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JEFFERSON COUNTY
BOARD OF COUNTY COMMISSIONERS
AGENDA REQUEST
TO:
Board of Commissioners
FROM:
Jefferson County Sheriff's Office
DATE:
April 18, 2011
RE:
Jefferson County Target Zero Task Force Project
STATEMENT OF ISSUE: Contract between Washington Traffic Safety Commission and
Jefferson County Sheriff's Office
Project Title: Jefferson County Target Zero Task Force Project
ANALYSIS: The Target Zero Task Force Project will fund a traffic safety manager position
plus minimal funds in support of that position. The mllnllger will work to support Washington
State's Strategic Highway Safety Plan: Target Zero. The goal is to strive for zero motor
vehicle fata1ities and serious injuries by the year 2030. The project will focus on reducing
impaired driving and speeding as well as increasing the proper use of seat belts. The Target
Zero Manager will apply for traffic safety grants for law enforcement overtime, training, and
equipment, as well as traffic safety items such as bicycle helmets and child car seats. The
Target Zero Manger will also coordinate the teaching of traffic safety classes and CarFit
clinics for mature drivers.
FISCAL IMPACT:
The project is scheduled to begin July 1, 2011 and continue to June 30, 2013. The requested
amount is $42,985. Matching funds are encouraged, but not required. The listed match is
$87,415.
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RECOMMENDATION:
Approval of contract.
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Date
GRANT REQUEST FORM / PROJECT AGREEMENT
Washington Traffic Safety Commission
PO Box 40944
Olympia, Washington 98504-0944
360.753.6197 • 360.586.6489 (fax)
http://www.wtsc.wa.gov/
ldrake@wtsc.wa.gov
Authorization
Project title: Jefferson County Target Zero Task Force Project
Check the box(es) that best describes your proposal:
PRIORITY ONE PRIORITY TWO
Impaired Driving CollisionsDistracted Drivers
Speed Related Collision Occupant Protection
Roadway Departure Issues Traffic Data Systems
Young Drivers
Intersection Collisions
PRIORITY THREE PRIORITY FOUR
Unlicensed Drivers Older Drivers Work-Zone Collisions
Pedestrian Safety Aggressive Drivers Wildlife Collisions
Motorcycle Safety Bicycle Safety Drowsy Drive
Commercial Vehicle Safety Pupil Transportation Vehicle Train Crashes
Head-On Crashes Integrated Interoperable Communications
Emergency Medical Services
LOCAL PRIORITY AREA: Older Drivers
Applicant agency/organization: Jefferson County Sheriff’s Office
Applicant project: Jefferson County Target Zero Task Force Project
Director: Andrew Pernsteiner________________________________________________________________ Sergeant
Name Title
Jefferson County Sheriff’s Office 79 Elkins Road Port Hadlock, WA 98339 _apernsteiner@co.jefferson.wa.us _360-344-9760
Address City/Zip email telephone
Applicant agency/organization authorizing official (person with contracting authority):
Director
John Austin_______________________________________________________ Chairman, Board of County Commissioners_
Name Title
P.O. Box 1220 Port Townsend, WA 98368____________jaustin@co.jefferson.wa.us_ 360-385-9100________________
Address (if different than above) email Telephone
_____________________________________________________________________ ___________________________________
Date
Signature
WTSC Use Only:
WTSC Program Manager_________________ Planned Project Duration: From: July 1, 2011 To: June 30, 2013
Approved by
:
Name: ________________ Federal (HSP) Project Number:_______________
Title: Director_______________ Federal Funds (obligated) $__________________
Signature: ___________________ CFDA Number ____________________________ Date: ______________________
1
Washington Traffic Safety Commission
Project Agreement
Target Zero Task Force Project Requirements
Coordination of all NHTSA national mobilizations, to include tribal mobilizations as
?
identified yearly by NHTSA and WTSC
Manage the current High Visibility Enforcement driven Mobilization patrols, DUI
?
enforcement activity, Speeding, Occupant Protection mobilizations and other programs
as identified and outlined by WTSC. Responsibilities are to include and not limited to
budget tracking, funding dissemination, activity and reporting requirements, distribution
and tracking of Memorandum of Understandings. This may include assigned cities and
counties outside approved project locations.
