulic model of the Dosewallips River was developed using the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers (USACE) Hydrologic Engineering Center modeling platform, River Analysis System (HEC-RAS), version 6.4.1 (USACE, 2023). The model was developed to support characterization of existing reach conditions and future design phases and flood risk, with model outputs including flow depth, velocity, and shear stress. The hydraulic model used for this analysis is a subsection of a larger model which extends from RM 6.7, at the USFS bridge, to the river mouth at Hood Canal. The full hydraulic model includes three inflow locations, at RM 6.7 of the Dosewallips River, at Rocky Brook Creek, and near RM 2.8 of the Dosewallips River. The downstream boundary condition is located within the zone of tidal influence at Hood Canal. The hydraulic model domain and boundary condition locations are shown in Figure 31. The underlying terrain for the hydraulic model was developed using 2023 bathymetric bare earth LiDAR collected and processed by NV5 (NV5, 2024). JEFFERSON COUNTY  BRINNON REACH EXISTING CONDITIONS ASSESSMENT Natural Systems Design 35 February 2025 Figure 31. Boundary condition locations within hydraulic model domain. Hydraulic Structures Several hydraulic structures are included in the full hydraulic model domain. Outside of the project reach limits, the existing Dosewallips Road bridge over Rocky Brook is included in the hydraulic model as a 2D-connection in the model mesh. Bridge geometry data (high and low chord elevations) were estimated based on 2023 LiDAR data and the WDFW Fish Passage Inventory (Site ID 420135). A small opening was graded into the terrain to allow flow through a fill prism over the historical Dosewallips River flow path near RM 5.2. Figure 32 shows hydraulic structures modeled within the Brinnon project reach. Six crossings with US-101 are included as 2D-connection structures in the hydraulic model mesh. Culvert and bridge geometry data were estimated based on crossing information included in the WDFW Fish Passage Inventory, field measurements, and field observations. Several additional crossings exist within the estuary on private property and were not explicitly included in the hydraulic model due to lack of available data. Mesh cells were modified where data was available, or modeled to be intentionally large to avoid seeing these unknown crossing locations as hydraulic barriers. JEFFERSON COUNTY  BRINNON REACH EXISTING CONDITIONS ASSESSMENT Natural Systems Design 36 February 2025 Figure 32. Hydraulic structures included in hydraulic modeling for project reach. The hydraulic model mesh was created with finer mesh spacing in main channels and presumed flow paths and coarser mesh spacing in less topographically complex areas. The existing berm (Crossing ID 7 on Figure 32) on the left bank of the Dosewallips River upstream of the US-101 bridge was represented with a breakline with a mesh spacing of 5 feet. The existing vegetated berm is made up of rock/rip rap and is not a formally certified levee. The existing berm, as represented in the 2023 LiDAR terrain, is shown in Figure 33. Photos of the berm are included in Figure 14 in section 2.5 above. JEFFERSON COUNTY  BRINNON REACH EXISTING CONDITIONS ASSESSMENT Natural Systems Design 37 February 2025 Figure 33. Existing berm extents based on 2023 LiDAR Hydraulic resistance is characterized in the model by polygons representing differing surface roughness types, with Manning’s n roughness coefficients assigned using Chow (1959) and engineering judgment. Roughness polygons for this model were delineated using 2023 LiDAR data and 2023 NAIP imagery. The Manning’s n values for each land cover category are shown in Table 9. Table 9. Manning’s n Roughness Values CATEGORY MANNING'S N Forested floodplain 0.08 Grass floodplain 0.03 Grazed floodplain 0.03 Compacted surface 0.025 Impervious surface 0.015 Dosewallips River Main Channel 0.04 Rocky Brook Main Channel 0.045 Gravel bar 0.045 Forested bar 0.08 Existing wood 0.15 Buildings 0.99 JEFFERSON COUNTY  BRINNON REACH EXISTING CONDITIONS ASSESSMENT Natural Systems Design 38 February 2025 The hydraulic model was run in a quasi-steady state for the 2-year, 10-year, and 100-year peak flows and for the Hood Canal summer chum spawning (median September exceedance) and HCSC outmigration (median February exceedance) flows. 4 EXISTING CONDITIONS MODEL RESULTS Here we present flow depth and velocity output for four modeled flow scenarios and highlight implications for fish habitat and flood risk. Water depths and velocities during September (spawning life history stage) and February (outmigration life history stage), indicate that the channel is confined to a single thread throughout the entire project reach, with the exception of the distributary channels downstream of the US-101 bridge. Right bank floodplain features become more engaged at the 2-year flow, particularly in the area of high channel migration rates between RM 0.5 and RM 0.9. The 100-year flow shows inundation across the lowest areas of the alluvial valley, with significant impoundment on the upstream side of US-101, and an overflow channel spilling water eastward towards community infrastructure at RM 1. 