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HomeMy WebLinkAbout047Michelle Farfan From: Sent: To: Cc: Subject: Attachments: Hollinger, Kristy < khollinger@eaest.com> Monday, April06, 2015 1:48 PM David W. Joh nson (djoh nson @co jefferson.wa.us);'peckassoc@comcast.net' Schipanski, Rich Pleasant Harbor - Comment Response Instructions Comment Response Assignments.docx;Appendix S_Economic Impact Report, Part 1.pdf; Responding to Draft SEIS Comments.docx; Planning Commission Public Comment 12-03-2015.pdf Hi David and Craig, As discussed, attached is a document with some basic instructions on responding to comments. Also, I realized I forgot to include the meeting transcript in the list and the package of letters I sent you last week. That is attached for your review as well, and comment assignments for the transcript have been added to the Comment Assignment list. Most of the comments from the meeting are assigned to EA. Craig, did you say that you will send out the package of letters, comment assignments and memo to the appropriate team members? lhavealsoincludedtheAppendixthatwetookoutoftheDraftSElSbyMichael K.Evans. Let'splantoresolveastrategy forrespondingtotheFiscalcommentsonournextMondaycall. lnthemeantime, lcanpulloutsomeofthemainfiscal comments and circulate them so we are all on the same page about what needs to be addressed. Thanks - Kristy M. Hollinger Planner Kristy ffi EA Engineering, Science and Technology, lnc., PBC 2200 Sixth Ave, Suite 707 | Seattle, WA 98121 (t) 206.452.5350 ext. 1726 | (0 206.443.7646 khollineer@eaest.com http://www.eaest.com a. fi ,"tor" printing, think about ENVTRONMENTAL responsibility 1 PLEASANT HARBOR F!NAL SEIS COMMENT RESPONSE ASSIGNMENTS Fiscal Letter 7, Comment 1, 8, 10, L2, L3,74 Letter 8, Comment 5 Letter 9, Comment 17 Letter 29, Comment 5 Letter 38, Comment 73, 2L, 24 Letter 40, Comment 6 Letter 47, Comment 5 Letter 7, Comments t, 2, 3, 4, 5,7, 9, 11., 12, 74, 17, 34, 37 Transcript: Comments 11, 30 TENW Letter 7, Comments 15, 16, 18, 19, 36 Letter 8, Comment 8 Letter 9, Comment 18, 19 Letter 12, Comment 4 Letter 14, Comment 5 Letter 15, Comment 2, 3 Letter 34, Comment 3 Letter 37, Comment 4 Letter 38, Commenl2,3, 4 Letter 40, Comment 4, 5 Letter 42, Comment 2 Letter 47, Comment 4 Letter 49, Comment 5 Letter 65, Commenl4, T ,8 Transcript: Comments t7, 18, 19, 21, 24 Scott Bender Letter 2, Comment 4 Letter 5, Comment 2 Letter 7, Comments20-22 and 24-30 Letter 8, Comment 8 Letter 9, Comment 9, LL,72, 74 Letter 12, Comment 5 Letter 14, Comment 2 Letter 15, Comment L Letter 27, Comment 2 Letter 37, Comment 2, 3 Letter 38, Commenl5, 6,7 Letter 40, Comment 7 Letter 47, Comment 3 Letter 49, Comment 3 Letter 53, Comment 1 Pleasant Harbor Final SEIS April2015 1 Com ment Response Assignments Craie Peck Letter 1, Comment 2,4,5,6 Letter 2, Comment 7,4,5 Letter 4, Comments 2-4 Letter 5, Comments 3-6 Letter 7, Comments 11, 16, 23-25 and 31-36 Letter 8, Comment 7, 3 Letter 9, Comment 9,70,22 Letter 1.2, Comment 3 Letter 11, Comment 4 Letter 29, Comment 2, 3 Letter 34, Comment 2 Letter 38, Comment 5, 6,7 ,9,25 Letter 40, Comment 3, 8, 9, 10 Letter 47, Comment 3 Letter 49, Comment 3 Transcript: Comments 10, 20 Letter 66, Comment 1 Transcript: Comments 3, 4,5, Rick Esvelt Letter 2, Comment 7 Letter 7, Comments 32 and 36 Letter 8, Comment 7 Letter 1L, Comment 4 Letter 12, Comment 3 Letter 34, Comment 2 Letter 38, Comment 9 Transcript: Comment 10 Geo Engineers Letter 2, Comment 2, 5, 6,7 , 8 Letter 4, Comment 1 Letter 7, Comment 35 Letter 9, Comment L3 Letter 25, Comment 1,2,3, 4 Letter 29, Comments 1-3 Letter 30, Commenl 1, 2, 3 Letter 59, Comment 1 Countv Letter 5, Comment 1 Letter 6, Comment 2 Letter 7, Comment 9,14,37 Letter 9, Comment 2L Letter 38, Comment 14, tG Letter 42, Comment 3 Pleasant Harbor Fina, SE S April 2015 2 Com m ent Response Assi g n ments Letter 47, Comment 1 Letter 65, Comment 5, 6 Transcript: Comment 7 EA Letter 1, Comment L,2,3,4,5,6 Letter 2, Comment 1, 3, 9 Letter 3, Comment 1 Letter 6, Comment 1, 2 Letter 8, Comment \, 2, 3, 4, 6, lO Letter 9, Comment 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 75, 76, 20, 2L, 23, 24 Letter 10, Comment 1 Letter 11, Comment L,2,3,5, 6 Letter 12, Comment L,2, 6 Letter 13, Comment L, 2, 3 Letter 14, Commenl L, 3, 4 Letter 15, Comment 4,5,6,7,8 Letter 16, Comment 1 Letter 17, Comment 1 Letter 18, Comment 1 Letter 19, Comment 1 Letter 20, Comment 1 Letter 21, Comment 1 Letter 22, Comment 1 Letter 23, Comment 1 Letter 24, Comment 1 Letter 26, Comment 1, 2 Letter 27, Comment 1, 3 Letter 28, Comment 1 Letter 29, Comment L,4,5 Letter 30, Comment 3 Letter 31, Comment 1 Letter 32, Comment 1 Letter 33, Comment 1 Letter 34, Comment 1,4 Letter 35, Comment 1, 2 Letter 36, Comment 1, 2 Letter 37, Comment L Letter 38, Comment 1, 8, 70, 77, L2, L3, 74, !5, 76, L7,18, 19, 20,22,23,24 Letter 39, Comment 1 Letter 40, Comment L, 2, 3, 9 Letter 41, Comment 1 Letter 42, Comment 1, 3 Letter 43, Comment 1 Letter 44, Comment 1 Letter 45, Comment 1 Letter 46, Comment 1 Letter 47, Comment L,2,5,6,7,8 Pleasant Harbor Frnal SEIS April2015 3 Com ment Response Assignments Letter 48, Comment 1 Letter 49, Commenl 7, 2, 4, 6, 7, 8 Letter 50, Comment 1 Letter 5L, Comment 1, 2 Letter 52, Comment 1 Letter 54, Comment 1 Letter 55, Comment 1 Letter 56, Comment 1 Letter 57, Comment 1, 2 Letter 58, Comment 1., 2 Letter 60, Comment L Letter 61, Comment 7,2,3, 4 Letter 62, Comment 1 Letter 63, Comment 7,2,3 Letter 64, Comment 1 Letter 65, Comment L, 2, 3, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9 Letter 66, Comment 2 Letter 67, Comment 1 Letter 68, Comment 1 Letter 69, Comment 1 Letter 70, Comment 1 Tra nscri pt: Com ments t, 2,6-9, t2-15, 20, 22-23, 25-29, 3t-34 Pleasant Harbor Frnal SEIS April2015 4 Com m ent Response Assi g n m ents Planning Commission Pleasant Harbor Master Planned Resort December 3,20L4 Public Comments - transcribed verbatim Commission ond opplicant responses summorized in itolics Chair Coker opened the comment period George Sickel (?), Brinnon, WA: First of all there's lots of documents that you've talked about here, is there any plan for the documents to be available here in Brinnon for the residents to review? I recognize it's on the internet, not everybody has internet access. And second - it's really hard to read these documents on the internet as opposed to a paper copy. Brinnon fire holl has o complete copy Mike Weld, Jupiter road, Brinnon, WA: How many acres does this whole thing encompass, and how many private land owners are going to be evacuated off their land to make this thing up? 256 ocres. No residents disploced. Miriam Burdock, Brinnon: Any provisions or plans for saltwater intrusion in the aquifer? lndecipherable. Woter quolity testing is in ploce. Advonced warning if ony soltwater intrusion. lf wells ore domoged, PH will make provisions to repoir, provided proof con be mode thot PH impocted their well. Rob Mitchell, Brinnon: I have here...this is the agreement that Statesman has proposed, and this states that the well has to be...(indecipherable)...DOE has figured that ....(indecipherable)...are, the well owner provides conclusive evidencethat overa statistically relevant period of time, chloride levels have increased. (C) Pleasant Harbor has the right to request additional evidence from the residents, showing that Pleasant Harbor...(indecipherable)...is the cause of the increase of the chlorides. The burden of proof is on the homeowner, and if PH replaces the water, it is at Pleasant Harbo/s cost to the homeowner and then the homeowner has to pay for use. This is in direct conflict with what the DOE conditions are for the water rights. ln addition, the pump test that was done was aborted after 24 hours for the well that's existing. A second well was never drilled and second pump test was never completed. So Statesman doesn't really know, does not have empirical proof that water exists or whetherthey're I EA 2 EA 3 Bender Bender 4 going to affect salt-water intrusion on surrounding wells. Which is going to occur on the edges of the lenticular formulation. That's in the draft SEIS. I ron the pump test, ond thot's stondard operoting procedure, to stop the pump test ofter 24 hours. Rob Mitchel!, Brinnon: No. ln the SEIS, it states the pump test failed because the generator failed, so which is it? Bock ond forth conversotion between unknown commenters. Stoff suggested putting these comments ond questions into written form so thot they can be captured ond responded to. Janice Richards, Harbor House, Brinnon: The gentleman said that there's no private property that's impacted by the new plan, and it looked to us like there's still a road going through our place and some other things going on, so we don't understand the change, or if we'll be impacted or not. No one is going to be "disploced." The Richards home will remain ond nothing changes. A "shuttle road" will not impoct the Richard's home. Janice Richards, Harbor House, Brinnon: So you can change a legal document that says that it's pedestrian access only, to a shuttle or whatever access? Not oware of ony legol document stating thot it's o pedestrion only occess. Janice Richards, Harbor House, Brinnon: Check with the Health Department. lt was an exchange for letting us put our septic system up on lot 2, we granted a pedestrian access. Victoria Marshall, Brinnon: We're waterfront property owners, and we look right at Black Point. Very supportive of this project. I have looked at the SEIS, haven't made it though I think 269 pages of it, but certainly through the executive summary and through the table, comparing the options. I think what we're talking about here is one of two options. One is option 2, or do nothing. I guess the comment I would like to make is that sometimes, the greatest degradation to the environment is poverty. And I have witnessed, while certainly people have lots of great concerns, that l'm concerned about the "do nothing" aspect, and leaving this undeveloped and then having piecemeal septics put in, more wells drilled. I mean something's going to happen to this property. I was very very impressed with the SEIS, I think it's well done. Well researched. I would like to add that my entire career was in resort marketing on a national basis. l've been in many meetings like this with a lot of communities small and large 4 cont. 5 Bender 6 EA 7 EAI County 8 EA grappling with a lot of issues. I think that the pace that this is going at, the careful work that's going in to it is impressive, and it's going to be a wonderful addition to the community. Joe Baisch, Brinnon: l've lived here for 23 years. I got here right as the federal forest policy affected the timber county of Jefferson very adversely. South County lost 40 family wage jobs and 4 timber companies went out of business overnight. About that time the county opted in to the GMA process. Now the Growth Management Act process was designed for that l-5 corridor section of real estate and applied dense urban planning standards to dense urban neighborhoods. And when we did this to Jefferson County, we put dense urban planning standards to building standards and code on rural residential prop - most of - rural residential zoned land, most of which applies to Jefferson County. And it's hurt our building trades and it's hurt people who want to split their property or develop their property. I know a lot of families that wanted to divide their property up into sections, and now it takes an attorney and ten to twenty thousand dollars to do it. Jefferson County, in the last 20 years that l've been here has been a leader in unemployment in Western Washington. lt's been consistently above 8%. When I moved here, we had 133 kids in Brinnon School, we started last year with 24. There's been an exodus ofschool aged children and school aged children out ofJefferson County because there's no work here. 87% of my kids in Brinnon School today qualify for free and reduced lunch. Which means they live in poverty. Over 50% of the school aged children in Jefferson County qualify for free and reduced lunch. They live in poverty. We've neglected economic development in this county. We need projects like this. ...(indecipherable)...work with WSU and Community Development, was a quote by John Knight of Northwestern University who spent an academic career studying why communities thrive and why they fail: "Communities that thrive focus and build on local assets; Communities that fail focus on...put their energy into their needs." And that is alive and well here. We need to thrive, and in order to do that we need to build local assets. This project is an asset, lt's taking a piece of real estate and making it an asset with Jefferson County. As many of you know, I ran for County Commissioner last fall and got an hour update on the dire situation the county is in terms of revenue. lt's going to put more and more pressure on property owners. We need this kind of development, that's well thought out, that's got global impacts in terms of infrastructure in orderto have a future here. So I urge you to seriously consider moving this project forward. Thank you. John Adams, Brinnon: Can you speak for a moment on how the wastewater flow is going to work in the months of April when you're not necessarily hydrating the golf course, yet you're still April through June receiving lots of rainfall. It's going to pond. And then infiltrote bock into oquifer. Prevented from dispersing into the Hood Conol. Don (indecipherable - Scangee?), Brinnon: When this politic completed thing. How much impact would do to the home-owner in the tax consequences? Would it increase? How much would increase my tax? 9 EA 10 Peck / Esvelt 11 Fiscal Thot's o questions for the assessor Don (indecipherable - Scangee?), Brinnon: But by doing this, it would increase the value of my property, correct? lndirectly, but thot's o question for the assessor. Jason Willouby (?), Brinnon: Joe Baish's question about employing people in the community. We just started this wastewater treatment facility here in the community, right? You guys probably know about it. Nobody here's involved in that. So if everybody's here worried about employment, why isn't all these locally people who are employed up there - we never got the Voice and the-or-l think - employed the paper. lf anybody knows anything about it, please back me up here, but it was never announced in our paper here in our community but it was in Clallam, Mason, so none of our resources here was able to even hear, because we didn't know about it. I mean, so if everybody's worried about these jobs and this, why in the frick aren't we up there working on this wastewater treatment facility for the county of Brinnon? Why are we worried about this resort?...