Promote and participate with multi-disciplinary community agencies, using all available
?
resources and staff to promote strong collaboration and an integrated systems approach
to traffic planning at the local level.
Maintain and manage the Washington Law Enforcement Liaison (LEL) component for
?
the duration of Project Agreement. See attached criteria & guidelines.
Establish a baseline for the traffic safety priorities, utilize a detailed data driven approach
?
to support the proposed problem identification.
Report on specific deliverables and projects using the defined quarterly report form, to
?
support a Government, Management, and Accountability and Performance (GMAP)
format. This reporting system will be developed by the WTSC and recipients of the grant
funds, and closely monitored to ensure compliance with the project guidelines and
deliverables.
Work collaboratively with local media outlets to increase traffic safety awareness
?
addressing keys components of substantiated priority issues.
th
Submit monthly reimbursement vouchers to WTSC. Due by the 15 of each month to
?
cover all project specific expenses for the previous month. Monthly reimbursements for
this grant cannot exceed 1/24 of the total grant amount.
Establish a stakeholder advisory board, to include and not limited to local
?
representatives from engineering, education, enforcement and emergency medical
service (EMS) The Stakeholder Advisory Board is required to meet a minimum of once a
quarter and is required to be in place by August 1, 2011.
Integrate input from stakeholder advisory board regarding priorities, action plans, and
?
timelines. Analyze potential problems as well as opportunities, and adjust plans based
on input.
Attend and participate in WTSC sponsored Target Zero bi-annual conferences and other
?
meetings as requested by WTSC.
Maintain and update an effective web page to support the approved local program.
?
Updates must be completed on a quarterly basis.
2
Provide education and resources to the community, local school districts, and law
?
enforcement agencies implementing traffic safety projects, including grant opportunities
and programs offered by WTSC.
Educate the community on traffic safety priorities.
?
Provide office space and necessary office supplies to support the identified Target Zero
?
Manager. The assigned office space shall be readily accessible to the public and ADA
compliant.
Approved projects will be required to identify a .85 FTE for the duration of the program; requests
for reduction of hours must be submitted in writing and pre-approved by WTSC. Reimbursement
will not exceed more than 1/24 for total grant per month for the entire contract.
3
Jefferson County Target Zero Task Force Project
1. PROBLEM IDENTIFICATION
Geography:
Jefferson County is sandwiched between the Pacific Ocean and Hood
Canal with no roadways in its mountainous midsection. Approximately ninety-eight
percent of the paved roadways are two-lanes and they travel over foothills, curve
around coves, and bridge streams flowing out of the Olympic Mountains. Often the road
shoulders are narrow, lined by overhanging trees and populated with wildlife. Jefferson
County is a tourist and retirement destination.
Population:
Jefferson County 2010 census population is 29,872. This reflects a 15.1%
growth over the last decade. The median age of 50.16 years (2009) increased to 50.58
years (2010) (WA= 36.85 and 37.06, respectively). Jefferson County ranks second
highest in the percentage of people 65 and older (26.53%) compared with other
Washington counties (WA = 12.39%). San Juan County ranks first with 27.25% of its
residents aged 65 and older.