4.1 Implications for salmonids With regards to aquatic habitat, the confined, single thread nature of the channel at lower flows highlights limited off-channel connectivity in the project reach, which, combined with limited instream wood to provide cover, makes the habitat for juvenile salmonid rearing very limited (Figure 34; Figure 35). This is important for critical life history stages for Puget Sound Chinook (see section 2.7), while Hood Canal Summer Chum exit the channel immediately after emergence. Figure 34. Modeled water depth for existing conditions spawning and juvenile outmigration flow scenarios Gray areas indicate extent of MHHW (9.13ft) JEFFERSON COUNTY  BRINNON REACH EXISTING CONDITIONS ASSESSMENT Natural Systems Design 39 February 2025 Figure 35. Modeled flow velocity for spawning and juvenile outmigration flow scenarios Gray areas indicate extent of MHHW (9.13ft) Figure 36 below shows a comparison of the distribution of depths and velocities in the project reach during February compared to reported preferences for juvenile Chinook rearing (Beecher et al., 2022). While it is important to consider how depth, velocity, and sediment overlap, a comparison of depth and velocity in isolation with habitat preferences indicates that while there are sufficient areas with water depth that are suitable for juvenile rearing, flow velocities are higher than suitable. This is due to a combination of limited connection to floodplain side channels during outmigration flows, along with a lack of perennially engaged stable large wood. Figure 36. Water depth and velocity distributions during median February exceedance flow Rearing preferences for Chinook overlain JEFFERSON COUNTY  BRINNON REACH EXISTING CONDITIONS ASSESSMENT Natural Systems Design 40 February 2025 Figure 37 below shows depth and velocity distributions during September, in comparison to preferred depth and velocity conditions for Chinook and Chum spawning. In contrast to juvenile habitat availability, there is some available depth, velocity, and substrate conditions that are suitable for adult Chinook and Chum. This is due to pool-riffle morphology forced by the relatively low gradient in the reach. This pool-riffle morphology produces deeper pools suitable for velocity refuge along with substrate sorting suitable for spawning (e.g. pebble counts in Figure 10). Figure 37. Water depth and velocity distributions during median September exceedance flow Spawning preferences for key salmonid species (HCSC and Chinook) overlain 4.2 Implications for flood and channel migration risk With regards to flooding, the 2-year and 100-year depth and velocity results highlight significant inundation on the southern side of the mainstem at both infrequent (100-year) and relatively common (2-year) flows (Figure 38; Figure 39). The majority of infrastructure in the town of Brinnon is located to the north of the mainstem, which is not significantly impacted by flooding at the 2-year flow indicating the effects of the berm construction , but has widespread inundation at the 100-year flow. The berm upstream of the US-101 bridge appears to prevent flooding to the north of it during the 2-year event but has limited function during the 100-year flow. Discussed in further detail in section 5 below, this is consistent with the assumed design intent of the berm, which was to provide erosion control rather than flood prevention. The lack of floodplain connectivity to the north at the 2-year flood is also an indicator of channel incision upstream of the US-101 bridge. JEFFERSON COUNTY  BRINNON REACH EXISTING CONDITIONS ASSESSMENT Natural Systems Design 41 February 2025 Figure 38. Modeled water depth for existing conditions flood flow scenarios Gray areas indicate extent of MHHW (9.13ft) An important observation in the 100-year model output is impoundment on the western side of US-101. Figure 40 below highlights the upstream extent of tides during MHHW, indicating that backwater behind the road prism at the US-101 bridge is not likely influenced by tides in the hydraulic model and thus is coming from river flow. This impoundment, along with that observed at US-101 crossings to the north and south, emphasizes the importance of adequate width of hydraulic structures designed to convey water beneath the highway, particularly with a projected increase in peak flows associated with climate change models (USACE, 2023). This topic is discussed in further detail in section 5 below. JEFFERSON COUNTY  BRINNON REACH EXISTING CONDITIONS ASSESSMENT Natural Systems Design 42 February 2025 Figure 39. Modeled flow velocity for existing conditions flood flow scenarios Gray areas indicate extent of MHHW (9.13ft) Figure 40. Water surface elevations indicating location of backwater influence by MHHW (red line) JEFFERSON COUNTY  BRINNON REACH EXISTING CONDITIONS ASSESSMENT Natural Systems Design 43 February 2025 4.3 Climate Change Historic flow records and climate change projections indicate a trajectory of both sea level rise and increased peak flows in the Olympic Peninsula region (Hamlet, 2010; USACE, 2023). Along with higher intensity flows produced by rainfall, there is also a projection of lower flows in the summer, due to a combination of glacial recession and more water falling as rain than as snow in winter months, reducing the overall snowpack. These observations are captured in the mid-century scenarios of the hydraulic model (Figure 42), and are significant for both fish and community infrastructure. Lower flows in the summer will have the highest impact on key salmonid species, with reduced areas of the depths and velocities preferred by returning adult fish to spawn (Figure 41). Figure 41. Water depth and velocity distributions and preferences for key salmonid species For both existing