(indecipherable)...it boils my blood, because I need a job and there aren't jobs up here. I got injured in a logging accident two years ago and I haven't been able to work, but man, if everybody's worrying about jobs and I don't think anybody up here's able to. Or nobody's giving us the opportunity to....why don't these companies require to hire locally? There's many guys out there with a shovel and a rake who want to work. A lot of people don't have internet access and smart phones, they check for notices and information at the post office. ln the onolysis, there may be as mdny os 253 jobs creoted during ond ofter construction of the resort. Mike Weld: Two years ago, my wife and I went to a meeting and Garth Mann was here, and he filled this little sketchy thing up here that's on the table for us to look at of what he had planned out, and we asked him where are you going to get the people to work this, and he said "well, l'm going to bring most of them in from China, because Chinese people work better than the American people do, and according quality work. So if he's going to do bring in a lot of people from out of state, what good's it going to do us to apply to work for them when he's going to have other people from other countries do it? BOCC condition in the Development Agreement, regording requiring odvertising locally, recruiting locolly, give preference to local oppliconts, providing they ore quolified. Stew Engle (?), Brinnon: I think the thing to remember is, you don't get the job if we don't get the thing built to begin with. Jobs are almost secondary to this thing. We have to develop it, and then get the tax base, and the jobs a lot of them, I agree with you, aren't living wage jobs. But neither are McDonalds, l2 EA 11 cont. 13 EA t4 EA They're stepping stone jobs. lf one doesn't do it, then you work two. A lot of people in this community work more than one job. But I think the most important thing to remember is that the thing has to be built first. Nicole Black, Brinnon: The reference to the jobs, that actually came up in the 2007 meeting. That was one of the big topics and they all came forward in the EIS and were like - Hey we want to make sure we have...causelwaslike, lknowcontractors...andwanttomakesuretheytakelocals. Thenextthingl wanted to do was go back to something that Joe said about local assets. And he made a quick little assumption there that the resort is an asset. And it's actually sitting on our asset, And our people are a local asset, and our infrastructure is a local asset. So before we just assume that this is a local asset, I want to consider what it's going to take from and as we move forward, which I am pro, but I want to move forward in a very cautious way. I asked a question about the water because if we have to balance out equities between green grass, and water up the river, I hope that the MPR would say communicate, integrate - not just build and pull their selves away from the community, that's not the way to do it, and I hope the Planning Commission really takes the time to look at all of the questions. These are good people, but they want to feel like they're being heard and want to know that you guys are listening, and this gets done correctly. Richard Whitcom, Brinnon/County lines: I might go play golf it's built, l'll go to the restaurant. I go to the marina once a year, but one thing that's going to impact all of us, whether you're pro or con, nobody talks about it, is the highway. And it's just a highway, but it's really a lifeline. Go back to before the bridge was built - the bridge sank in '80, and everybody comes up and down, they repair it, and everybody comes up and down. Think of Hoodsport, think of the light they're going to have to put down there. lt's just a way of life that's going to disappear, and that's sad, because the road really, they can't handle all this new traffic. There's no problem there, because it's a really under-utilized road but wouldn't it be more likely a life line - so you make this decision to the Council, to the Commissioners, l'd put some weight on it. Because it's going to be a future thing that might be cursed when the road's to capacity and there's only one road. lt is - you know what's going to happen, I was 36 years over in King County and l've seen a lot of us come and go, and l'm pretty worried this is going to happen. But how do you - it's just such a big deal -there's twice as much build out, so the road's going to have twice as much traffic. lt's really going to impact everybody. So look at that point, and when the bridge goes out, which it willagain, we can use one road. That's all I can say. Yes, WSDOT has been involved oll olong. They were involved in scoping at intersections, etc., looking ot sofety, levels of service, shuttle transportation, ond trip generotion. Un-named commenter: Regarding the traffic study. The original level of service evidence was from the year 2000. The actual auto count was from the year 2006, During the entire traffic study, for some reason,noneoftheothersegmentsof roadwayaccidentsandincidentswereincluded. Onlyaccidents and incidents at intersections were included. Out of the 4100 car trips predicted per day, 65 percent are going to go up and over Mount Walker, that's over 2600 cars a day over Mount Walker Pass. Mount Walker Pass is one of our more notorious roll-over points, including our own Sheriff's department, 1200 cars will be traveling south, and the first serious corner is L/10th of a mile South of Black Point Road. t4 cont. 15 EA t7 TENW 18 TENW Many roll-overs, in fact we have a chip truck that disintegrated there last year. We had a head on fatality collision between an SUV and an oiltanker trunk right in front of Canal Tracts. Further South, I believe it's six miles, is McDaniel Cove. Everybody who lives around here knows how bad that is. None of those places were ever considered in this traffic study. Why? The majority of serious accidents do not occur at intersections. Everyone who's here, knows that. Weren't required to look at those incidents, due to the low count of those occidents. Don Haren (?), Brinnon: My thing was, or understanding, was that this is a destination resort, more so than something that's going to have people here continuously. So, winter-time, very low traffic. What's the main mode of transportation for people coming here? Both destination, ond some stoys. Automobile is moin mode of tronsportotion. There will be a van from the airport. And o von for tours. Un-named commenter: I guess I have a question about build-out, timing of build-out and...indecipherable...l live in Cape George, I have a (indecipherable) in Port Ludlow, and there's been so many vacancies in both those areas. There's the big hotel out there that is completely vacant. And l'm wondering where are the people going to come from? And if they don't come at some anticipated level, you know, is there is this capitalized enough that the County isn't going to get left with some bag for maintaining roads or other infrastructure? lt just seems very very ambitious to me. Un-named commenter: I have another point regarding the traffic. The shuttle bus that's proposed and the tour van that's proposed in your traffic study it's assumed that you're going to have 1"00% capacity, which was supposed to take up to 260 car trips a day off of the 4100. Even in your study in the SEIS, you admit that that's probably not going to happen. And I say, human nature, most likely will not happen. Another point that I have to make is that the Duckabush Rd itself is going to get 2% of the car trips, which is say 1.20 cars a day. Even if that's a L0 hour period, that's L2 cars an hourgoing up the Duckabush, which, half of the Duckabush, according to you is 1L foot wide lane widths, which it's not. It's 8 foot and then it goes into the Duckabush extension, which is forest service road. And then it goes to the Duckabush trail which can park approximately 30 cars for the M--- Falls trail, which has room for about 8. Where are those 120 cars going? One of the priorities in terms of troffic, is recreation. The ossumption is thot those cars will be recreating. Un-named commenter, cont: on top of that, the forest service has just done a study, and their usage of trailheads is up 25%. So we are experiencing a huge increase of car traffic, up my road in particular, and 18 cont. 19 TENW 20 E,AI Peck 2l TENW 22 EA where are all these people going to go? And what are they going to do? There is no fishing access past where I live, and I don't know what they're going to do. lt's going to be gridlock in the woods. Un-named commenter: The gentleman next to me here, you have an amazing capacity for the facts. It's just awesome. I wish I had that. I guess, what I have to say is more anecdotal. We have - I spent 20 years living in the Sun Valley, ldaho, area. We also have a second home in Sun Peaks area in BC. And our home in the Sun Peaks area is kind of like the Duckabush. We didn't buy in the resort village, we bought - it's off a country road,7 kilometers away. I can tellyou that we don't get anything. The impact - I don't have numbers - but we don't have a whole bunch of people driving down our road. Un-named commenter: I live on the Duckabush and there is more traffic on the road, and they speed on the road, and they kill livestock, they kill dogs, hit kids. We've had problems on the Duckabush. This needs to be considered. Un-named commenter: I would submit, though, that the type of people that resorts attract are going to be more interested in golf, and more interested in those types of activities. And I hear you, I understand that you have concerns. Un-named commenter: Do you live on the Duckabush? Un-named commenter: No. I ride my bike on the Duckabush allthe time. So riding the bike up the Duckabush, there's no lanes. Yes in the summertime, it's really busy, and lgetthat. But, you know, I don't know that that's a reason to not let something - or to oppose something like this, We can all think of reasons not to have things changes, but there's also, there are really a lot of positive things that can come out of this. Un-named commenter: Ma'am, ljust want to address something you just said. lt's not about not wanting change or not wanting this to happen, it's about recognizing the problems before they happen, having a little bit of fore-thought and saying let's plan this so that we consider these kinds of problems, and build the infrastructure needed. John Dowd, Brinnon: After working 27 years for the Jefferson County road department, I can tell you there's no forcing Jefferson County to maintain portions of the Duckabush road that's only 8 feet wide in either lane. Only if there's a broken piece of blacktop. George Sicke!: Let's turn more to the positive. Why should we be approving this? lt will double the tax base in Brinnon, More than. I mean conservatively. Which means more taxes for the schools, for the fire department. They're proposing a medical facility so we don't have to travel to Shelton, to Port Townsend, to Silverdale to get medical services. There'll be a sales tax increase. The County is already hurting, They're spending more money than they have coming in, so they need to increase the tax base in one form or another. This'll increase the sales tax base, the motel tax and then also look at the spin- off businesses that will occur. Nicole will be able to have more people riding her horses. There'll be a shuttle service to be able to go to the casino - north or south. There'll be hiking opportunities - guided hikes. That's what those people would be doing, going up the Duckabush. There'll be people here to go diving, and that'll hopefully Don Coleman's going to be able to add additional boats. There'll be fishing opportunities. There's so many good things that can come of this, and we have struggled now for 8 years. lt's going to be two more years at a conservative estimate when they're going to be able to break ground here, so believe it or not it's going to be 2020 before we even see this tax coming in. So, what 23 EA 24 TENW 25 EA 26 EA 27 EA 28 EA 29 EA do we want to do, do we want to put it off for another 5 years? Or do we want to have Garth pull his money out and subdivide that area into one acre, two acre or 5 acre tracts and have allthese additional wells and septic systems? So think about those things, and don't totally look at allthe negatives coming out, but look at the positive things that this can do for our community, for all of South County, and for all ofJefferson County. Thank you. Un-named commenter: ln return to Mr. Shickel's comment, I don't dive, I don't golf, I don't ride horses and I don't do all the things that you described will happen to our taxes, but our taxes will increase and I don't know about you but I live on a very fixed income, because l'm retired. I can't really afford a lot of tax increase. Phil Dunster, Brinnon: My wife and I moved here about 7 years ago, We're fortunate - more fortunate than most - because when we moved here, we brought our jobs with us. We telecommute. We work for a company that's on the other side of the water. One of the things that makes me sick, is when I kind of needle out of people here that have to commute to places like Port Townsend or Shelton for their jobs, the price of fuel is high, negates and cuts off their income level because they're traveling and they'vegotall theseextraexpenses-they'vegotmoremaintenancetodoontheircars. Formeto work out of my house is a real benefit for me. What I see here is that yes, there's jobs being created here, but a lot of them being created may not be at the highest levels, but the ability to have a local job, to be able to put your local kids who are without having to worry about what am I going to do this summer. George mentioned the tax base - the County's struggling. We've got budget cuts, revenue shortfalls. lthink it's time that we all realized that the resorts going to bring allthis revenue, doubling the tax base. This is a key thing for us. Our residents are over-taxed. Property owners - my property taxes keep going up. Oddly enough, because of the restrictions on waterfront properties, waterfront properties are going down, so the County's balancing it by increasing taxes off of waterfront properties. l'm not pleased about it and l'm sure nobody in this room that owns property is pleased about it. And really, what better way to pay your bills than from people bringing in money from out of the area? You know, that makes sense. We've going to increase our sales tax revenue from people that are coming here from out of County. Jefferson County's biggest exports are dollars. When you want to go shop, there's - a resident said to me the other day: You know, a good example of why people go to shop in Clallam County or Mason County or Kitsap County - you can't even buy underwear in this County. lt's a basicnecessity,andlthoughtitwasfunnywhenitwassaidtome,butreally,it'sareality. lt'soneofthe things I read online this week: They compared the resort to the dam on the Elwha River. And I thought that was kind of funny, because really, they were talking about the environmental impact and the dam and how it took a hundred years to correct it. Well, a lot more is known about the environment today and how to correct it, than there was in 1910. The EIS they've demonstrated that this is a low-impact development. This isn't something that should be the way of the future, it should be the way of today. I think it's time that we bring a little prosperity back to our county. Don Skangee (?): I travel to Port Ludlow over the years. l've been living here for 7 years. I have heard a lot of people from Ludlow share the same comments, the same concerns as here today. But look at Port Ludlow today, compared to what we could become like Port Ludlow. They're more prosperous, they have businesses, bring in a lot more revenue. And so yes, I think that at the beginning it may be a little painful, because of inconvenience and this and that. But that is progress. I would love to live where I am now and don't have any changes - no traffic so forth - but this place is dying, it truly is. I have a friend who looked for 3 years to find a job. He used to live on Duckabush. Couldn't find a job anywhere, 29 cont. 30 Fiscal 3r EA 32 EA had to move away, almost lost his house, I think a lot of time we're so concerned about our individual comfort - I can understand that - but this place is dying. We don't have anything to bring in and infuse the community. Have the opportunity to work - to go to school - better teachers. I think we're fooling ourselves. Nothing will remain the same forever. lf progress don't come today, it will come tomorrow. Un-named commenter: I have two points. Progress is inevitable, it's a question of how much the surrounding infrastructure can absorb it. The problem with a development of this scale is that this infrastructure's going to get slammed. lt's going to have a very hard time absorbing all these impacts. Addressing George Sickel's comment about taxes. This project which was originally supposed to be 4-7 years, and now it's 4-10 years, depending on how the economy goes, supposed to be built in phases. We could be seeing a 10 year period of just slowly kind of trying to get to the finished phased. lt's only after full build-out that the collection of taxes will have a positive effect. There will be a certain amount of revenue from the building phase, but a lot other negative effects. After the taxes are collected, 6.5 goes to the State, 2.5 goes back to Port Townsend to be distributed as the County seat sees fit. lt doesn't mean that any of that money is going to be used to take care of the infrastructure in Brinnon or the surrounding areas. The money that goes to the State goes to an open pool. And so, yes, in theory, this revenue is going to be a great boon to the County. But is it going to be a boon to the people who have to withstand the increased traffic, and not being able to get to the doctor if any accidents on 10L, and the risk of losing their wells on Black Point. ls that tax money going to help those people? Un-named commenter: You plan on gradually building out to up to 890 units. What if you build 400 units and they're not selling, Do you stop there? Or will you build out fully? The EIS soid thot build-out will occur at morket demand. Chair asked for written comments, and closed the public comment period. 32 cont. 33 EA 34 EA 1 Economic lrnpact of Developing the Pleasant Harbor Marina and Golf Resort in Brinnon, Jefferson Gounty, WA, as part of New EB-s Regional Center in Western Washington. Prepared for: The Statesman Group of Gompanies 9300 E. Raintree Drive, Suite 100 Scottsdale, A285260 Prepared by: Michael K. Evans Evans, Carroll & Associates, lnc. 2795 NW 26th St. Boca Raton, FL 33434 561-470-9035 mevans@eva nscarrol lecon. com April, 2012 2 + Table of Contents 1. Executive Summary 2. f abulation of Principal Results 3. lntroduction and Scope of Work 4. Brief Discussion of RIMS ll model 5, Explanation of Calculation for lndirect Jobs 6. Economic Parameters for Jefferson, Kitsap, and Clallam Counties 7. Location of Pleasant Hill Marina and Golf Resort 8. Economic lmpact of Construction in Each of Three Phases 9. Economic lmpact of Operations in Stage 1, All Phases 10. Economic lmpact of Operations in Stage 2, Phase 1 11. Economic lmpact of Operations in Stage 2, Phases and 3 12. Summary Statistics for Pleasant Harbor Marina by Stages Appendix: Resume of Dr. Michae! K. Evans 3 4 8 I 12 17 25 31 38 40 41 50 53 3 1. Executive Summary . The Statesmen Group of Companies plans to develop and operate the Pleasant Hill Marina and Golf Resort, to be located at 308913 US Highway 101, Brinnon, WA 98320, which is in Jefferson County. The project will take approximalely 7 years to complete, so the economic impact analysis is presented in three phases. The actual tasks undertaken in each phase are discussed below. Each of these stages will take slightly longer than 2 years to complete. . All of the economic impact calculations in this report are based on the RIMS ll inpuUoutput model coefficients for the three-county area that includes Clallam, Jefferson, and Kitsap counties in Washington state. . The resort is being developed as a Master Planned Resort Community. Stage 1, will be used for the initial stages of development. These projects will include a waste water reclamation plant, conversion of a land depression to a reservoir, the redevelopment of the marina operations, the construction of the Maritime Village with 42 units and 11,700 square feet of retail space, and two 12-plex buildings for guest facilities. Based on these figures, there will be 233 jobs created from conshuction activity, and 48 jobs from operations of the hotel and retail space, for a total of 281 jobs in Stage 1. . Stage 2 is divided into two phases, each of which is expected to take 27 months. Phase t has an expected hard construction cost budget ol$47.74, which would create a total of 577 jobs from construction. Phase 1 of Stage ll includes the construction and grading of the golf course, plus the central resort complex of 140,000 square feet. That central building will include restaurants, a spa/fitness center, conference centers, a wedding chapel (no full-time jobs), management offices, and retail stores. The resort will construct a building for the storage of golf carts and other equipment, and staff housing to accommodate 104 ful!-time support staff. As explained in more detail in Section (10), the activity in the resort complex will generate about 424 new jobs from operations, and a total of 1,001 new jobs for this part of the project. . Phases 2 and 3 of Stage ll have an expected hard construction cost budget of $148.94 million, which would create 1,801 new jobs from construction activity. lt will include the terrace resorts for short-term stays and 293 villas and vistas for longer-term stays, some of which may be second or vacation homes; those facilities would create 176 new jobs, for a total of 1 ,977 new jobs for this part of the project. . Since this resort is in a rural area, it will be located in a TEA, which means each EB-S immigrant can invest $500,000 instead of $1 million. As a result, up to 28 EB-s immigrants could raise up to $14 million in EB-S funds for the first part of the project; up to 100 immigrants could raise up to $50 million for the second part and up to 197 immigrants could raise up to $98.5 million in EB-S funds for the third part of the project. 4 2. Tabulation of Principal Results The results for the employment multipliers for each part of the project are summarized in Tables 2-1, 2-2, and 2-3. The upper part of each of these tables contains the employment summary; the lower part shows the increase in key measures of household income and output. The RIMS ll final demand multipliers include the direct as well as the indirect and induced effects for all types of activity. All figures in these three tables represent permanent new jobs created. Sta8e 1, All Phases Expenditure/ Revenues ($ million) FinalDemand Multiplier Total Jobs Construction HotelOperatlons Retail space * 19.32 1.44 3.84 12.0931 14.7727 6.9419 233.6 21.3 26.7 Total these categories * Value added basis 24.6 281.6 All figures in thousands of dollars Household lncome from Construction Hotels Retail Space * 9,907 627 78r Total these 3 categories 11,315 267 135 !,477 1,92L Demand (output) for: Utilities Maintenance a nd repair construction Supplier/vendor links with manufacturers Professional and business support services Total these 4 categories Table 2-1. Summary of Employment, lncome, and Output for Stage 1 Household Earnings (Labor lncome) 5 The jobs created by the various components of Pleasant Harbor Marina and Golf Resort will subsequently create new sources of household income. The household income for the total jobs created by construction for the first part of the project, which inctudes all phases of Stage 1, would be about $11.3 million. This income calculation comes from the RIMS ll input-output model, which measures the average income per job by industry. The mode! calculations are based on the types of jobs that will be created within the regional center, with indirecUinduced impacts allocated based on the types of commodity inputs required by the businesses that would potentially locate in the regional center. Household earnings will be generated from all of the various industry classifications listed above. They are calculated by taking the number of new employees in each industrial classiflcation and multiplying by the average earnings for each industry as incorporated in the RIMS ll model. The industry details underlying these calculations are given in the tables found in Section (9). !n all cases, household income equals the increase in employment times the average annual compensation. The number of total jobs is calculated from the RIMS ll model by multiplying total estimated revenue by the appropriate final demand multipliers. Alternatively, the same results could be obtained by multiplying the number of direct jobs by the employment multiplier. Demand for Buslness Services, Utllltles, Malntenance and Constuctlon, and New Suppl ierMendor Relatlon sh I ps C reated w ith Man ufacturers The total economic impact of the regional center from the supplier purchases and business relationships for the first part of the Pleasant Harbor Marina and Golf Resort will create approximately $3.8 million in additiona! economic activity across the region. These supplier purchases are calculated from the indirect increase in output generated by the RIMS ll model. lt should be noted that some of these supplier industries might potentially locate within the regional center, and their economic output is included in this total. The estimate of supplier purchases is based on the commodity data in the RIMS ll input-output model. This data specifies the amount and type of commodity input needed to maintain specific types of business operations. The model estimates the supplier purchases based on the types of jobs and number of jobs that will be created within the regional center. ln addition, the model allocates the supplier purchases to businesses within the region, based on trade flow data from the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis. The output figures for utilities represents the amount spent on electric power, natural gas, and water and sewer expenditures. These are based on the inpuUoutput coefficients showing how much the output of utilities would increase for each million o dollars of final demand for each type of project. The economic impact for utility services totals about $0.3 million. The RIMS ll inpuUoutput model has only one category for construction expenditures, which includes both new construction and maintenance and repair construction, however, the model does not separate these. The project would create an economic impact of about $0.1 million within these sectors in the region. These are permanent, ongoing jobs for maintenance and repair and do not reflect the original construction expend itures. For the manufacturing sector, the increase in output depends on several factors. The amount of manufactured goods purchased for construction activity is based on the amount of locally produced and sold products and materials used in the project. For restaurants, it would be related to the amount of food and beverages that are produced locally. For retail stores, it would be the amount of products produced locally, if an$ this figure would also include printing of advertising and packaging materials that are locally produced. For various professiona! and business seryices, it would be the amount of office supplies and similar products that are produced locally. For the first part of the Pleasant Harbor Marina and Golf Resort project, new supplier/vendor relationships with manufacturers would create an economic impact of about $1.5 million. Most of this represents the production of local goods used in construction. The figures for the output from business services are calculated from the rows in the RIMS !l inpuUoutput table for professional and scientific services, managernent of companies, and administrative and waste management services. ln general, the demand for professional and scientific services reflects the relative importance of these categories for each of the various economic activities. For the construction sector, for example, most of the jobs in this sector represent architects and engineers. For retail and restaurant operations and other consumer-related services, professional and business services consist mainly of accounting and bookkeeping, and marketing and advertising. For the first part of the Pleasant Harbor Marina and Golf Resort, the impact of this activity totals about $1.9 million annually. ln this phase, most of this represents the payments to architects, engineers, and other professionals engaged in the construction activity. Expenditure/ Revenues (S million) Stage 2, Phase 1 Construction 47.74 12.0931 577.3 FinalDemand Multiplier Total Jobs Table 2-2. Summary of Employment, lncome, and Output for Stage 2, Phase 1 7 HotelOperations Retai! space * Spa/fitness center Office administration Conference center Restaurant Building and grounds maintenance 1.05 6.4 2.7 1.88 0,86 3.85 5.39 74.7727 6.947925 32.8902 76.737 13.4498 21.3826 23.5323 15.5 M.4 88.8 30.3 11.5 82.3 125.9 Total these categories t Value added basis 69.87 977.2 Allfigures in thousands of dollars Household lncome from Construction Hotels Retail Space * Spa/fitness center Office administration Conference center Restaurant Building and grounds maintenance 24,48! 