Economics:
Low wages in Jefferson County are reflected by a projected 2010 median
household income of $42,752, $12,627 below the Washington State average. This is
also reflected by the fact that 43% of children enrolled in public schools are eligible for
free and reduced meals program compared to statewide average of 38%. Medicaid
covered slightly over 61% of county residents giving birth in 2008 compared to the state
average of 47.8%. The unemployment rate for Jefferson County in February 2011 was
10.9%, significantly higher than Washington State’s rate of 9.1%. In 2009 the number
of nonfarm jobs in the county fell by nearly 10%, compared with less than 5% for
Washington State. Wage-earners tend to work at low paying jobs in the tourist, fishing,
or lumber industries and live in the rural areas. Seventy percent of the jobs are in Port
Townsend and because housing there is not affordable for many of these employees,
they live outside the city and commute. The mean travel time to work was 26 minutes.
Traffic Safety Issues:
There are 870 miles of roadways in Jefferson County’s 1,814
square mile area. WTSC Traffic Research and Data Center counts 92.9% of Jefferson
County roadways as rural (WA = 59.8%). Statistics show that there are a higher
number of fatality crashes per vehicle mile traveled on rural versus urban roads (61%
versus 39%) with 2.12 fatalities per 100 million VMT on county roads, 1.47 on highways,
and .77 on city streets. There are no interstate roadways in Jefferson County and only
7.1% of the roadways are considered urban. The average fatality rate for Jefferson
County from 2005- 2009 was 1.77 per 100 million VMT, considerably higher than
Washington State’s 5-year average of 1.02 per 100 million VMT. From 2005 through
2009, 42.9% of the fatalities in Jefferson County were in impaired driver involved.
Fatalities resulting from speed-related collisions dropped from 24.2% during the 2004-
2008 period to 17.9% during the 2005-2009 period. During this same period 87% of
vehicle occupants in fatal and serious injury crashes were wearing their safety
restraints. Half of the collisions resulting in a fatality from 2005 to 2009 involved a
distracted driver (Note: N=14 with a range from 0 to 6 MVF per year).
4
According to Countermeasures that Work (2010), fatal motor vehicle crashes per 100
million VMT begin to increase dramatically for the 65 and older population. Nationwide
they project that in 2030 this age group will be 19.3% of the population and will
represent over 20% of licensed drivers. Residents of Jefferson County exceed those
predictions today with 26.53% being 65 and older (WA = 12.2%) and making up 27.78%
of the licensed drivers (WA = 14%). Nationwide the fatal crash rate for older drivers per
mile traveled is higher for all but the youngest drivers.
Between 1999 and 2010, 33.3% of Jefferson County’s traffic fatalities were 60 years or
older (this age group represented about 30% of the population). The average age of
motor vehicle fatalities between 1999 and 2010 was 50.47 years. These statistics do not
include older people who died of medical causes while driving and subsequently
crashed their vehicle. In 2010 there were at least two drivers whose deaths were
determined to be caused by medical reasons rather than crash injuries. (Luckily, no
other vehicle on the roadway was involved in either crash.)
At the other end of the age spectrum are the children. There was a slight increase of
4.2% in the preschooler population (0-4) from 1990 to 2009. Jefferson County Sheriff’s
Office has operated a child car seat program since 2000. It provides child car seats to
residents who qualify (low income) and promotes a loaner car seat program for
grandparents who have visiting relatives. The demand has increased in both programs
due to the poor economy and increased fees charged by airlines for extra baggage.