conditions and Mid-Century. Spawning preferences for key salmonid species overlain (HCSC and Chinook). Higher peak flows will have a greater impact on the community and Park infrastructure, with an inherent increase in flood depths and extents with higher magnitude inputs of water from both the watershed and sea level rise. The most significant changes in flooding are in flood depth, which has the greatest magnitude in areas influenced by hydraulic structures (i.e. culverts and bridges) that are undersized for projected flood flows. In particular, there is greater impoundment of flood and tidal waters near key hydraulic structures that cross US- 101, such as the area near the Community Center (Figure 42). Along with projected changes in flood risk, channel migration risk will also likely increase with climate change due a combination of changes in flow and associated sediment supply in areas that are already susceptible to channel migration (upstream of the US-101 Dosewallips River bridge crossing). Further discussion of these impacts are included in section 5.2 below. JEFFERSON COUNTY  BRINNON REACH EXISTING CONDITIONS ASSESSMENT Natural Systems Design 44 February 2025 Figure 42. Modeled changes in depth and velocity relative to climate change predictions During the 2-year and 100-year floods; Gray areas indicate extent of MHHW (10.43ft) JEFFERSON COUNTY  BRINNON REACH EXISTING CONDITIONS ASSESSMENT Natural Systems Design 45 February 2025 5 FLOOD AND CHANNEL MIGRATION RISK Along with assessing the hydrogeomorphic conditions of the project reach with regards to habitat suitability for threatened salmonid species, we also examined flood and erosion risk. This assessment used a combination of topography, hydraulic model outputs, historical imagery, along with previously mapped FEMA flood hazard zones. Five areas of heightened flood risk were highlighted through this process (Figure 43). These areas include: 1. An overflow channel that flows east through town, north of the fire station 2. Impoundment of water behind US-101 on the north end of town, surrounding the Community Center 3. The confined reach just upstream of the US-101 bridge on the mainstem Dosewallips (RM 0.4-RM 0.7) 4. Impoundment of water behind the US-101 bridge within the Dosewallips Campground. 5. Mass wasting hazard area to the southwest of the main channel. Below we walk through the modeled impacts and hydraulic context for each of these areas, and we follow up with an assessment regarding how flood risk is projected to change by mid-century. 5.1 Flood Risk Focus Areas Figure 43. Areas of heightened flood risk 1: Overflow channel north of fire station, 2: low area near community center, 3: berm area (RM 0.4-0.7), 4: low area between State Park Campground and US-101, 5: hillslopes susceptible to landslides on southwestern bank. JEFFERSON COUNTY  BRINNON REACH EXISTING CONDITIONS ASSESSMENT Natural Systems Design 46 February 2025 Area 1 - Overflow Channel North of Fire Station A low-lying overflow channel is present north of the fire station, which connects to the mainstem Dosewallips at RM 1.0 and flows eastward, connecting to the tidal outlet under US-101 at the Community Center. This channel is dry at typical flows (e.g. median September exceedance and median February exceedance), and at the 2-year flood. The lack of flows reaching this left bank floodplain area at a 2-year flow also indicates that the channel itself is slightly incised within this upper part of the project reach (Figure 38). At the 100-year event, however, the channel is connected to the mainstem, with 136 cfs of water diverted towards community infrastructure, with flow velocities up to 3ft/second. This water is impounded where it crosses Schoolhouse Road as there is no hydraulic structure (i.e. culvert or bridge) to convey water beyond it. The hydraulic model shows flows overtopping Schoolhouse Road during this 100-year flood event, and then impounding downslope behind US-101 as well, interacting with tidally influenced backwater and box culverts at the US-101 highway prism. While the channel poses a flood risk during infrequent, high-intensity flood events, the risk of the mainstem channel avulsing into it are low. Arguments for relatively low avulsion risk include 1) the channel inlet is 5-7 feet above the low flow water surface elevation (Figure 7), 2) the channel is on the inside of a bend, where water depths and velocities are lowest during peak events, and 3) the floodplain between the mainstem and the overflow channel inlet is colonized by a relatively mature mixed forest, with trees up to 150’ in height (Figure 21). However, these conditions could change as the channel receives more frequent flow with increasing flood frequency and magnitude with climate change. Area 2 - Low Area Near the Community Center The northern extent of the alluvial valley that confines the town Brinnon has two tidal inlets that are hydraulically connected via culverts under US-101. This area is also at the downstream end of the overflow channel described above and adjacent to the Community Center. A combination of water entering the inlets from both tides and this overflow channel causes significant inundation near the Community Center during high tide and flooding events, with flood depths up to 4-6 feet in depth outside of the main tidal channel (Figure 43). The two crossings at US-101 in this area are box culverts that have flows of ~240 cfs (northern crossing) and ~210 cfs (southern crossing), which is more than triple