457 1,302 1,224 1,218 180 !,672 2,661 Total these 7 categories 33,195 Demand (outPut)for: Utilities Maintenance and repair construction Supplier/vendor links with manufacturers Professional and business support services 813 407 3,964 12,723 Total these 4 categories t7 Household Earnings (Labor lncome) The jobs created by the second part of the Pleasant Harbor Marina and Golf Resort, consisting of Phase I of Stage 2, will subsequently create new sources of household income. The household income for the total jobs created by construction would be about $24.5 million, with another $8.8 million in household income created by the various operations for this part of the project. 8 This income calculation comes from the RIMS ll input-output model, which measures the average income per job by industry. The model calculations are based on the types of jobs that will be created within the regional center, with indirecUinduced impacts allocated based on the types of commodity inputs required by the businesses that would potentially locate in the regional center. Household earnings will be generated from all of the various industry classifications listed above. They are calculated by taking the number of new employees in each industrial classification and multiplying by the average earnings for each industry as incorporated in the RIMS ll model. The industry details underlying these calculations are given in the tables found in Section (10). ln all cases, household income equals the increase in employment times the average annual compensation. The number of totaljobs is calculated from the RIMS ll model by multiplying total estimated revenue by the appropriate final demand multipliers. Alternatively, the same results could be obtained by multiplying the number of direct jobs by the employment multiplier. Demand for Buslness Services, Utllltles, Malntenance and Constructlon, and New SuppllerNendor Relationshlps Created wtth Manufacturcrs The total economic impact of the regional center from the supplier purchases and business relationships for this part of the Pleasant Harbor Marina and Golf Resort project will create approximately $17.8 million in additional economic activity across the region. These supplier purchases are calculated from the indirect increase in output generated by the RIMS ll model. lt should be noted that some of these supplier industries might potentially locate within the regional center, and their economic output is included in this total. The estimate of supplier purchases is based on the commodity data in the RIMS ll input-output model. This data specifies the amount and type of commodity input needed to maintain specific types of business operations. The model estimates the supplier purchases based on the types of jobs and number of jobs that will be created within the regional center. In addition, the model allocates the supplier purchases to businesses within the region, based on trade flow data from the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis. The output figures for utilities represents the amount spent on electric power, natural gas, and water and sewer expenditures. These are based on the inpuUoutput coefficients showing how much the output of utilities would increase for each million dollars of final demand for each type of project. The economic impact for utility services totals about $0.8 million. The RIMS ll inpuUoutput model has only one category for construction expenditures, which includes both new construction and maintenance and repair I construction, however, the model does not separate these. The project would create an economic impact of about $0.4 million within these sectors in the region. These are permanent, ongoing jobs for maintenance and repair and do not reflect the original construction and renovation expenditures. For this part of the Pleasant Harbor Marina and Golf Resort project, new supplier/vendor relationships with manufacturers would create an economic impact of about $3.8 million. Most of this represents the production of local goods used in construction; there are also some purchases of locally produced or sold food and beverage items for the restaurant, as well as printed material such as advertising brochures for the hotel, retai! stores, and other amenities. The figures for the output from business services are calculated from the rows in the RIMS ll inpuUoutput table for professional and scientific services, managernent of companies, and administrative and waste management services. For this part of the Pleasant Harbor Marina and Golf Resort project, the impact of this activity totals about $12.7 million annually. Most of this represents the payments to architects, engineers, and other professionals engaged in the construction activity; the rest represents the output of professional services, such as attorneys, accountiants, and advertising personnelfor hotel, restaurant, retail, and related activities. Stage 2, Phases 2 and 3 1977.4 Total these 3 categories 81,569 160.872 t,879 FinalDemand Multiplier Total Jobs Expenditure/ Revenues (S million) L48s42 11.93 Construction Hotel Operations 12.0931 14.7727 1801.2 176.2 Total these categories r Value added basis All figures in thousands of dollars Household lncome frorn Construction Hotels 76,377 5,192 Demand (outPut)for: Utilities Table 2-3. Summary of Employment, lncome, and Output for Stage 2, Phases 2 and 3 10 Ma intenance and repair construction Supplier/vendor links with manufacturers Professional and business support services 954 11,198 14,258 Total these 4 categories 28,289 Household Earnlngs (Labor lncome) The jobs created by the various components included in this part of Pleasant Harbor Marina and Golf Resort project will subsequently create new sources of household income. The household income for the total jobs created by construction would be about $76.4 million. The household income for the total jobs created by the operation of the guest rental facilities would add another $5.2 million. This income calculation comes from the RIMS ll input-output model, which measures the average income per job by industry. The model calculations are based on the types of jobs that will be created within the regional center, with indirecUinduced impacts allocated based on the types of commodity inputs required by the businesses that would potentially locate in the regional center. Household earnings wil! be generated from all of the various industry classifications listed above. They are calculated by taking the number of new employees in each industrial classification and multiplying by the average eamings for each industry as incorporated in the RIMS ll model. The industry details underlying these calculations are given in the tables found in Section (11). In all cases, household income equals the increase in employment times the average annual compensation. The number of totaljobs is calculated from the RIMS ll model by multiplying total estimated revenue by the appropriate final demand multipliers. Alternatively, the same results could be obtained by multiplying the number of direct jobs by the employment multiplier. Demand for Buslness SewIces, Utllltles, Malntenance and Constructlon, and New Su pplierNendor Rel ationsh i ps Crcated w ith Man ufacturers The total economic impact of the regional center from the supplier purchases and business relationships for this part of the Pleasant Harbor Marina and Golf Resort project will create approximately $28.3 million in additional economic activity across the region. These supplier purchases are calculated from the indirect increase in output generated by the RIMS ll model. lt should be noted that some of these supplier industries might potentially locate within the regional center, and their economic output is included in this total. 11 The estimate of supplier purchases is based on the commodity data in the RIMS ll input-output model. This data specifies the amount and type of commodity input needed to maintain specific types of business operations. The model estimates the supplier purchases based on the types of jobs and number of jobs that will be created within the regional center. ln addition, the model allocates the supplier purchases to businesses within the region, based on trade flow data from the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis. The output figures for utilities represents the amount spent on electric power, natural gas, and water and sewer expenditures. These are based on the inpuUoutput coefficients showing how much the output of utilities would increase for each million dollars of final demand for each type of project. The economic impact for utility services totals about $1.9 million. The RIMS ll inpuUoutput model has only one category for construction expenditures, which includes both new construction and maintenance and repair construction, however, the model does not separate these. The project would create an economic impact of about $1.0 million within these sectors in the region. These are permanent, ongoing jobs for maintenance and repair and do not reflect the original construction and renovation expenditures. For this phase of the Pleasant Harbor Marina and Golf Resort project, new supplier/vendor relationships with manufacturers would create an economic impact of about $1'1.2 million. Most of this represents the production of local goods used in construction. The figures for the output from business services are calculated from the rows in the RIMS ll inpuUoutput table for professional and scientific services, management of companies, and administrative and waste management services. For this phase of the Pleasant Harbor Marina and Golf Resort project, the impact of this activity totals about $14.3 million annually. Most of this represents the payments to architects, engineers, and other professionals engaged in the construction activity. Table 2-4 shows the NAICS codes and definitions for each of the industries included in this study. 2362 Commercial and lnstitutional Building Construction 7211 Traveler Accommodations 722 Food Services Ald !!nf!ng Ilqqeq 44145 Retail Stores 71394 Fitness and Recreational Sports Centers 53119 Lessors of Other Real Estate Property 5611 ffice Administrative Services 5617 Services to Buildings and Dwellings Table 2-4 NAICS Codes and Definitions 12 I rerszl o.srzsl rzosrol oeesel r.lsrrl t.64s€l210000 Conrtrucrlon I t2 trAo xor.t. "nd nrotrts. lnctudhry co.lno [or.b I r.Osr I O.rfsr I rLzne | 0.93651 r.trrr I t.3829 722000 Food rorvic.. ond drlntirg doc.r I r.rzeel o.rrrll 2l.3sail 91q11 t1grl.ll 12231 r.1899 0.4530 26.0260 0,9257 r.4054 r. r894 t 5230 0.4535 32.8900 0 8982 r.4432 7!3800 ot[er amu..martt ond recraotioo hldoal]l.r 7131r/30 Flhea! aitd recrcotloltol apon8 cdrlero r. r551 r 5.4263R.toll rade r 1763I 4576 0.452r 0.9459 I r.281 I 0.2085 r3.4498531000 R.ol ..lolc 0.9573 r_5403 t.20$ r.623r 0.6182 t5. r37 r r.0 r{9 r 3738561 100 Ollicc adm[li3lrotlv. csfr ico.r.5170 | 50.16 0.r936 23.5323 0.8600 t.3968561700 S.rvh.. ro buildlngr and dwalllrgo t22r9 R.gion Oetiniton: Clallcm, WA; Jefercon, WA: Kilrop, WA 'krludcs Government cnierpnx3. l. Each anfy h cobmn I rapfr'ant! lh. loLl ddb. chang. in ouhut that occun in all irdurh.r for cach lddilion{l dolhr o, ouDd d.livcrgd to lind drm.md by 0to hdrety corrcgond,tg to th. cnty. 2. Eadr enry h corrmn 2 r.p?t!.ntt tha totd dolbr d/langc in corni{r d hourholdt snployad lrt all industiec for codr additiond dorar ot olJE{f ddvarad to final demod by 0ta and.J3fy cor.tPonding lo ul. 3n1ry. 3. EEch ant, n cot mn 3 ngrrortr llr bld chongp in numbor of pbr lhd ocoro m d rndurti.t h ..idr oddilbnrl I milkn dolor3 of outpt dchsed fo iiul dglrrd b, lha mdurfy com.Poodihg lo $t enlry. Becsus€ lha omgbynEol mutirliers ar. bc.d m 2008 drla. th. outsut dc$vltad to lbel ddnad rhould ba tn 200E dollac. a. Eadr rrty h cot mn I mpr.rrnlr lfir btd ddlar -chongc- in valw oddrd hal occun in dl irdu*ia hr .och ddrlirnd dotr r ol osgut d.hr(.d b ftul dmiltd by lh. indtr.ry comlpondkE to lh. .ntry. 5. F:dt anty h cohmn 5 raprarar{3 tha totd dolla. chang. io .mrirys ot hou3.trcldc coplcpd by all indr*ies h coch additrnol dolla of cariur poid dircctly b hou!.holdr empbyod bf fte irdusfy conerponding b hr crfi. 6. Each ahfy h cofrinn 6 ,?rr.antt 0io brd chil!. in numbat olitbt h oll irdurtio hr oad[dd(ionol ir, in f'n indr$y cdrafonding b th. €nry. NOlE.-{lulpliet3 a]! ba..d on lha 2lx)2 Brnclma* lnpuloupul TiUe fd lh€ Nltion ard 2000 r.gidd d5til. hdu!fiy List A irr.rrifrcs fic indnthr conarDondinq lo ha anlri€. SOURCE-Rrgionol lqiutsOtrpul llod.ITE Sytbrt (RIMS ll), Rtimd Producl Divirkn, Ermar ol Economh AnsVrl.r. Table 2-5 Print Screen of RIMS ll Multipliers Used 13 3. lntroduction and Scope of Work This report presents an analysis of the economic impact of constructing and operating the Pleasant Harbor Marina and Golf Resort, located in Brinnon, Jefferson County, Washington state. This report contains the economic impact analysis for the construction and renovation of the building, and the operations of the casino, hotel, food and beverage service, retail shops, and convention space. All calculations are based on the RIMS ll inpuUoutput model coefficients for Clallam, Jefferson, and Kitsap counties. Section (4) contains a brief discussion of the RIMS ll model and its multipliers. Section (5) provides a more detailed explanation of how indirect jobs are calculated in regional inpuUoutPut model. Section (6) presents summary economic statistics for Clallam, Jefferson, and Kitsap counties and compares them to the statistics for the state of Washington and the overall U. S. economy. These tables include employment by occupation and industry sector, family and household income by decline and for the mean and median, and poverg rates. Additional tables in Section (6) show labor market statistics for the past decade, and the level and growth rate of population and personal income for these areas through 2009. Section (7) shows the location of these three counties, together with maps of the area. Because this is a rural county, the property is located in a Targeted Employment Area. The remainder of the report contrains the economic impact tables for the various components and the total impact caused by the activity generated by the Pleasant Harbor Marina and Golf Resort. Section (8) contains the calculations of the increase in employment, output, and earnings that will be created from construction and renovation activity for the 20 major industrial sectors in the RIMS ll model. Because this project will be built in three phases, the number of jobs created is shown in three separate tables. Section (9) contains economic impact tables for the operations in the first part of the project, which includes hotel and guest rooms and retail space. Section (10) shows similar tables for operations in the second part of the project, which will include hotels, retail stores, spa and fitness center, office administration, conference room facilities, restaurants, and building and grounds maintenance. Section (11) provides similar information for the hote! facilities to be added in the final phase of the project. Section (12) provides summary statistics for each of the three phases, combining the results for construction and operating jobs in each phase. 