2. AGENCY QUALIFICATIONS
Jefferson County Sheriff’s Office actively supports Target Zero. JCSO has hosted a
traffic safety task force coordinator since 1999. A dedicated Traffic Sergeant is a
certified DRE, SFST instructor, and serves as the Law Enforcement Liaison (LEL) for
the traffic safety program. The Target Zero Manager is a certified Child Passenger
Safety Technician Instructor, an AARP Driver Safety Program Regional Coordinator, a
CarFit Event organizer, Treasurer for the Washington State Safety Restraint Coalition,
and a member of the Jefferson Transit Citizen Advisory Committee. During the current
grant period, JCSO sponsored a SFST refresher course for law enforcement agencies
on the North Olympic Peninsula, a NHTSA Older Driver Law Enforcement Course, and
a Child Passenger Safety Technician Course as well as many AARP Driver Safety
Program classes throughout Jefferson County. Jefferson County Sheriff’s Office has
participated yearly in DUI and speed emphasis patrols and the Nighttime Seatbelt
Enforcement campaigns. They have worked with the four school districts to get flashing
beacons installed and have an active school zone enforcement policy. In the last 10
years they have received four Reducing Underage Drinking grants, several WASPC
equipment grants, WTSC school zone equipment grants, a DOH child passenger safety
grant, and some funding for local traffic safety projects from the Jefferson County
Sheriff’s Foundation. Jefferson County Sheriff’s Office participates in quarterly alcohol
compliance checks in partnership with the Washington State Liquor Control Board and
the Port Townsend Police Department. Additionally, JCSO has partnered with Jefferson
County Public Works in writing a Safe Routes to School grant and worked with the
Department of Transportation on their Highway 19 and 20 Corridor project.
5
3. and 4. PROJECT GOALS and SUPPORTING TASKS AND ACTIVITIES
The mission of the Jefferson County Target Zero Task Force is to work collaboratively
with city, county, and state agencies as well as businesses, groups, and interested
individuals to reduce the number and severity of traffic collisions in Jefferson County.
The goals have been designed to align with the priorities outlined in the Washington
State Strategic Highway Safety Plan – Target Zero.
A. Manage the programs of the Jefferson County Target Zero Task Force
Supporting Tasks and Activities:
1. Maintain a .60 FTE Target Zero Manager.
2. Support traffic safety activities associated with all NHTSA national mobilizations.
3. Coordinate with a Washington Law Enforcement Liaison officer who will be
associated with the Jefferson County Target Zero Project.
4. Act as a contact on traffic safety issues with local media; publicize and interpret
the Target Zero message to the public; issue press releases on timely traffic
safety issues; coordinate press releases with WTSC and WSP.
5. Submit monthly reimbursement vouchers and quarterly reports to WTSC.
6. Evaluate the progress of the grant using a spreadsheet with GMAP format.
7. Attend WTSC sponsored Target Zero Bi-annual Conferences.
8. Maintain a local and WTSC websites on JCTZ Task Force.
9. Maintain office space that is accessible to the public and ADA compliant.
10. Provide traffic safety educational resources to local schools, the community, and
law enforcement officers.
11. Hold quarterly stakeholder meetings.
12. Actively participate in community coalitions that support TZ goals. These may
include, but are not limited to, DOT’s Highway 19 & 20 Corridor Project, Safe
Routes to School programs, and pedestrian / bicycle safety programs.
B. Reduce the 3-year average of impaired collisions resulting in fatal or serious
injuries in Jefferson County
Benchmark: 2007-2009 4.67 Goal: 2010-2012 3.50
Supporting Tasks and Activities:
1. Write, coordinate, manage the finances, and report the results of grants for
emphasis patrols targeting impaired drivers. Issue press releases on these
activities in coordination with WTSC.
2. Meet with stakeholders to develop strategies using Best Practices and identifying
high collision areas of impaired drivers.
3. Coordinate alcohol compliance checks with the Liquor Control Board, Port
Townsend Police Department and Jefferson County Sheriff’s Office
Benchmark Goal Task
7/1/09-3/31/11
10.3% sales 7% sales 100 compliance checks
4. Host Responsible Alcohol Sales classes in Jefferson County
Benchmark Goal Task
4 classes 4 classes 4 classes
6 businesses, 12 businesses,
13 employees 20 employees
6
C. To reduce the 3-year average of speed related collisions resulting in
fatalities and serious injuries in Jefferson County
Benchmark: 2007-2009 6.00 Goal: 2010-2012 5.00
Supporting Tasks and Activities:
1. Write, coordinate, manage the finances, and report the results of grants for
emphasis patrols targeting speeding drivers. Issue press releases on these
activities in coordination with WTSC.