the amount of water that is diverted the mainstem via the overflow channel north of the fire station (~140 cfs). This indicates that a large proportion of the water in this area is sourced from both local runoff and tidal backwater from Dabob Bay. It is likely that water backing up behind the constriction from the US-101 bridge over the Dosewallips River (Area 3) flows northward to this crossing as well, as indicated by flow paths in Figure 35. The depth of flooding is projected to be higher with climate change, with this area being the zone with greatest change (Figure 42). Area 3 - Left Bank Berm Upstream of US-101 An area of particular focus in this assessment is the constructed berm on the northern bank upstream of the US- 101 bridge crossing of the Dosewallips River. The Brinnon community and Jefferson County requested an evaluation of the efficacy of the berm feature to protect against flooding and channel migration. Through assessment of the 1957 design drawing (Washington State Department of Waterways, 1957) and channel migration history (Figure 12), we determined that the intention of the berm was to provide erosion protection for community infrastructure to the north, rather than prevent flooding during significant flood events (i.e. 100- year flood). This assumption is supported by the non-continuous extent of the design, which ends 280 ft upstream of the bridge crossing, at a natural low-lying area that routes flood water around the berm and towards Easy Street and the highway prism (Figure 44). A more robust flood protection structure would have been more continuous across this low feature upstream. JEFFERSON COUNTY  BRINNON REACH EXISTING CONDITIONS ASSESSMENT Natural Systems Design 47 February 2025 Figure 44. Berm extent as designed (left) and observed in 2023/2024 (right) When comparing the berm with the original design plans (Washington State Department of Waterways, 1957) the height, extent, and condition of the berm are consistent with the original plans, and are succeeding at preventing northward channel migration along the existing length of the feature. The original design shows that the berm is approximately 540 ft long, and 7 ft high above the low-flow water surface (Figure 45, Figure 46). Field observations combined with newly collected lidar (NV5G 2024) indicate 640 ft more feet of berm extend upstream to the west, which is also functioning to prevent channel migration towards the town (Figure 44). The berm is constructed of rip-rap with diameter between 3-5’ (Figure 46), and is becoming vegetated on the top. We were unable to assess the toe at the time of survey, but cross sections of the topobathymetric lidar dataset (NV5G 2023) indicate that the shape of the berm is generally consistent with the original design plans (Figure 45, Figure 46). There is a low-lying meander scar that pre-dates available historic imagery upstream of the western end of the berm, which is unprotected by existing armoring and poses a risk of channel migration/avulsion towards the town (Figure 47). Avulsion into this feature would significantly alter current risk conditions, with a higher chance of both flooding and erosion towards existing infrastructure, private property, and homes. It is important to note that there is historic evidence of high migration rates throughout the floodplain on the opposite bank of the berm, due to a combination of sediment aggradation and a lack of stable large wood (see sections 2.3-2.5). JEFFERSON COUNTY  BRINNON REACH EXISTING CONDITIONS ASSESSMENT Natural Systems Design 48 February 2025 Figure 45. Berm cross section at three modeled flows (2-year, 100-year, typical winter flow) Cross section location indicated in Figure 44 Figure 46. Profile of berm design (WA State Department of Waterways, 1957) JEFFERSON COUNTY  BRINNON REACH EXISTING CONDITIONS ASSESSMENT Natural Systems Design 49 February 2025 Figure 47. REM and channel migration map along extent of berm Blue circle indicates low-lying avulsion pathway At the 2-year flood interval the berm feature is effective at preventing inundation behind it within the footprint of the constructed length (Figure 48), with the exception of the downstream-most 25%, where water pools on the northern side. The freeboard between the water surface elevations at the 2-year flood and the top of the berm is approximately 1.5-2.5’ (Figure 45). At the 100-year flood, the berm provides minimal flood protection, with water both overtopping the feature and flowing behind it from both upstream around the berm and downstream via backwater behind the US-101 bridge crossing. When comparing the modeled discharge of 16,337 cfs entering the project reach with the amount flowing out through the mainstem bridge crossing, we find that 13,150 cfs (80)% of water flows through the US-101 bridge, with 2200 cfs (14)% flowing collectively through the two crossings immediately to the north, and 490 cfs (3)% flowing through the crossing to the south (see next section). The remaining 3% of inflow flows out of the crossings near the Community Center. This partitioning indicates that 17% of flow during the 100 year event is flowing to the north of the berm, highlighting the low-efficacy of it to provide flood protection for the town. JEFFERSON COUNTY  BRINNON REACH EXISTING CONDITIONS ASSESSMENT Natural Systems Design 50 February 2025 Figure 48. Modeled water depth along length of berm at 2-year and 100-year flows A previous study (Aspect Consulting, 2009) found that flooding and channel migration in