14 4. Discussion of RIMS !l Final Demand Methodology The following material has been condensed from the RIMS ll User Handbook lntroductlon and General Comments Effective planning for public- and private-sector projects and programs at the State and local levels requires a systematic analysis of the economic impacts of these projects and programs on affected regions. ln turn, systematic analysis of economic impacts must account for the inter-industry relationships within regions because these relationships largely deterrnine how regional economies are likely to respond to project and prograrn changes. Thus, regional input-output (l-O) multipliers, which account for inter-industry relationships within regions, are usefu! tools for conducting regional economic impact analYsis. ln the 1970s, the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) developed a method for estimating regional l-O multipliers known as RIMS (Regional lndustrial Multiplier System), which was based on the work of Garnick and Drake. ln the 1980s, BEA completed an enhancement of RIMS, known as RIMS !l (Regional lnput-Output Modeling System), and published a handbook for RIMS ll users. ln 1992, BEA published a second edition of the handbook in which the multipliers were based on more recent data and improved methodology. ln 1997, BEA published a third edition of the handbook that provides more detrail on the use of the multipliers and the data sources and methods for estimating them. RIMS ll is based on an accounting framework called an l-O table. For each industry, an l-O table shows the industrial distribution of inputs purchased and outputs sold. A typical l-O table in RIMS ll is derived mainly from two data sources: BEA's national l-O table, which shows the input and output structure of nearly 500 U.S. industries, and BEA's regional economic accounts, which are used to adjust the national l-O table to show a region's industrial structure and trading patterns. Using RIMS ll for impact analysis has several advantages. RIMS ll multipliers can be estimated for any region composed of one or more counties and for any industry, or group of industries, in the national l-O table. The accessibility of the main data sources for RIMS ll keeps the cost of estimating regional multipliers relatively low. Empirical tests show that estimates based on relatively expensive surveys and RIMS ll- based estimates are similar in magnitude. BEA's RIMS multipliers can be a cost-effective way for analysts to estimate the economic impacts of changes in a regional economy. However, it is important to keep in mind that, like all economic impact models, RIMS provides approximate order-of- magnitude estimates of impacts. RIMS multipliers are best suited for estimating the impacts of small changes on a regional economy. For some applications, users may 15 want to supplement RIMS estimates with information they gather from the region undergoing the potential change. To use the multipllers for impact analysis effectively, users must provide geographically and industrially detailed information on the initial changes in output, earnings, or employment that are assoclated with the project or program under study. The multipliers can then be used to estimate the total impact of the project or program on regional output, earnings, and employment. RIMS ll is widely used in both the public and private sector. ln the public sector, for example, the Department of Defense uses RIMS ll to estimate the regional impacts of military base closings. State transportation departments use RIMS ll to estimate the regional impacts of airport construction and expansion. ln the private-sector, analysts and consultants use RIMS ll to estimate the regional impacts of a variety of proJects, such as the development of shopping malls and sports stadiums. R nts ll Methodology RIMS ll uses BEA's benchmark and annual l-O tables for the nation. Since a particular region may not contain all the industries found at the national level, some direct input requirements cannot be supplied by that region's industries. lnput requirements that are not produced in a study region are identified using BEA's regional economic accounts. The RIMS ll method for estimating regional l-O multipliers can be viewed as a three-step process. ln the first step, the producer portion of the national l-O table is made region-specific by using six-digit NAICS location quotients (Las). The LQs estimate the extent to which input requirements are supplied by firms within the region. RIMS ll uses LQs based on two types of data: BEA's personal income data (by place of residence) are used to calculate LQs in the service industries; and BEA's wage-and- salary data (by place of work) are used to calculate LQs in the non-service industries. ln the second step, the household row and the household column from the national !-O table are made region-specific. The household row coefficients, which are derived ftom the value-added row of the national l-O table, are adjusted to reflect regional earnings leakages resulting from individuals uorking in the region but residing outside the region. The household column coefficients, which are based on the persona! consumption expenditure column of the national I-O table, are adjusted to account for regional consumption leakages stemming from personal taxes and savings. ln the last step, the Leontief inversion approach is used to estimate multipliers. This inverslon approach produces output, earnings, and employment multipliers, which can be used to trace the impacts of changes in fina! demand on and indirectly affected industries. Advantages of RlllfS ll There are numerous advantages to using RIMS ll. Flrst, the accessibility of the main data sources makes it possible to estimate regional multipliers without conducting relatively expensive surveys. Second, the level of industria! detail used in RIMS ll helps 16 avoid aggregation errors, which often occur when industries are combined. Third, RIMS ll multipliers can be compared across areas because they are based on a consistent set of estimating procedures nationwide. Fourth, RIMS ll multipliers are updated to reflect the most recent local-area wage-and-salary and personal income data. Overvlew of Dlfferent Multiplters RIMS ll provides users with five types of multipliers: final demand multipliers for output, for eamings, and for employment; and direct-effect multipliers for eamings and for employment. These mullipliers measure the economic impact of a change in final demand, in eamings, or in employment on a region's economy. The final demand multipliers for output are the basic multipliers from which all other RIMS ll multipliers are derived. ln this table, each column entry indicates the change in output in each row industry that results from a $1 change in final demand in the column industry. The impact on each row industry is calculated by multlplying the final demand change in the column industry by the multiplier for each row. The total impact on regional output is calculated by multiplying the final demand change in the column industry by the sum of allthe multipliers for each row except the household row. RIMS !l provides two types of multipliers for estimating the impacts of changes on earnings: final demand multipliers and direct effect multipliers. These multipliers are derived from the table of final demand output rnultipliers. The final demand multipliers for eamings can be used if data on final demand changes are available. !n the final demand earnings multiplier table, each column entry indicates the change in earnings in each row industry that results from a $1 change in final dernand in the column industry. The impact on each row industry is calculated by multiplying the final demand change in the column industry by the multipliers for each row. The total impact on regional earnings is calculated by multiplying the final demand change in the column industry by the sum of the multipliers for each row. Em ployment Mu ltlpllers RIMS ll provides two types of multipliers for estimating the impacts of changes on employment: finaldemand multipliers and direct effect multipliers. These multipliers are derived from the table of finaldemand output multipliers. The final demand multipliers for employment can be used if the data on final demand changes are available. ln the final demand employment multiplier table, each column entry indicates the change in employment in each row industry that results from a $1 million change in final demand in the column industry. The impact on each row industry is calculated by multiplying the final demand change in the column industry by the multiplier for each row. The total impact on regional employment is calculated by multiplying the final demand change in the column industry by the sum of the multipliers for each row. 17 The direct effect multipliers for employment can be used if the data on the initial changes in employment by industry are available. ln the direct effect employment multiplier table, each entry indicates the total change in employment in the region that results from a change of one job in the row industry. The total impact on regional employment is calculated by multiplying the initial change in employment in the row industry by the multiplier for the row. Choosing a Multiplier The choice of multiplier for estimating the impact of a project on output, eamings, and employment depends on the availability of estimates of the initial changes in final demand, earnings, and employment. lf the estimates of the initial changes in all three measures are available, the RIMS ll user can select any of the RIMS !l multipliers. ln theory, all the impact estimates should be consistent. lf the available estimates are limited to initial dranges in final demand, the user can select a fina! demand multiplier for impact estimation. lf the available estimates are limited to initial changes in eamings or employment, the user can select a direct effect multiplier. 5. Explanatlon of How lndlrect Jobs are Calculated ln a Regional lnpuUOutput Model ln spite of the explanation of the RIMS ll model given directly above, some USCIS adjudicators have asked for further clarification about how that model is used to determine the increase in the number of indirect jobs. That is an important issue because, unlike the direct job count, which can be verified by USCIS from various payroll and withholding documents, the calculation of indirect jobs cannot be verified directly but depends on mathematical calculations. The general concept is based on the coefficients in the inpuUoutput model itself (the same methodology applies to RIMS l!, IMPLAN, or any other generally recognized and accepted inpuUoutput model). ln any given year, the government calculates how much input is used for a given production of output. The detailed figures are taken from the Economic Censuses taken once every five years; the figures are then updated from various annual supplements. Basically the process has two steps, each of which is described next in greater detail. The first is to determine the amount of output, and hence the number of jobs, required to produce a given amount (say $'t million) of the final product or service. These are national coefficients. The second is to determine what proportion of those goods and services are purchased within the local region (the regional purchase coefficients, or RPCs). ln the case of a manufacturing process, the national coefficients are based on production functions: how much coke per ton of steel, how much steel per motor vehicle, how much flour for a loat of bread, and so on. However, most of the jobs are 18 created in the servics sector, where Commerce Department data are used to determine, for example, how much restaurants spend on laundry servlces, how much airlines spend for attorneys, and so on. These figures are based on information contained in the various Economic Censuses. The national coefficients would also determine, for example, how many architects and engineers would be hired for a construction project of a given scope and size, and how many new employees at flnancial institutions would be required to handle the additiona! cash flow generated by the new business. Both of these are discussed below in greater detail. Even after these coefficients are determined, however, the regional purchase coefficients (RPC) must still be estimated. lf, for example, a trucking firm spends 1% of its revenue on accountants, how much of that money is spent on loca! firms, and how much is spent outside the region? That answer depends on various factors. The most important is the amount of the good or service produced within the region. lf a trucking firm, for example, were located in a small county with no accountants, obviously it would not spend any of that money locally. That sets a lower limit but is not generally the case. lnstead, a balancing algorithm is used. Suppose, for example, that all the firms producing, distributing, or selling goods and services in a given county spent $10 million on accounting services. Also, suppose that total billings of all accountants in the county were $20 million. !n that case, local accountants could handle all the local business, plus business from neighboring counties. lf, on the other hand, total aerountant billings in the county were only $5 million, local firms could not spend more than half of the money on local accountants. Of course it is possible that there are adequate resources in the county but local firms choose to use companies outside the county; perhaps prices or service is better. No inpuUoutput model can account for such anomalies. On the other hand, given transportation costs, it would be highly unusual for a firm to be located in a given location and not serve the nearby businesses, instead choosing only those clients who were farther away. The RIMS ll model - and other regional inpuUoutput models - assigns regional purchase coefficients (RPCs) in all cases where the local industry purchases goods and services from local firms. This matrix could have as many as 406 * 406 = 164,836 elements, although in practice many of them are zero. Large counties with a wide variety of businesses have more non-zero elements than small counties with relatively few businesses. In general, the RPCs tend to be close to zero for most manufactured goods, and close to unity for most services. While there are many exceptions to this rule, most firms will use financial, professional, business, and health care services that are located in that county or contiguous areas. 