2. Meet with stakeholders to develop strategies using Best Practices.
3. Promote school zone enforcement and issue press releases on these activities.
4. Conduct driver enforcement of stopping for pedestrians in crosswalks.
D. Decrease the 3-year average of collisions resulting in fatalities & serious
injuries in which vehicle occupants were not restrained
Benchmark: 2007-2009 2.67 Goal: 2010-2012 2.00
Supporting Tasks and Activities:
1. Write, coordinate, manage the finances, and report the results of grants for emphasis
patrols targeting seatbelt use. Issue press releases on these activities in coordination
with WTSC.
2. Work toward increasing proper seat belt usage for residents 55 years and older:
i. Promote CarFit inspections on the North Olympic Peninsula.
Benchmark Goals Task
3 events 6 events Promote, advertise and
42 inspections 48 inspections perform inspections, and
5 trained technicians encourage DSP instructors to
8 demonstrate inDSP classes hold demonstrations in class
The CarFit program educates drivers on compensation techniques and the
availability of adaptive equipment designed to help drivers with physical
challenges to drive safely. “DSP News” reports that over a third of the 2,100
participants had at least one critical safety issue in need of being addressed.
3. Work toward increasing child car seat safety.
i. Inspect child passenger car seats by appointment (Proven)
ii. Administer a child car seat loan program to grandparents/ caregivers of
visiting children (Tried/ Recommended)
iii. Collect and destroy old or defective child car seats and “recycle” qualified
used car seats through non-profit organizations
iv. Give talks on the importance of child car seat safety to parents and
caregivers (Tried/ Recommended)
Task
Benchmark Goal
Inspections 160 inspections 200 inspections Promote child car seat safety in
media, perform inspections
Loans 24 24 Advertise loaner program
Used car 60 seats 80 seats Work with pregnancy crisis clinic,
seats consignment, and used shops to
reclaim old seats
12 talks 12 talks Talks addressed to preschools &
Talks caregiver groups, law
enforcement, or others interested
groups (e.g., Kiwanis)
7
E. Decrease older driver motor vehicle fatalities in Jefferson County
Benchmark: 1999-2010 33% MVF Goal: 2010-2012 25% MVF
Supporting Tasks and Activities:
1. Coordinate, advertise and teach AARP Driver Safety classes in Jefferson County.
Classes will emphasize impairment caused by prescribed medications and their
interactions with alcoholic beverages and impairment due to physical limitations.
Booklets on “retirement” from driving will be provided to participants.
(effectiveness undetermined).
Benchmark Goal* Task
400 students, 450 students, Promote, coordinate and teach AARP
30 classes 32 classes classes
2. Promote CarFit events (see D.2.)
F. Support for Safe Routes to School Grant in Pedestrian and Bicycle Safety
If Jefferson County’s Safe Routes to School Grant for Chimacum School District is
funded by the legislature, the Target Zero Manager will work with the School District,
Jefferson County Public Works, the Parent Teacher Organizations, and Port
Townsend Bicycle Club to organize and promote the following activities.
Supporting Tasks and Activities:
1. SmartCycling 101 Class for law enforcement officers
thth
2. Bicycle Safety classes for 5 – 7 grades at Chimacum School
3. Bicycle trains to encourage students to ride bicycles to Chimacum school
4. Ped Bee’s Safe Trips Education packets to Chimacum teachers
5. Enforcement in Chimacum school zone – speed and pedestrian “stings”
5. PROJECT GOALS
Activities and tasks have been identified in their listing as to their evaluation category as
identified in Countermeasures that Work or other documents. Most activities under this
grant are either proven, tried, or recommended. Evaluation criteria will include, but is
not limited to, the number and scope of the projects accomplished per plan, residents
reached and the accomplishments of stated goals. Further administrative evaluation
will be based on the support of local agencies, timeliness of reporting to state and local
agencies and other criteria as may be deemed appropriate.