this area is in part due to backwater and sediment aggradation caused by a constriction at the US-101 bridge crossing. The backwater observed here is a common theme along the length of US-101 where it crosses the alluvial valley of the Dosewallips River (as discussed in sections above and below), highlighting a primary causal mechanism of flood and erosion risk to the town of Brinnon. An additional factor to consider with regards to the condition of the berm is the level of woody vegetation establishment on top of it. While the mature trees provide habitat benefits, root expansion within the riprap that the berm is constructed of may weaken the designed integrity. Vegetation maintenance to reduce berm deterioration due to tree roots is recommended to ensure that the berm is functioning as intended into the future. Area 4 - Flooding in Dosewallips State Park Campground The south-eastern end of the Dosewallips State Park Campground is located within a low spot that is confined to the northwest by alluvial deposits and to the southeast by US-101. The combination of low topography and lack of flow capacity within the US-101 highway prism show the potential for significant ponding of water in this JEFFERSON COUNTY  BRINNON REACH EXISTING CONDITIONS ASSESSMENT Natural Systems Design 51 February 2025 area, during both the 2-year and 100-year flood (Figure 49). A box culvert is present at the very southern end of this area, which is documented to cross State Park Creek in the WDFW Fish Passage Database, which enters the alluvial valley within the state park campground (Figure 49). The ponding in this area indicates that the box culvert, which is modeled to have ~490 cfs flowing through it during the 100 year flood, is insufficient to drain the water that enters the area. Water comes from a combination of State Park Creek, and backwater behind the US-101 bridge constriction spilling to the south. The depth of flooding is projected to increase with climate change (Figure 42). Channel migration risk into the state park campground is also prevalent, with the park located within the downstream translation path of channel meanders between RM 0.6 and RM 0.9. Previously installed rip rap and bank revetments in this area are degraded (Aspect et al., 2009; Figure 49), and likely have less capacity to prevent bank migration towards the campground into the future. Figure 49. Flooding in Dosewallips State Park Campground Area 5 - Landslide Susceptibility on Southwestern Bank The Washington state department of natural resources has two mapped, deep seated landslides on the hillslopes to the south west of the active channel in Dosewallips State Park (Figure 6). The morphology of these features is similar to that observed in recent landslides that that are known to be caused by cut bank hillslope toe erosion, such as the Oso landslide in 2014 (LaHusen et al., 2016). The proximity of historic channel planforms to these hillslopes indicates a high likelihood of future channel migration towards this area, posing a potential risk of future landslide activity. A landslide on this hillslope would add a large pulse of sediment to the river, which might cause both immediate change in channel planform, moving it more northward towards Brinnon and increasing the risk of channel avulsion as the channel reaches a new sediment equilibrium. Landslides also have JEFFERSON COUNTY  BRINNON REACH EXISTING CONDITIONS ASSESSMENT Natural Systems Design 52 February 2025 a negative impact on fish habitat, both disrupting navigation of returning spawners and suffocating redds with a large blanket of fine grained sediments (e.g. NSD 2024). 5.2 Projected Changes in Flood Risk with Climate Change 5.2.1 Findings from this Study As discussed in section 4.3 above, both peak river flows and high tide water levels within Hood Canal are projected to increase by mid-century. This poses an inherent increase in flood risk, with a greater supply of water to inundate low-lying, flood prone areas within the Dosewallips estuary and the town of Brinnon. A major finding within most focus areas in section 5.1 above is the impoundment of water behind road crossings, particularly at US-101 conveyance structures within the backwater influence of high tides. These impounded areas are projected to have the greatest magnitude of change in flooding by mid-century, with up to 2.5 ft increase in water depth near the community center. Water flooding this area is coming from a combination of tidal levels in Hood Canal and water flooding from the mainstem Dosewallips River, particularly just upstream of the mainstem bridge on US-101 around the berm. Along with projected changes in flood risk, channel migration risk will also likely increase with climate change due to a combination of changes in flow and associated sediment supply. These increases exacerbate existing channel migration processes in areas that are already susceptible to channel migration. The projected increase in peak flows will increase water depths and flow velocities and therefore shear stress on the bed and channel banks, increasing the erosion risk. Additionally, a high sediment supply is a large driver of channel change, as deposition and aggradation can cause the channel to change course. Sediment supply is likely to increase in the project reach due to a combination of glacial recession and erosion from increased peak flows higher in the drainage basin. These two drivers of change are likely to compound with existing conditions that are susceptible to bank erosion. In particular, the confined, single threaded morphology and lack of stable wood engaged with the active channel upstream of the US 101 bridge have led to a condition where the channel frequently changes course, preventing the capacity for mature forest to establish on the floodplain (i.e. inner cycle in Figure 50). This creates a positive feedback cycle where erosion and channel migration is likely to continue. JEFFERSON COUNTY  BRINNON REACH EXISTING CONDITIONS ASSESSMENT Natural Systems Design 53 February 2025 Figure 50. Diagram of the floodplain large-wood cycle (Collins et al., 2012) In forested river valleys of the North Pacific coastal ecoregion. 