HomeMy WebLinkAbout20201022_S Schumacher COVID corrected typoFrom:Stephen Schumacher
To:news@ptleader.com
Cc:Board of Health
Subject:Follow-up questions for Locke interviews [typo corrected]
Date:Thursday, October 22, 2020 2:09:03 PM
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[Oops, the Ireland lockdown started Oct. 20, not Oct. 21. - SS]
Dear Editor, the Leader,
In the latest Leader's interview with Jefferson Health Officer Dr.Tom Locke, he concludes, "We think the next three months might be themost difficult yet in the pandemic." What is the source for thisgrave prognostication?
From previous such statements and the timing of this one, I assumeone of his sources is the Institute of Health Metrics and Evaluation(IHME) model that currently predicts 262,163 new COVID-19 deathsnationwide between October 22 and February 1 if a hard lockdown isnot reimposed. (Note this refers to their "Mandates easing"prediction, which actually means lockdown "mandates are notre-imposed" according to the small print.)http://solmaker.com/public/IHME-201022.png
But on August 22 these same modelers were predicting 250,000 deaths
between then and December 1, which IHME recently had to downgrade to87,565 (probably still too high given current downward-directed trend lines).http://solmaker.com/public/IHME-200822.pdf
Why is Dr. Locke trusting these multiply-debunked IHME modelers, who
have been embarrassingly wrong time after time throughout this crisis?http://solmaker.com/public/DebunkIHME.pdf
What conflicts of interest does IHME have, given they were paid $279
million dollars (!!!) by the Gates Foundation to come up with theselow-quality models?https://www.gatesfoundation.org/Media-Center/Press-Releases/2017/01/IHME-Announcement
These aren't mere academic questions, since such fallacious models
continue to be used to push catastrophic lockdowns around theworld. On October 20, Ireland was locked down again due to hysteriaover false-positive-fueled "cases" despite a completely-flatnear-zero death rate (actually indicating herd immunity is beingachieved). Who's next?http://solmaker.com/public/Ireland-201021.pnghttps://covid19ireland-geohive.hub.arcgis.com/
https://www.npr.org/sections/coronavirus-live-updates/2020/10/20/925811935/ireland-to-impose-six-week-national-
lockdown-estimates-150-000-job-losses
See https://change.org/EndLockdownWA for more information.
Stephen Schumacher
Port Townsend, WA