6. BUDGET NARRATIVE
Most of the funding will be used to support the .60 FTE position of the Target Zero
Manager. The budget also includes 3-hours per month funding for a minor operative to
perform alcohol compliance checks. Travel funds will be used for child car seat safety
inspections at various locations, alcohol compliance checks throughout East Jefferson
County, and travel to joint law enforcement meetings needed to plan emphasis patrols
on the North Olympic Peninsula. Matching funds will be provided by the Jefferson
County Sheriff’s Office in the form of supervision and staff time, TZM benefits (medical,
L&I, employer contributions to FICA), office space, supplies, mailings, equipment use,
and phone.
8
Washington Traffic Safety Commission
Project Agreement
Section 3
Budget Summary
BudgetWTSC CostsApplicant Matching/
Contributing Cost
1. Salaries and Wages: $
Target Zero Manager .60 FTE @ 16.50/hr $ 41,283
Assistant 72 hours at $9/hr 648
Volunteer time and matching staff time $ 45,760
Supervisor $ 10,320
2. Employee Benefit $ $ 10,065
3. Travel and Subsistence: $ 1,000
Mileage for child car seat inspections in $ 1,054
Jefferson Co., LE meetings & compliance checks
4. Contractual Services: $ $ 8,670
5. Equipment: $ $
6. Goods and Services: $ $ 9,600
Donations $ 2,000
7. Total lines1-6 (Amount Requested from WTSC) $ 42,985
8. Total lines 1-6 (Amount provided by applicant) $ 87,415
Total Project Cost (Add lines 7 & 8): $ 130,400
WTSC Use Only
Cost Sharing Matching Share:
(Washington Traffic Safety Commission use only) WSP Field Salaries FY_____
Share Amount Percent Applies To:
Federal: $__________ ________ State:__________
State: $__________ ________ Local:__________
Political Subdivision: $__________ ________
Total Estimated Cost: $__________ _________
Washington State Traffic Safety Commission
9
Jefferson County Target Zero Task Force Project 2011-2013
Appendix
a.Jefferson County Motor Vehicle Fatalities Summary 2004 to December 2010
b.WS DOT Jefferson County – Reported Collisions 2004 through 2008
c.Jefferson County – licensed drivers by age 2010
d.Jefferson County - Local Traffic Safety Priorities – Fatality Crashes
e.Jefferson County - Local Traffic Safety Priorities – Serious Injury Crashes
f.Forecast of the State Population
Jefferson County Fatalities 2004 – June 2009
Date Age Driver or Gender # in Resident Impaired Seatbelt Vehicles Causing
psgr collision Vehicle
1 1/9/04 41 D M 1 No Yes ? C Y
2 3/7/04 54 D M 1 No Yes ? PU Y
3 4/6/04 57 D M 2 Yes No n/a M - ST Y
4 5/5/04 73 D F 2 No No ? C – ST Y
5 5/23/04 44 D M 1 Yes Yes n/a M Y
6 7/28/04 48 D M 2 Yes No n/a M-C Y
7 7/15/04 63 D M 1 Yes No* ? C Y
*ruled as medical
1 6/28/05 25 P M 1 No Dr – yes ? PU Y
2 7/7/05 53 D M 3 No No ? Rental C – Y
C - C
3 7/9/05 24 D M 2 Yes Yes ? C-C Y
4 10/24/05 86 P F 2 Yes No ? C-C N
5 11/22/05 56 D M 2 Yes No ? PU – PU Y
1 4/6/06 17 P F 1 No No Y C Y
2 6/24/06 88 D M 2 No No Y C-C Y
3 12/27/06 52 D M 2 No No No C-C Y
4 12/30/06 69 P M 2 No No Y C-C Y
5 3/4/06 36 D F 1 Yes No* Y C Y
*medical Diabetic coma
1 2/27/07 42 D M 2 No No ? C-C Y
2 5/5/07 54 D M 2 No Yes ? C- RV Y
3 6/4/07 56 D M 2 No No ? C-ST Y
4 6/21/07 53 D M 2 Yes Yes ? C-ST Y
5 7/11/07 60 D M 2 Yes No n/a B- Tt N
6 8/28/07 50 D M 1 Yes No n/a M Y