5.2.2 Summary of findings in 2023 Jefferson County Sea Level Rise study A comprehensive study of the impacts of sea level rise on the coastlines in Jefferson County was completed by ESA in 2023 (ESA 2023). In this work, ESA focused on a combination of flood and erosion risk along the entire coastline of the county, including the Dosewallips estuary and the town of Brinnon. The study applied FEMA base flood elevations (FEMA et al., 2019; total water levels from the 1% exceedance flood) along coastlines to map areas exposed to flood and erosion risk given existing sea level conditions. The team further delineated how flood and erosion risks will change with sea level rise projected for different time horizons (e.g. mid- century, late century) following Miller et al., (2018) (Table 10). They found that low-lying areas connected to freshwater tributaries were at the highest risk of flood inundation, with areas defined by bluff coastline morphology having a higher risk of erosion and bluff retreat than flooding. JEFFERSON COUNTY  BRINNON REACH EXISTING CONDITIONS ASSESSMENT Natural Systems Design 54 February 2025 Table 10. Range of Sea-Level Rise Projections for Jefferson County, WA ANTICIPATED TIMELINE LIKELIHOOD (% CHANCE EXCEEDANCE) SEA-LEVEL RISE (FT)A,B SEA-LEVEL RISE (FT) SELECTED FOR STUDY 2023 NA 0 0 2040 1% 0.8 - 1.1 1 2060 1% 1.7 - 2.1 2 2100 1% 4.6 - 5.2 5 Table has data drawn from Miller et al (2018), and is modified from Table 3 in ESA (2023). A: The range of sea-level rise projections above are all for the RCP 8.5 (high) emissions and summarize the range of projections for each stretch of shoreline throughout Jefferson County. B: The sea-level rise projections account for vertical land movement. The still water elevations and total water levels in Dabob Bay and at the outlet of the Dosewallips River for a 100-year storm event are higher than those elsewhere in Jefferson County (Figure 51, FEMA 2019), with still water elevations at the Dosewallips Estuary ranging between 12-12.5’ NAVD88, and total water levels as high as 13-16’ NAVD88 in Dabob Bay. The extent of inundation by total water level at Brinnon for the 100-year event, which is equivalent to still water and wave height combined, is shown in dark green in Figure 52 below. The orange and red colors highlight the flood levels with an added 1’, 2’, and 5’ sea level rise, representing 2040, 2060, and 2100 projections respectively. The figure visually highlights that the majority of existing buildings and the main transportation route in and out of town (US-101) are likely to be impacted by sea level rise over the next century. Figure 51. Still water elevations and total water levels for the 1% event Source: modified from Figures 3 and 4 in ESA (2023) JEFFERSON COUNTY  BRINNON REACH EXISTING CONDITIONS ASSESSMENT Natural Systems Design 55 February 2025 Along with delineating areas of flood and erosion exposure, ESA completed a vulnerability assessment, which combines exposure to flooding with sensitivity of existing infrastructure to that exposure, and existing adaptive capacity to react to a given flooding event. They found that the key features of risk in the town of Brinnon include the Fire Station, Elementary School, US-101, and the homes and septic systems within the existing and projected extents of sea water inundation. While the School and Fire Station are outside of projected end of century sea level inundation, they are near the maximum extent of flooding (Figure 52), which with incorporated uncertainty, highlights these areas as exposed to future sea level conditions. US-101 will likely be overtopped with projected sea level rise by 2100, but was not categorized as particularly vulnerable due to adaptive capacity (ESA 2023). Buildings and septic systems were highlighted as having the greatest vulnerability to sea level changes, with septic being the main wastewater infrastructure for private parties within the town, and many buildings and septic systems within the extent of projected seawater inundation (Figure 52). Figure 52. Sea level rise projections (ESA 2023) Green indicates areas within the current FEMA Base Flood Elevation (BFE), which is between 13-16’ JEFFERSON COUNTY  BRINNON REACH EXISTING CONDITIONS ASSESSMENT Natural Systems Design 56 February 2025 Along with a greater extent of flood inundation with sea level rise, there is also an expected erosional impact with higher water levels, leading to a retreating coastline (ESA 2023; Figure 53). Battalio et al., (2016) found that as sea level elevations increase, so do the elevations where waves dissipate their power. This change in elevation can lead to inland shore migration that is one to two orders of magnitude greater than the elevational change in sea level (e.g. 1’ of sea level rise = 10-100’ of lateral coastline retreat). This erosional