19 To take just one example of many, consider the number of new jobs created by architects and engineers for a new construction project of any given size. Most constructlon cost manuals, such as those published by R. S. Means, indicate that those costs are usually about 5o/oto 9% of the totaljob. According to the national inpuUoutput model files, the figures are g.ZYo for commercial constructlon and 4.5Yo for industrial construction. These figures can be compared with the proportions of architects and engineers in the specific regional area, based on the RIMS ll data that are used to determine the economic multipliers in the specific county group. For this three-county area, the inpuUoutput model shows proportions of 7.60/o for commercial and 3.9o/o for industrial construction, indicating that 81o/o of the architects and engineers for commercial jobs and 90% for industrialjobs are hired locally. These figures are somewhat lower than in other locations and regions. ln most cases, except for "signature" buildings designed by famous names, most architects and engineers live in the same region as the buildings that are being constructed, but because of the rural nature of these counties, the percentages are lower than usual. To summarize to this point, the number of indirect jobs as a proportion of direct jobs depends on (a) the national relationships, and (b) the regional purchase coefficients. ln our presentation for the businesses in this report, we provide further discussion of those industries with the largest number of indirect jobs. However, there are a few industries that produce relatively large numbers of jobs in almost all cases, and these can be generally discussed at this stage in order to avoid repeating this information several times. The industries discussed here include banking, real estate, legal and accounting, architects and engineers, other professional services, employment services, other business services, restaurants, and government. ln all of these cases, the vast majority of workers are hired locally. Our comments for the rest of this section are based on the assumption of a $10 million investment; the results are linear. Banking and credit: On an aggregate basis, for every $10 million in deposits, very broadly defined (M3), there is about 1 new banking employee. As a rough rule of thumb, the size of M3 is roughly equal to the size of GDP. Hence we would expect about 1 new banking employee for every $10 million increase in output, as calculated from the RIMS ll model. Real estate: Additional real estate employees are based on two factors. One is the leasing activity of the new building, and the other is the increase in residential rea! estate activity as people get new jobs, either within the area or by moving into the area. On a lease basis, a $10 million investment is likely to result in a building of 80,000 square feet. lf it leases for $40/square foot, that would be $3.2 million in annua! lease payments, and with a 60/o commission would generate $192,000 in revenues, which would account for about 2 new real estate employees (the figure would be less for industrial buildings). The increase in employment would also result in some real estate 20 activity as workers moved into better housing in the same location, or moved in from other areas. ln a normal year, there are about 7 million sales of new and existing homes for a labor force of about 140 million , or 5o/o. Hence if the total increase in employment were 200, that would imply 10 real estate transactions; if they average $200,000 at a 60/o commission, that would be $12,000 per home or a total of $120,000, which would support approximately 3 new realestate jobs. Legal & Accounting: Each of these accounts for about 1o/o of total employment; so if there were a total increase of 200 jobs, we would expect an average of 4 new employees in this classification. Architects & Engineers: almost all of these jobs stem from the new construction activity. This category has already been discussed above; for a $10 million construction project, which would create about 80 new construction jobs, we would expect about 7 new jobs in architects and engineers for a commercial project and 3 to 4 new jobs for an industrial project. Other professional services: This category includes employees in consulting, scientific research and development, advertising, and management, as well as several other smaller, specialized categories. ln general, consulting, management, and the all other category each account for about 1o/o of total employment, and R&D and advertising account for about Yzo/o ol total employment, for a total of about 4o/o ol total employment. This figure wi!! vary widely depending on the degree to which consultants and R&D are used by the new business. Employment services: On a national average basis, 1 out of every 45 people is employed by this industry. Here again, the figures will vary widely depending on (a) the proportion of people who are hired through employment agencies, and (b) the proportion of the work that is outsourced to employment services. Business support services include office management, travel arrangement, security, credit bureaus, telemarketing, and back-office jobs that are outsourced, such as direct mail, copying, and duplicating services. The back-office services would vary widely depending on the type of new business; retail stores, for example, would print and distribute more advertising brochures than a manufacturing operation. On a national average basis, these jobs account for about 2Yo of total employment. Building support seryices, which includes janitorial seryices, lawn maintenance, and waste management. For an office building of 80,000 square feet, the cost would be approxirnately $2/sq ft per year for maintenance, or $160,000, which would support about 4 new jobs; here again, the figure would be lower for industrial buildings. Restaurants: This category reflects business meals. Of course the number of business meals depends greatly on the type of business; lawyers, accountants, and consultants will have more business meals than manufacturing plants or water treatment facilities. On a national average basis, Commerce Department figures show that total restaurant sales in 2007 were $580 blllion, while consumer expenditures at 21 restaurants were $500 billion. However, that figure also includes tips, which are not included in restraurant sales. After subtracting 15% tor tips, that indicates about $425 billion in food and beverage purchases by consumers, indicating about $155 billion for business expenses. With a labor force of approximately 140 million, that is equivalent to about $1,100 per employee. Hence if 200 new jobs were created, business meal expenses would rise an average of $221,000, which would imply about 4.5 new indirect jobs in the restaurant industry. These figures are likely to be somewhat higher when direct jobs are created for office buildings and hotels. Government: The increase in public sector employees represents the amount funded by increased real estate taxes. For a construction project with $10 million in hard costs, the total value is likely to be between $15 and $20 million when one includes furniture, fixtures, equipment, and land values. Using a national average property tax rate of 1%, that would raise $150,000 to $200,000, which would create 3 to 4 new jobs in the public sector. 6. Economic Parameters for Jefferson, Clallam, and Kitsap Counties This section is organized as follows. Table 6-1 shows the detailed employment and income figures for Jefferson County and compares them to the state of Washington and the United States economy. Table 6-2 shows similar information for Clallam and Kitsap counties. Table 6-3 shows labor market data over the past decade for the state of Washington, these counties, and the sum (or average) of the three-county region. Table 6-1. Key Economic Parameters for Jefferson County, and Comparlson wlth Washington State and the Unlted States,2010 Data Subject Jefferson Washington United States Estimate Percent Estimate percent Estimate EMPTOYMENT STATUS Percent Population 15 years and over ln labor force Civilian labor force Employed Unemployed Armed Forces Percent Unemployed OCCUPATION Civilian employed population 16 + Management, business, science Service occupations Sales and office occupations Construction and ma intenance Production, transportation INDUSTRY Civilian employed population 16 + 25,836 13,023 72,967 12,053 9t4 56 100.0% 50.4% 50.ZYo 46.7% 3.5% O.ZYo 7.O% 100.0% 38.2% 78.L% 24.4Yo LO.7% 8.s% 5,342,973 3,489,O44 3,44O,495 3,O70,269 370,226 48,549 (x) 3,07O,269 1,183,135 538,418 715,533 295,145 337,937 100.0% 65.3% 64.4% 57.5% 6.9% o.9% to.8% 100.0% 38.s% 775% 23.3% 9.6% It.o% 243,832,923 156,966,769 155,917,013 139,033,929 16,883,095 L,O49,756 139,033,929 49,975,520 25,059,153 34,711,455 !2,697,3U 16,590,396 100.0% 64.4% 63.9% 57.OYo 6.9% 0.4/o 10.87o too.o% 35.9% t8.0Yo 25.OYo 9.1% IL,9YO L2,O53 100.0% 3,070,269 L00.1Yo 139,033,928 100.0% 12,053 4,609 2,787 2,938 1,290 1,o29 Agriculture and mining Construction Manufacturing Wholesale trade Retailtrade Transportation and utilities lnformation Finance, insurance, and real estate Professional, scientific, management Education and health care Arts, entertaln, hotel and food svcs Other services, except public admin Public administration INCOME AND BENEFITS Total households Less than 510,000 Slo,ooo to 514,999 s15,000 to s24,999 s2S,00o to s34,999 S35,00O to 549,999 s5O,000 to s74,999 575,000 to 599,999 Sloo,ooo to 5149,999 5150,000 to S199,999 S2oo,ooo or more Median household income (dollars) Mean household income (dollars) Families Less than S10,00O slo,ooo to $14,999 S15,ooo to 524,999 525,000 to 534,999 s35,000 to s49,999 s50,000 to s74,999 S75,00O to 599,999 Sroo,ooo to 5149,999 S15o,ooo to 5199,999 5200,000 or more Median family income (dollars) Mean family income (dollars) Per capita income (dollars) PERCENTAGE BELOW POVERW Allfamilies Allpeople 22 334 1,109 655 7t 1,383 5t7 600 567 L,449 2,612 7,256 644 846 14,691 L,362 830 1,931 t,592 2,339 2,755 1,547 1,562 444 330 45,887 58,434 8,875 274 346 933 877 1,258 1,951 1,280 L,326 362 268 58,715 70,932 28,029 9.4% 73.9% 2.8Yo 9.ZYo 5.SYo o.6Yo L]-.5% 4.3yo 5.OTo 4.7% 72.O% 21.7% 70.4% 5.3Yo 7.0/o 100.0% 93% 5.6% 13.1% 10.8% L5.9% 18.8% 10.5% to.6% 3.0% 2.2% 9r.7% 85.6Yo 100.0% 3.t% 3.9% 10.s% 9.9% L4.2% 22.O% L4.4% L4.9% 4.1% 3.W6 96.9% 89.4% rc7.6Yo 83.2% 90.8% 81,390 188,012 326,L8! 94,602 363,(M9 L51,294 68,135 173,666 366,473 664,754 264,266 150,139 178,308 2,606,963 t7o,75t L17,568 259,963 259,214 362,172 508,550 357,147 355,519 123,679 98,300 55,631 77,739 1,581,386 70,797 44,591 t24,553 136,628 273,O57 3118,061 256,080 289,001 103,991 u,627 67,328 83,679 28,364 2.7Yo 6.1% tO.6Yo 3.1/o 7,-.8% 4.9% 2.2% s.7% LI,9YO 2t.7Yo 8.6% 4.9% s.8% 100.0% 6.6% 4.5% 10.0% 9.9% L3.9% 19.596 L35% L3.6Yo 4.7% 3.8% Ltt.2% 105.1% 100.0% 4.2% 2.7% 7.4% 8.!% 12.7% 20.7% 15.8% 17.2% 6.2% 5.O% lLl.LYo 105.5% 108.8% 81.4% 87.6% 2,il6,975 8,686,813 14,439,69L 3,941,056 16,203,4O8 6,943,579 3,015,521 9,275,465 14,710,099 32,3!1,!07 12,859,572 6,gt3,Mg 7,tg7,lg3 !14,567,4L9 8,757,190 5,669,965 13,165,390 12,323,322 16,312,385 20,940,859 13,526,500 13,544,839 4,g0g,ggg 4,519,091 50,045 69,259 76,089,045 3,924,25L 2,660,79L 6,770,9t2 7,332,3t9 10,578,051 14,990,531 10,638,931 11,26L,766 4,130,959 3,900,635 50,609 79,339 26,059 t.9% 6.2% to.4% 2.8% Lt.7% 4.9% 2.2% 6.7% LO.6% 23.2% 9.2% 5.0% s.2% 100.0% 7.6Yo 5.8% 11.5% 10.8% t4.2% L8.3% t7.8Yo 17.8% 4.2% 3.9% LOO.OYo 5.O% 3.5% 8.9% 9.6Yo 13.9% L9.7% L4.O% 74.8% 5.4% 5.7/" 9.2% L3.4% tt3% 75.3Yo Note: in this tablg the percentage figures in black are proportions of the total in that category, while the percentage figures ln red are relative to the U.S' figures. 23 Jefferson County is a sparsely settled rural county in westem Washington. The distribution of employment by industry is generally similar to Washington state and the U. S. except in two areas: it has proportionately less workers in manufacturing, and more in arts, entertainment, and leisure. Mean and median household and family incomes are below average, ranging from 86% lo g7o/o of the U. S. figures, but per capita income is actually above average al107o/o, and the poverty rates are well below average. Table 6-2. Key Economlc Parameters for Glallam and Kitsap Countles, and Gomparlson wlth the Unlted States,2010 Data Sublect EMPLOYMET'IT STATUS Population 16 years and over ln labor force Civilian labor force Employed Unemployed Armed Forces Percent Unemployed OCCUPATION Civilian employed poPulation 16 + Management, business, science Service occupations Sales and office occupations Construction and maintenance P roduction, transportatio n INDUSTRY Civilian employed population 15 + Agriculture and mining Construction Manufacturing Wholesale trade Retailtrade Transportation and utilities lnformation Finance, insurance, and real estate Professional, scientific, management Education and health care Arts, entertain, hotel and food services Other services, except public admin Public admlnistration INCOME ANO BENEF]TS Clallam Estlmate Percent Kitsap Estimate Percent United States Estimate 60,103 28,922 28,183 25,029 3,154 739 7m..O% 48.1% 46.9% 4t.6% 5.2% 7.2% 7L.2% 100.0% 33.9% 24.6Yo 20.4/o 72.2Yo 8.9Vo 202,749 129,775 719,697 1o5,492 14,205 10,078 100.0% il.2% 59.2% 52.2/o 7.O% 5.O% Ll.9% 243,932,923 155,965,769 155,917,013 139,033,929 16,883,085 1,0/l9,756 139,033,929 49,975,620 25,059,153 34,777,455 12,697,3O4 16,590,396 Percent 100.0% 64.4% 63.9% 57.O% 6.9% o.4% 10.8% 100.0% 35.9Yo L8.O% 2s.o% 9.tYo tLs% 25,O29 8,475 6,163 5,106 3,062 2,223 25,O29 1,315 1,738 7,376 292 2,597 1,169 514 t,460 2,096 5,545 1o5,492 39,624 20,054 24,4t! LL,259 to,!24 1O5,492 637 7,632 11,513 545 72,752 4,494 2,393 5,245 10,334 23,787 100.0% 37.6% 19.OYo 23.2% 70.7% 9.6% 100.0% 53% 6.9% s.5% 7.2% 10.3% 4.7Yo 2.1% 5.8Yo 8.4Yo 22.5% lAO.OYo O.6Yo 7.ZYo LO.9% 0.5% 72.1% 4.3Yo 2.3% 5.OYo 9.8Yo 22.s% 139,033,929 2,646,975 8,696,913 L4,439,697 3,941,066 L6,203,409 6,843,579 3,O75,52L 9,275,465 14,710,099 32,31!,107 100.0% L.9% 6.2% LO.4% 2.