7 10/7/07 28 D M 1 No Yes ? C Y
8 10/7/07 24 P F 1 No Yes ? C Y
9 10/8/07 52 D M 1 No Yes ? C Y
1 1/14/08 74 D F 1 Yes No Yes C N/A
2 7/31/08 58 D F 1 Yes No ? C Y
3 9/11/08 62 D M 2 Yes No Yes C-RV Y
4 9/11/08 56 P F 2 Yes No Yes C-RV Y
5 9/22/08 59 D F 2 Yes Yes No C- Tt Y
6 11/15/08 27 P F 1 No No Yes C Y
7 12/29/08 66 D M 1 Yes No Yes C Y
1 5/14/09 51 D M 2 Yes No Helmet B – C Y
2 10/6/09 21 D M 1 Yes Yes No PU Y
1 3/1/10 59 D F 4 Yes No Yes C-C-C-PU N
2 4/25/10 74 D M 1 Yes No n/a M deer
3 8/17/10 76 D M 2 Yes No Yes RV-C Y
4 10/29/10 67 D M 1 No No n/a M Deer
5 11/19/10 41 M D 2 Yes No Yes C-C Y
B = Bike or Electric-assist bike M = Motorcycle T = Truck
Bu = Bus PU = pickup truck Tt = Truck with trailer
C = Car RV = Recreational Vehicle ST = Semi & logging trucks
Jefferson County 2010 Licensed Drivers by age
Driver's
both
license -
genders
age
16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
number 87 165 223 259 250 283 282 282 281 291
age
26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35
number 254 265 281 261 260 255 276 269 241 261
age
36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45
number 246 272 267 320 314 292 290 264 342 349
age
46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55
number 356 389 419 434 478 454 527 546 567 554
age
56 57 58 59 60 61 62 63 64 65
number 599 630 642 660 654 693 790 655 614 579
age
66 67 68 69 70 71 72 73 74 75
number 653 606 493 492 452 353 371 342 329 311
age
76 77 78 79 80 81 82 83 84 85
number 253 239 257 216 202 166 177 186 147 117
age
86 87 88 89 90 Over 90 Total
number 119 91 65 61 42 104 2,403
information from Dick Doane, WTSC 3/2011
Forecast of the State Population
November 2010 Forecase
State of Washington
Office of Financial Management
Senior Population
Washington’s population is aging, resulting in a rise in the average age of the population and a
burgeoning of the older age groups. This is a major demographic development which will have
profound implications for policy making and planning at the state and local level. In 2010 there
are about 823,400 persons ages 65 and older, representing 12.2 percent of the state’s total
population. Growth in this age group has been slow since the late 1990s, as the small birth
cohorts of the Great Depression entered their sunset years.
3
However, the size of this age group
is now increasing and is expected to accelerate after 2011 as the baby boomers enter this age
group. Current annual gains of about 20,000 per year are expected to increase to over 45,000 per
year in 2018. By 2030, the elderly population is forecast to reach 1,675,800 persons,
representing one-fifth of the state’s total population.
Population 65 and over
Year Population
2010 823,357
2030 1,675,774
The Most Elderly Population
The population 85 or more years old is about 127,200 persons in 2010. The size of this group is
expected to increase by 84,200 by 2030. Most of this growth will occur after 2020 when the
baby boom cohort begins to enter this elderly group. Assisted living, skilled care, and the
medical needs for this age group are expected to place increased demands on the resources of
Washington and the nation as a whole.
Population Ages 85 and Over
Year Population
2010 127,191
2030 211,399