process is an important consideration with projected changes in sea level. For the Brinnon project area, some degree of this erosional impact is expected in all areas, corresponding with the likelihood of different amounts of sea level rise. Figure 53. Erosion effects of sea level rise (Battalio et al., 2016) Source: Figure 7 in ESA (2023) 6 PRIMARY IMPAIRMENTS TO FLUVIAL PROCESSES Impairments to fluvial processes within the project reach influence both aquatic habitat for key salmonid species and flood and erosion risk to community infrastructure. The over-arching causal mechanisms of these impairments are: 1. The lack of large wood and disruption of the floodplain large wood cycle (Collins et al., 2012) 2. The long history of bank hardening to keep the channel in a single thread planform (Labbe et al., 2005) 3. Undersized hydraulic structures (i.e. culverts and bridges) that create impoundments during peak flooding events. Additionally, the low-lying elevation of Brinnon and the Dosewallips State Park within the estuary has inherent exposure to impacts from sea level rise, as discussed in detail by ESA (2023) (summarized in section 5.2.2 above). Here we outline the outcomes of each of the three primary impairments to fluvial processes and suggest applicable restoration actions (Table 11). 6.1 Disruption of the Floodplain-Large-Wood-Cycle Reference conditions of unmodified rivers in western Washington indicate that large, old-growth trees both on the floodplain and within the stream play a large role in channel morphology, by promoting a stable, multithread planform with abundant cover and complexity ideal for salmonid life-history stages (Collins et al., 2012; Fox and Bolton 2007; Abbe and Montgomery 1996, 2003). Abundant large wood and mature floodplain forests promote a cycle of channel stability, through a combination of distributing flow and therefore shear stress across multiple channels, and bank stability through root cohesion and velocity reduction from instream LWD (Figure 50, e.g. O’Connor et al., 2003; Abbe and Montgomery 2003). The combination of velocity reduction and flow complexity also leads to sediment aggradation and storage, which further reduces the degree of JEFFERSON COUNTY  BRINNON REACH EXISTING CONDITIONS ASSESSMENT Natural Systems Design 57 February 2025 incision often seen in modified rivers, further promoting connectivity to floodplain side channels, and promoting water storage and resiliency to summer low flows. Removal of large wood in this project reach, through both logging on the floodplain, splash damming upstream in the Rocky Brook reach in the late 1800’s, and direct removal of log jams, have disrupted the floodplain large wood cycle (Figure 50). As such, the channel above the US 101 bridge is now characterized by high channel migration rates, and bank hardening and modifications to prevent erosion towards community infrastructure. The resulting impacts as discussed in this existing conditions assessment include: 1) high channel migration rates, 2) lack of floodplain connectivity, 3) channel incision and confinement, 4) low complexity and cover for aquatic habitat, and 5) erosion of developing floodplain forest, preventing the establishment and growth of mature trees. Appropriate actions to mitigate the disruption of the floodplain large wood cycle and the resulting impairments to channel migration and aquatic habitats include installation of engineered log jams and riparian floodplain silvicultural treatments. ELJ designs would be targeted towards both stabilizing banks, promoting the establishment of forested islands, diverting flow into floodplain side channels, and creating habitat diversity for Puget Sound Chinook and Hood Canal Summer Chum. Silvicultural treatments will include the removal of invasive species and planting of conifers to accelerate the establishment of mature mixed coniferous forest. 6.2 Artificial Bank Hardening and Channel Simplification As discussed in section 6.1 above, erosive and flood-prone conditions have led to bank armoring to protect the Brinnon community, the Dosewallips State Park, and transportation routes. While these modifications have been often successful at protecting localized bank erosion, they have also straightened and simplified the mainstem Dosewallips River, disconnecting the river from previously engaged floodplain side channels and tidal distributary channels, particularly on the north side of the active channel. The impacts on rearing and spawning salmonids are paramount with these changes, limiting the available habitat for both adult and juvenile fish through both the disconnection to rearing channels, and armored and coarse substrate conditions from increased shear stress on the channel bed. Removal of floodplain connectivity also has negative implications for erosion and flooding, with only one channel to convey peak flows as opposed to a network of channels, leading to higher erosion risk and less predictable floodwater conveyance. In the long-term, the effects associated with the confined, single thread channel adds to many of the negative impacts influenced by a lack of large wood described above, including 1) a lack of floodplain connectivity, 2) channel incision and confinement, and 3) low complexity and cover for aquatic habitat. While mitigated in the short term through engineered bank armoring features (e.g. the left bank berm upstream of the highway), channel migration and floodplain erosion would be heightened as well without continual maintenance of these features (BOR 2005). Actions to restore floodplain connection while also maintaining bank stability near critical infrastructure include: improving the habitat value of bank revetment features by adding wood complexity, and connecting the floodplain and distributary channels within Dosewallips State Park by diverting flow with ELJs. This work would expand the restoration of the tidal distributary network that was undertaken with the Lower Dosewallips Floodplain and Estuary Restoration project (see section 1.3), via side channel excavation and ELJ installation downstream of the US-101 crossing. 