$Yo 7L.7Yo 4s% 2.2% 6.7% LO.6% 23.2% 2,653 L,844 2,340 lO.6Yo 7.4Yo 93% 9,507 5,668 10,891 91% 5.47o LO.3Yo 12,859,572 6,9L3,449 7,187,793 9.2Ys 5.OTo 5.2Yo Totalhouseholds Less than Sto,ooo S1o,o@ to St4,999 s15,000 to s24,999 525,000 to 534,999 s31000 to s49,999 5s0,000 to Sz+,999 s71000 to 599,999 s100,000 to 5149,999 s150,000 to s199,999 5200,000 or more Median household income (dollars) Mean household income (dollars) Families Less than $10,0@ s1q00oto $14,999 515,0@to $24,999 s25,00o to s34,999 s35,000 to s49,999 Ss0,000 to 574999 575,000 to 599,999 Sroo,ooo to 5149,999 Slso,ooo to S199,999 5200,0@ or more Median family income (dollars) Mean family income (dollars) Per capita income (dollars) PERCENTAGE BELOW POVERTY Allfamilies Allpeople 30,430 2,779 1,540 4,536 4,432 4,879 5,242 3,468 2,764 s98 192 38,841 50,652 L8,392 759 238 2,413 2,49L 2,819 3,652 3,127 2,2t4 477 192 53,327 61,189 22,254 24 7.O% L6.O% 100.0% 9.L/o 5.1% 14,9% 14.6/o t6.o% L7,ZYO 11.4% 9.1% 2.O% o.6% 77.6Yo 74.zyo 100.0% 4.1% L3% t3.t% t3.s% 153% t9.wo t7.w 72.ffi 2.6% 1.@6 88.O% 77.t% 85.4Yo 99,150 5,381 4,292 7,779 9,881 15,048 21,030 15,403 t2,366 4,665 3,306 56,303 70,756 66,47 2,L19 1,443 4,268 3,953 9,534 14,399 t2,328 10,879 4,066 3,049 68,800 83,257 28,808 100.0% 5.4% 4.3% 7.8% t0.o% 15.2% 2t.2% 15.5% 12.SYo 4.7% 3.3% 112.5% lO3.7Yo 100.0% 3.2% 2.2% 6.5% 6.0% 14.4% 27.8% t8.7% 16.5% 6.2% 4.6% LL3.SYo t0/3% 110.5% 1L4,567,419 g,757,tgo 6,669,965 13,165,380 t2,323,322 16,312,385 20,940,859 13,526,500 13,544,839 4,809,998 4,519,091 50,046 59,259 76,099,045 3,824,25L 2,660,797 6,770,912 7,332,319 10,578,051 14,990,631 10,638,931 tt,261,766 4,130,969 3,900,636 60,509 79,339 26,059 100.o% 7.6% s.8% Lt.5% 10.8% t4.2Yo 18.3Yo 7l.8To LL.lYo 4.2Yo 3.9Yo l00.OYo 5.O% 3.5Yo 8.9% 9.6Yo 13.9Yo t9.7Yo t4.OYo 14.8% 5.4% 5.7% 61.9% 1@.6% 8.3Yo LL.3Yo 73.5% 73.9% tt.3% 15.3Yo Of these two counties, Kitsap is more affluent, with median and mean incomes ranging trom 104o/o to 113o/o of the national average, while for Clallarn, the figures are much lower, ranging from 74o/o to 78% of the average. The poverty rates for all people are in line with these figures; they are 74o/o lor Kitsap and 105% for Clallam, although the poverty rate for all families in Clallam is much lower. Essentially this discrepancy arises because Clallam does not have any higher a proportion of poor people than Kitsap, but it has hardly any rich people. ln terms of employment distribution, Kitsap has a fairly robust manufacturing sector, whereas Clallam does not; it has a higher proportion of the workforce in arts, entertainment and leisure, similar to Jefferson County. 25 Table 0.3. Labor Market Statistics, 2000-2011, for Washlngton State, Three Countles, and Sum of these Countles labor Force Employed Unemployed Un Rate, % 2001 2ffi2 2003 2fi4 200s 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2001 2@2 2003 2004 2005 2005 2@7 2oo8 2009 2010 2071, 2001 2002 2003 2@4 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Clallam Jefferson 25,777 26,745 27,268 28,L67 29,364 29,402 29,7L5 29,967 30,318 30,26L 29,591 2,953,705 2,877,O22 2,973,23O 2,999,526 3,O75,972 3,155,384 3,232,652 3,293,92! 3,793,293 3,167,398 3,165,349 23,759 24,427 24,92O 26,157 2?,465 27,696 27,989 27,854 27,272 27,128 26,699 !7,249 L7,5L4 11,966 12,553 12,772 12,84t 12,944 L2,925 11,980 11,677 11,355 189,009 227,676 232,924 199,708 179,555 163,868 t54,L23 L88,204 329,510 349,065 319,466 2,Ot8 2,318 2,348 2,010 1,899 1,706 1,726 2,L13 3,U6 3,133 2,982 764 974 960 832 757 674 639 755 1,168 1,252 1,197 Washington State 3,O52,7L4 3,104,698 3,746,L54 3,L99,234 3,255,527 3,3t9,252 3,386,775 3,472,127 3,522,8O3 3,516,463 3,484,8L4 6.2 7.3 7.4 6.2 5.5 4.9 4.6 5.4 9.4 9.9 9.2 12,013 L2,488 L2,926 13,385 L3,529 13,515 13,583 13,680 L3,748 L2,929 12,552 7.8 8.7 8.5 7.t 6.5 5.8 5.8 7.t 10.0 10.4 10.1 6.4 7.8 7.4 6.2 5.6 5.0 4.7 5.5 8.9 9.7 9.5 26 Kitsap 2001 2002 2003 2@4 2005 2@6 2007 2008 2009 2070 2011 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 20lL 99,223 1@,085 106,839 717,464 114,306 115,577 116,750 118,352 tts,6s4 115,210 112,390 t34,231 140,026 t43,725 L50,t74 154,543 155,114 157,683 159,131 154,906 154,015 150,434 6,326 7,508 7,703 6,820 6,L21 5,629 5,321 6,t84 9,555 9,847 9,337 9,108 10,900 11,011 9,662 8,777 8,009 7,696 9,052 13,869 74,232 13,516 105,549 111,593 114,542 718,284 LaO,427 t21.,206 722,07L L24,536 125,309 125,057 tzt,7L7 3 counties 143,339 150,826 154,736 159,836 163,320 Lil,L23 155,369 158,183 768,775 168,247 163,860 6.0 6.7 6.7 5.8 5.1 4.6 4.4 5.0 7.7 7.9 7.7 6.4 7.2 7.1 6.0 5.4 4.9 4.6 5.4 8.2 8.5 8.2 Washington State, and this section of Washington, were relatively unscathed by the recession, with a peak rate of only 8.5% in 2010, compared to 9.6% nationally; however, the decline to 8.2o/o was much less impressive than the national decline to 8.9%. Kitsap County was the least hard-hit in the downturn; the unemployment rate in Jefferson County was marginally higher than the U. S. in 2010, and the gap then widened in 2011. Overall there were about 13,500 unemployed people in this three- county area in 2011. 27 7. Location of Pleasant Harbor Marina and Golf Resort Figure 7-1 shows the location of the Pleasant Harbor Marina and Golf Resort in Brinnon, WA (denoted by A). Figure 7-2 shows the map of Jefferson County. Figure 7- 3 shows the site plan of the resort. Figure 7-4 shows the map of all counties in Washington State. Figure 7-1. Map of Brlnnon, WA and Slte of Resort iJkrr -hthltrr Q L -rr.O.-^.rr&66'& + r. lrl. "...,",,i" 9. E .,I El_sl qrnC,o glc t+H BdnM, lvA r,:l l'*r ,l I I ro r.) v ,,t T .a {n T trl ..,:. 28 Figure 7-2.Map of Jefferson Gounty, WA Q - tiknr'ffide''f,MddRu' 'e' {' oqr ,rtG &C4grhr6tlt tllL tr.ra. t Lf f,r. -trllE!.t{fiEl.sr|E -t Dt ldll.D ffD f.d th lrn GrtA<rato Cd.ilra rtpt i tl.E q/ lre La9a lo.Darll5.ryl ClEABi&t-ir o3orE(ltrrrqrgfi a&6lY,frr, $ra rfttnilull.mnffrgilrr. @ PrrrlrtrItr rnd hDqt,Rffiti a lfoqfi. a Oi ll|.ltr o Yd l*rd Todayr *oJH. .- -l'*&", o -r F$-.E-l @ : Gt dt 1....,,* "o i, Flgure 7-3. Site Plan of Resort rH - -:. -t ott N)(o $z : iE 1E IE oa3 iri E t ! !o flil E I E I a Tl- m a z{ Ftron r EE I ! E E t# Eq ai r I e III EEIE E E EEryT Ti Er ? 5iF E s z I; t, I !'* ff!HEIto F o.E FIi Ei I T62 E ? EIa E T I $}firff ii ii ai!E !I E 'Eiit I7tIi I T Il itii EI r 3{ IE EE o \ n \ \ til \ L-- F 2Ii r I f; ts 7I 30 Figure 7-4. County Map of Washlngton State rtfialcom S8n Juan Fnda, Hr: : I sland 'j'orlPae'l l ' -::A^;r ir) . :r lqr.'rro.t, Clall.rn sod5ka9ilOkrnogrn '.rlllE,tofi, R.flnk. . ,l ;erry -d, .. Slayan! bc q" Snot'omirh :. €I(l: Jcffcruon Groyt HSroof p .lrrlr 'r,rCr; ::titilr g,rO Ul6o'l slttoo. ' ll(;'ri Ch!len .rrik_ ., Oouelot :- ' !'1. 5r:rII. L rcolr Spokano K[01.r Ef{{hxe . Graot rrUt i.!.l,or,tiiso,_.i:. ptfrcA Thurrton Adorrs Whrlman -glir. S*J:i !ir:. ihalLll.P.citac Lcrlr ..*Hlfin, co*rrrz.tatO Fr.nllln Yak,.1!Be,'lon ^ G.rrirld.q. .t:nFro, -r4:at.ua1^. rtd . tryblls -o Asorin Slemanra -it': ' v$lla Cl!il Vffia'er. Klich'l.l 7 i:lt"a'!m.r cou*y 8r5i. .lr.'..1- . 31 8. Economlc lmpact of Constructlon Costs The construction and total development budget supplied by the owners is shown in Table 8-1. For our calculations, we use all hard costs plus EB-S eligible soft costs, which include professional fees. On this basis, the total construction cost number entered into the RIMS ll model is $250.3 million. Figure 8-2 shows the e,onstruction timeline. Table E-1. Summary of Gonstruction and Development Budget Part of Project Construction Costs Total Development Budget Stage 1, Phases 1, 2, and 3 $19,320,000 $36,928,000 Stage 2, Phase 1 $47,740,000 $72,604,000 Stage 2, Phases 2 &3 $148,942,400 $200,299,400 The economic impact for each of these three time periods is calculated using the RIMS lt final demand construction multiplier for the three-county area described above. Each of the three time periods listed above spans more than two years, as shown in Tables 8-2 through 8-4, so direct as well as indirect and induced jobs generated by construction activity can be counted. On that basis, the multiplier is 12.09. Hence construction activity would create 233 jobs in Stage 1: 577 jobs in Stage 2, Phase 1; and 1,800 jobs in Stage 2, Phases 2 &3. Table 8-2. Detailed Gonstruction and Development Budget for Stage 1, All Phases Prol.ct Nam. RESORT Jrnutry 20t3 MaY 2013 Juna 2013 Octob., 2013 Jlnurry 2011 set LandCost: S21.000.000 Prcllm. Budqrt P.ellm. BudoctDESCRIPTION THE LAND 3.780.000 2.730.000RawLand(as%oftot l) 120.000 65,000 220.offiFces for Plannino-D,cvclopmcnt €uildlnc 800,000Ofl-Site Cosb 230,000 200.000 200.000 200.o00StrioElino. Gredim end Demolition 75,000 75,000 600.000On-Site Costs 100.000 600_000Tcmoorarv Cost3. Sionaoe, & Land Devolopnent 100,000 120,000 65.000Landscaolno, lmeafion E RGt.nton 75,000 120,000 130.000Stre.t Pavcment & Surface Parking 90.000lntarcsl br Limilod Panrre6hlp 300.000Contnooncy TOTAL 4,130,000 250,000 1,670,000 32 3,750,000 265,000 930,000 1.960,000 Table 8.3. Detailed Constructlon and Development Budget for Stage 2, Phase 1 41 500_000 500.000 1.800.000 3.250.000 3.250_000 nle 1.140.000 135.000 200.000 200.000 200.000 250.000 200.000 200.000 65.000 85.000 85,000 Dereloomcnt iranaoer Fees 250.000 700.000 835.000 2.085.000 3,53s.000 4.675.m0TOTAL 75_O0065,000 112,000 230.000125.000 98.000 121.000ProoertY Taxes 210.000 0 305.000190,000 'r21.000 IHE IIIARKETING COSTS 195.000 50.000 50.000 50.000All tvLdia Exoosure D€corauno Costs 112.000 212.000 312.000Ooeratlons 195.000 162,m0 262,000 362,000TOTAL IHE EROKERAGE COSTS 50.000 100.000 100.000ln House Commissions 60.000 60.000MLS Conttibution to Sales 70.m0 70.000 70.000AdrninEtration 120.000 230.000 230,000TOTAL GENERAL & ADtr{UglE IvE_ 50.@0 50.000 50,000 100.000 100.000 100.moofice stafi & supglt€s & 50.o00 100.(m50,000 50,000 100,000 100.000 cor{fl!GEr{qY 1m_000 100.00{)r00_000100,000 100,000 100.000Furds for Overaoes 4s,000 100.m0 145.000 100.000 100.000100,000 100,000TOTAL ]rot{.rn^otiloN4! cQqrs 275.000Fumrtrre. Flxlur€s & EqulPmert 275,000TOTAL 't.720.000 r.3r0.000 3.170.000 6.602,000 4.492.000 6,518,000TOTAL OF COSTE PHASE 1COMMENCE Jun.20l4 Octob€r 2014 Aprll 20{5 Deccmbrr 2015 Staoe 2LandCost $21,000,000 Phsse 1 PrGllm. BudoetDESCRIPTIOT{ Proract Naflr. THE ftifft C6nstmlion - Buildinq Ditrt Conslruclion = Perkade ln.ilrmt Constn clion prafesslonel Fees- Enoineers & Consultrants THE FINANCINO I mal Ccls- lnsurencr. Plan Rsislration TOTAL TOTAL 33 THE LAND Rrw Land (ae % of total)26o/c 5.t160.000 FcG3 lor Plannino-Dcvcloorncnt'Bullding 220.000 Oft-Sit6 Costs r20.000 StriDoino. Gradins and Dcmolition 250,000 250.000 250.000 250,000 On.sltc Cosls 4.600.000 .rc0.m0 400.000 400,m0 TcfllporaryCeB, Signage, & Land O€vdopmant t"andscaDinq. lrriqation & Retenlion 200,000 200.000 200.000 200,000 Street Psvcmcnt & Surfacc Parking 300-0m 5m,000 lnterest for Limitad Partn€rshlP 770.000 Continoency 600.000 TOTAL 10.850.000 850.000 1.150.m0 2.720.000 I}IE CONSTRUCTION DlrEci Construction - Building 3,300.000 12.000.0m ,l6.000.000 10,720.000 oiract Con$rucdon : Parkade 3.300.000 lndlr.cl Const uclion 265.000 265,m0 265,000 265.000 Profcsslonal Fees, Englnccrs & Congultants 310,000 150.000 65.000 35.000 D€velooment Manae6r Fsas 400.000 4S,000 TOTAL 3.875,000 16. t'15.000 16.330.000 11.420.000 THE FINANCING LGoal Costs. lnsu.ance, Plan Rlgiglqlign 1 12.000 lnt€re3t ll Fecs on Construdbn Loan 320.000 Prooarlv Taxes 320.000 TOTAL 432.000 320,m0 THE T'ARKETING COSTT 70.000 70.o00 70.0o0 70.000 D.coretino Co6ls s00,000 1.200.000 Operations 212.O00 295,000 395.000 395.000 TOTAL 282.000 355,000 965,000 1.665.000 THE BROKERAGE COSTS ln House Commisslons r20.000 120,000 120,000 1 20.000 MLS Contribution to Sales (367o)75,000 75.000 75.m0 Administration 265.000 265_000 265.000 365.000 TOTAL 385,000 .160,000 450.000 560,000 GENERAL & ADMINISTRATIVE Officc Staff & Suoolics & Facilities 200.000 2m.000 200,000 200.000 TOTAL 200.@0 200.000 200_000 200,000 CONTINOENCY Funds lor Ov€raqes 125.000 125.000 125,000 125.000 Wananty & Serviceg 200.000 TOTAL 1 25.000 125,000 125,000 325,000 NON.TRADTnONAL COSTS Fumlture. Finures & EauiDmGnl 1.9m.000 TOTAL All lt edie Exoosure 34 1.900.000 TOTAL OF CO3T9 16.1€.000 18.1 15.000 19.550.0m 18,790,000 Table 84. Detailed Constructlon and Development Budget for Stage 2, Phases 2 and 3 Projrct Nlrnc COMMENCE PHASE2 COMMENCE P}IASE 3 ilav 20lG Scptember 2016 M.y 2017 l/lav 2017 Srptambcr 2017 Mav 2018 Drcombcr 20tE LandCost S2r.000.000 Prcllm. Budo.t Prslim. BudqetDESCRIPTION THE LAND 4.620.0004,410.000R.rv Land (as % ot tottl) 360.000 n7.000EcsT;FEnd ng-cb'relopment - Buildlns 60.0m 110.000I,1 20,000Ofr-Srte Costs 50.000 20,m0 20,000 20,000 200,000Stripping, G.ading and S rne!!lio!- 1 50.000 250.000 250.0(x)250.000On€itcCosls 300.000 3(n,000 300,000 300,000 300.000 -ffiporarvCots, Stgn6gc, & tand Devcloom€nt 260.000 260.000 260.000 400.000 400.000 400,000Landscaping. lnigtuon LBqlqn'len 460.000 300.000 200.il)o sfl).000 500.000Slre€l Pavcmcnt & Surfacc Pa4<!09 1.1m.mo 840.000lnt r.st for Lirnild Partncrship 500.000Conllnoancv 500,000 1.290.000 2.750.fiO 5.227.ffiO 600.o006,390,000 830,000 1.200.000 2.240.OO0rOTAL THE CONSIRUCIION 6.200.000 14.000.000 28,000,000 :1i1,000,000 7,000,000 '16.000.000 20.000.000 9,800,000Dirod Constnrtion:R,rildi6d 2.000.000 2.000.000 2.s00.000 422.400Oi,lct Consttuctioo = Parkadc 450_000 450.000 450,m0 464_000 564_OO0450,000 564,000 564.000lndirect Construction 364.m0 200.000 200.000 200.000 2s0.000 150.000 150_000 1 50,000 Profcssiooal Fece, Engin.ets E Co.rsufEnts 600.000 600.m0 600,000 600.m0Dcrvelooment Manaoer Fcos 7.014.000 17.250.000 30.650.000 36.750.000 7.714.N0 17.736.400 20.71 4.000 1 1.1 14.000TOTAL THE FIiIA'IICING 270.000 270.000 270,000 270.000 270,000 270.000 270.m0 270,000 TcaiEoor,lnEureniE. Pten Registraton 350.000 350.000 350.000 3so.m0 300.000 3m.000 300,m0 300.000lnter.st & F€o3 on ConstructioQ 19!n 350,000 700.000Prooerw Taxls 620.000 620.000 970.000 620.000 570.000 570.000 1.270.000 570,000TOTAL THE T'ARKETING COSTS 70,000 70,000 70,000 70,000 80,000 80,000 80.000 80.000All M€dia Exgosure 1.000.000 1.300.000 1.400.000 1.000.000 1,200,000Dccoratino Costs 410.000 5'10.000 510.000 610.000 650.000 650_000 650,000 650.000Oo€ratons TOTAL 480,000 1,580,000 1,880,000 2.080,000 730,000 730,000 't.730.000 r,s30.000 35 Tables 8-5 8-6, and 8-7 show the detailed industry impacts of construction expenditures for each of the three phases enumerated above. Each stage of the project is expected to last more lhan 24 months. TI{E BROTERAGE COSTS ln Houss Co.nml$lons 250.000 250.000 250.000 250.000 250.000 250.000 250,@0 250.000 MLS Contributlon to Salel (96%)100.000 100_000 100,000 100,000 100,000 100.000 Admlnistration 4r0.m0 510_000 510,0{n 610,000 650,000 650.000 750.000 750,000 TOTAL 660.000 860.000 860.m0 960.000 gfi).000 1,000,000 I,100.000 1.100.m0 GENERAL & ADIUINIgTRATIVE Offica Stetf E Suooli€s & Facillties 250,000 250.000 250.000 250.000 250.000 250_000 250,000 250.000 TOTAL 250,000 250,000 250,000 2so.000 250,000 250,m0 250.mo 250.000 CONTIN6ENCY Funds for Ovrragos 250.