6.3 Undersized Hydraulic Structures and Lack of Flood Protection The areas that are most susceptible to flooding, as shown through hydraulic modeling, are along the western embankment of US-101 near box culverts and bridges designed to convey water beneath the highway (Figure 32; section 5.1). With projected increases in both the magnitude and frequency of peak flows with climate change, these crossings will need to convey more water during storm events. Comparisons between existing JEFFERSON COUNTY  BRINNON REACH EXISTING CONDITIONS ASSESSMENT Natural Systems Design 58 February 2025 conditions and future mid-century hydraulic modeling results (Figure 42) indicate that the box culverts across Walcott Slough near the Community Center are projected to have the greatest increase in flood depth. Increased backwater behind the US-101 bridge across the mainstem Dosewallips River and the two bridges to the north is also expected. The lack of capacity of these structures, and the lack of flood protection provided by the berm upstream of the US-101 bridge also influences the flood flows in the direction to the Community Center, compounding the impact to that area. Suggested treatments include increasing the width and therefore capacity for these structures to convey water beyond the highway. 7 PROPOSED ACTIONS TO TREAT IMPAIRED PROCESSES This assessment is the first step in identifying opportunities within the framework of landowner and stakeholder input to address the geomorphic, hydraulic, and habitat impairments observed within the Dosewallips River Brinnon project reach. These impairments are typical of Pacific Northwest rivers and floodplains affected by historical logging, channel manipulation, and consequent disconnection of rivers and their floodplains. The impairment of fundamental river migration and flood processes has reduced the quantity and quality of habitats that are essential to supporting native salmonids and has increased the flood and erosion risk to the local Brinnon community, the Dosewallips State Park, and transportation infrastructure. NSD considered restoration actions that will 1) directly address the causal mechanisms of impairment, 2) improve the quality and quantity of habitats essential for Hood Canal summer chum and Puget Sound Chinook in the lower Dosewallips River and 3) reduce the flood and erosion risk the community and infrastructure. Table 11 provides an overview of the proposed restoration actions, their link to the causal mechanisms of impairment, and the expected results of each action. Future work will apply these proposed actions to create conceptual restoration plans to allow for continued community and stakeholder input. Table 11. Table of impairments and proposed actions CAUSAL MECHANISM RESULTING IMPAIRMENTS PROPOSED ACTIONS EXPECTED RESULTS Disruption of Floodplain- Large-Wood Cycle 1. Reduced channel stability and increased channel migration rates 2. Increased channel incision and reduced floodplain connectivity 3. Reduced aquatic complexity and cover (i.e. pools and large wood) 4. Increased flow velocities with corresponding coarsening of bed material and reduction of suitable juvenile rearing 1. Conifer underplanting and invasive plant removal 2. Construct Engineered Log Jams 3. Excavation of side channels 1. Promote conifer succession and restore the long-term large wood cycle. 2. Increase channel stability in near-term with ELJs and long-term with conifer succession 3. Encourage split flows into side and distributary channels 4. Increase flow partitioning to reduce channel velocities. 5. Increase in flood water capacity. 6. Creation of new juvenile salmonid rearing habitat Bank Hardening and Channel Simplification 1. Channel confinement 2. Reduced floodplain connectivity 1. Conifer underplanting and invasive plant removal 2. Construct Engineered Log Jams 1. Stabilize banks, near term with large wood, and long term with growth of planted conifers. JEFFERSON COUNTY  BRINNON REACH EXISTING CONDITIONS ASSESSMENT Natural Systems Design 59 February 2025 CAUSAL MECHANISM RESULTING IMPAIRMENTS PROPOSED ACTIONS EXPECTED RESULTS 3. Reduced recruitment of large wood and associated reduction in aquatic habitat complexity 4. Increased flow velocities with corresponding coarsening of bed material and reduction of suitable juvenile rearing 5. Flood and erosion risk without continued maintenance of bank armoring features 3. Removal of relict bank structures. 4. Addition of large wood to existing bank structures. 2. Aggrade sediment in intentional areas 3. Add habitat complexity features to existing bank armoring Undersized hydraulic structures and lack of flood protection 1. Impoundments to west of US-101 during flood events. 2. Increased risk to Brinnon community, State Park, and US-101 with climate change. 1. Implement a Comprehensive Flood Planning Process 1. 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