(x)0 250.000 250,000 250,000 250.000 250,000 250.000 250,000 Wananty & ScrMccs TOTAL 250.000 2s0.000 250.000 250.000 250,000 250,000 250.000 250,000 NON.TRAOITIONAL COSTS Fumitu.o, Flxturrs & Equipmenl 300,000 400.000 500,000 300.000 400.000 500.m0 TOTAL 300.000 fio.000 500,000 300,000 400.000 500,000 TOTALOF COETg 15,664,000 21940m0 36550000 44200000 15641000 211364N 289140m 17954000 lndustry group Agriculture, forestry fi shing Mining Utilities Construction Manufacturing Wholesale trade Retail trade Transportation and warehousing lnformatlon Finance and insurance Real estate and rental and leasing Professional, scientific, services Management of companies Administrative and waste mgmt Educationa! services Employment 0.9 0.9 0.5 L42.5 6.7 1.6 23.2 2.5 1.3 2.2 5.5 8.6 0.2 4.6 1.8 Output 189 129 207 L9,426 L,426 338 2,0(x) 32s 348 64L L,756 1,408 50 295 93 Earnings 4L 31 43 6,691 278 100 657 104 77 L47 100 522 27 ttz 35 Table 8-5. !ncrease in Employment, Output, and Earnings, Construction Activity Pleasant Harbor Marina and Golf Resort, Stage 1, All Phases 36 Table 8-5 shows there would be about 233 total new jobs created from construction activity for all phases of Stage 1. Total output would rise about $31.2 million, and household earnings would increase about $9.9 million. Health care and socialassistance Arts, entertainment, and recreation Accommodation Food services and drinking Places Other services Households t2.L 2.3 0.9 7.9 4.7 1.5 7,240 Lt4 83 452 680 0 s49 39 25 139 193 74 907Total233.6 3 lndustry group Agriculture, forestry, fi shing Mining Utilities Construction Manufacturing Wholesale trade Retailtrade Transportation and warehousing lnformation Finance and insurance Real estate and rental and leasing Professional, scientific, services Management of comPanies Administrative and waste mgmt Educational services Health care and social assistance Arts, entertainment, and recreation Accommodation Food services and drinking Places Other services Households Total Employment 2.3 2.3 1.2 352.1 16.5 4.O 57.2 6.3 3.3 5.4 16.3 21.3 0.6 11.3 4.3 30.0 5.8 2.2 19.6 71.7 3.8 Output 468 320 511 4&003 3,523 835 4,941 802 859 1,585 4,34O 3,480 t24 730 229 3,055 282 205 7,717 1,680 0 Earnings 100 76 105 15,509 687 248 1,623 258 191 363 248 1,299 53 277 85 1,356 95 62 344 477 33 577.3 77 Table 8-6. Output and Earnings per New Employee, Construction Activity Pleasant Harbor Marina and Golf Resort, Stage 2, Phase 1 37 Table 8-6 shows there would be about 577 total new jobs created from construction activity for Stage 2, Phase 1. Tota! output would rise about $77.1 million, and household earnings would increase about $24.5 million. Table 8-7 shows there would be about 1,801 total new jobs created from construction activity for Stage 2, Phases 2 and 3. Total output would rise about $240.5 million, and household earnings would increase about $76.4 million. lndustry group Agriculture, forestry, fishing Mining t tilities Construction Manufacturing Wholesale trade Retailtrade Transpo rtation and warehousing lnformation Finance and insurance Real estate and rental and leasing Professionaf , scientific, services Management of comPanles Administratlve and waste mgmt Educational services Health care and social assistance Arts, entertainment, and recreation Accommodation Food services and drinking Places Other services Households Total Employment 7.2 7.0 3.8 1098.6 51.6 L2.3 178.6 19.5 to.2 16.8 s0.7 66.5 1.8 35.1 13.5 93.5 18.1 7.0 61.1 36.4 tL.7 Output 1,450 998 1,594 t4g,76t 10,992 2,606 15,415 2,5O2 2,681 4,945 13,539 10,858 387 2,279 715 9,562 879 640 3,495 5,243 0 Earnings 313 238 328 51,504 2,t45 774 5,064 804 595 1,132 774 4,O21 t64 864 268 4,23O 298 194 1,o72 1,499 104 1801.2 Table 8-7. Output and Earnings per New Employee, Construction Activity, Pleasant Harbor Marina and Golf Resort, Stage 2, Phases 2 and 3 2@,54L 38 9. Economic lmpact of Operations in Stage 1, All Phases The developer has provided the following summary of the ernployment-creating activities in al! phases of Stage 1. STAGE 1: PHASES 1*2-3: EMPLOYMENTCREATION: a) The Forester will layout healthy trees and shrubs that need to be reloceled fol futuro re-planting. b) Heavy Equipment operators for moving materlals on-site, aew€ll as stablishlrB a Gravel Crushing Plant hr the constructlon materlals and roads lncluding dralnage matarialg for the GolICourse. and supplying gravel for an on-aite @ncrete Batch Plant. o) The sile has ernrnense amounts of natural sands available for gralnscreening for the Golf Course, palhways. and the manufacture ofooncrele. d) lnsbllation of a Waste Wbter Reclamathn Plant and the 13 acre Pit linerbr the containment of 120 millon gallons ol Class A recycled waler. e) Rough gradlng br roads and pathways at the Marina Park, and the rehab of the exisling struclures and lhe marlna dock8. f) Proteclion of the Natural and Conssrvataon Eas€ment areag from the regrading and detenllon techniques for preventing waler from leaving the site and while redkeot ing towards lhe Reservolr. g) Constructlon of the Maritime Mllage, the Reunion House and HarborMew House for oocupancy and Relail uses. h) Provlding 4 COGEN unfts for ercrgy for the Lift Stations and Elec{rlcal, as well ag t\laste Heat utilizaUon. The buildings in Stage 1 are expected to include 66 rooms for accommodation and 12,000 square feet of retail space. The average daily rate for the accommodations is expected to be about $100, with an assumption of a 60% occupancy rate, which was the national average in 2011 according to Smith Travel Research. On that basis, annual hotel revenues would be $1.44 million, which would create 21 totaljobs. Using unweighted averages because the tenants are not yet known, retail sates average about $469 per square foot on a national basis, as shown in Table 9-1, but we have reduced this figure to $400 to take into account the rural nature of this resort. Assuming an 80% occupancy rate, which is somewhat below the 2011 figure of 860/o for retail stores nationally, total revenue would be $3.84 million; that would create 26 total jobs. The detailed industry figures are shown in Tables g-2 and g-3. Clothing and accessories ex warehouse Hobbies and crafts Electronics General Merchandise Groceries Home lmprovement Home Furnishings Jewelry ex Tiffany's Pharmacies Shoe stores 331 147 769 548 559 281 243 783 911 354 234 Table 9-1. Retail S=!g: 1"r Square Foot by Selected Categories, Bizminer Survey 39 lndustry group Agriculture, forestry, fishing Mining Utilities Construction Manufacturing Wholesale trade Retail trade Transportation a nd warehousing lnformation Finance and insurance Realestate and rental and ieasing Professio na l, scientifi c, services Management of companies Administrative and waste mtmt Educational services Health care and social assistance Arts, entertainment, and recreation Accomrnodation Food services and drinking places Other services Households Total Employment 0.0 0.0 0,1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.8 0.3 o.2 0.1 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.5 0.1 0.8 o.2 15.7 0.8 0.3 0.1 Output 3 0 34 16 75 11 70 28 37 41, t?t 37 13 39 6 78 t2 L,446 46 46 0 2,l1.o Earnings 21.3 1 0 7 6 5 3 23 13 9 10 7 16 5 74 2 34 4 440 74 13 1 627 Table 9-2. lncrease in Employment, Output, and Earnings, 66 Hotel Rooms lndustry group Agriculture, forestry, fishing Mining Utilities Construction Manufacturing Wholesale trade Retail trade Transportation and warehousing lnformation Finance and insurance Employment 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 21.0 0.4 o.2 0.2 Output 4 0 26 13 26 19 1,817 38 43 60 ings 1 0 6 4 5 6 597 15 10 74 Earn Table 9-3. lncrease in Employment, output, and Earnings, 12,000 Square Feetof Retail Space Real estate and rental and leasing Professional, scientifi c, services Ma nagement of companies Adminlstrative and waste mgmt Educatlonal services Health care and social assistance Arts, entertainment, and recreation Accommodation Food services and drinking Places Other services Households t.t 0.3 0.0 0.5 0.2 0.9 0.2 0.1 0.7 0.3 0.1 26.7 186 37 5 35 8 97 11 6 38 49 0 L4 16 3 13 3 43 3 2 t2 14 1 78LTotal 40 10. Economic lmpact of Operatlng Jobs ln Stage 2, Phase I The developer summary of the operations that will be activated in this stage of the project is given first, followed by the economic irnpact tables for each activity. Stage 2 Phase 1 is the construction and grading for the Golf Course, ae vrell as the Mairr Resort Complex exhibited ae T1. The consbuction for the golf course requires Tree Movers, Foreslers, Heavy Equipment Operalors, and lhe consultants to appove and supervise all aspects ol the development of a World Claes Croll Resort. The Condo-Tel encompasses our largest footprlnt and totals +/- 140,000 s.f. for Patrons and Guests as well as a Restaurant, Lounge, and Bar, including the Gotto and Spa and Health and Wellness Center; a Commercial Kitchen. a Wedding Chapel, and 3 Conference Centers; Managernent Offhes, Retail Sundry Sales; and The Golf Pro€hop. Vehicle Parking for Patrons and Guests is belour grade. The developer has not supplied precise information about the breakdown of the 140,000 square foot Condo-Tel project. Based on material that has been supplied by the developer, we have estimated the following square footage: 24 guest rooms, 18,000 square feet Spa/fitness center, 15,000 square feet Retail space, 20,000 square feet Office administration space, 5,000 square feet Conference centers, 30,000 square feet Wedding chapel, 5,000 square feet Restaurant, 7,000 square feet Common area space, 50,000 square feet (no additionaljobs) The developer has also identified 104 full{ime positions for operations and maintenance of the properties, including the golf course, so those are treated separately. Since most of these jobs will be keeping the golf @urse in shape, we have 41 The employment effects in this section are calculated based on the following metrics: Guest rooms. The 24 rooms are more luxurious accommodations that are expected to have an average daily rate of $200. The same 60% occupancy rate is assumed. Total annual revenues would be $'1.05 million, which would create 15 new jobs. Spa/fitness center. Average revenue, as explained below, is expected to be $180 per square foot, for total revenue of $2.7 million, which would create 89 new jobs. Retail space. The same metrics would apply as described in the previous section: sales of $400 per square foot and an 80% occupancy rate, which would create 44 new jobs. Office administration space. Assume an average of 4 direct jobs per 1,000 square feet, or 20 direct jobs, times the employment multiplier of 1.517, which would be 30 jobs. Conference center space will be rented out, so we use the rental income multiptier. Expected average rental income is $864,000, which would produce about 12 totaljobs. Wedding chapel, no full-time jobs assumed. Restaurant, sales of $550 per square foot for total annual revenue of $3.85 times finat demand multiplier of 21.38, which would be 82 new jobs. Finally, the 104 direct jobs in building and grounds maintenance would be multiplied by the employment multiplier of 1.22, for a total of 127 iobs. Hence there would be an estimated 423 operating jobs from the activities in Stage 2, Phase 1. The detailed industry results are shown in 6 tables given below; Table 10-7 then provides a summary of all operating jobs for Stage 2, Phase 1. lndustry group Agricultu re, forestry, fishi ng Mining Utilities Employment 0.0 0.0 0.1 Output 2 0 25 ings 1 o 5 Earn Table 10-1. Increase in Employment, Output, and Earnings, 24 Luxury Hotels and Guest Rooms not further identified specific jobs related to the operations of the golf course itself. Separate housing will be constructed for these 104 employees, which has already been included in the construction figures. All these people will be employees of the Pleasant Harbor Marina and Golf Resort. Construction Manufacturing Wholesale trade Retailtrade Transportation and warehousing lnformation Finance and insurance Real estate and rental and leasing Professiona l, scientifi c, services Management of companies Adminlstrptive and waste mgmt Educational services Health care and social assistance Arts, entertainment, and recreation Accommodation Food services and drinking Places Other services Households 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.1 o.4 o.2 0.0 0.4 0.1 0.6 0.2 Lt-4 0.6 o.2 0.1 72 18 8 51 2t 27 30 88 27 9 28 4 57 9 1,055 33 34 0 4 4 3 t7 10 6 7 5 72 4 10 2 25 3 32L 10 9 1 Total 15.5 457 42 We next turn to the economic impact of spa operations. According to reports prepared by the International Spa Association (ISPA), there were 14,600 spas in the U.S. in 2007, with tota! revenues of $9.4 billion. There were 111 million visitors to spas last year, indicating that the average visitor spent slightly more than $84 per visit. The total size of all spas in the U.S. was slightly more than 56 million square feet, so revenue averaged $165/square foot. The industry employed a total of 232,700 people, of which 113,100 were full-time, 73,100 were part-time, and 42,500 were contract employees. All these figures are taken from various ISPA press releases and the Executive Summary of their 2007 report. While these figures serve as a useful starting point, in many ways they conceal more than they reveal. The spa industry is quite diverse. First, it can be divided into several segments: day spas, resort spas, health spas, club spas, and destination spas. To the extent that all but the first category provides ovemight accommodations, for purposes of this study we can consider (a) day spas, and (b) all other, which will be called resort spas here. Second, as is usually the case for retail or service businesses, the size varies widely within each category. Many day spas are little more than renamed beauty parlors; others contain full-service treatrnent facilities and contain up to 30,000 square feet of space devoted to spa activities. Similarly, resort spas vary widely in size and function, ranging from bed and breakfasts and small inns where spa activity is incidental, to major accommodations constructed primarily for spa activities. ln some 43 cases, highly priced spas are found in luxury hotels, which offer highly priced and intensive services, but are small. The services offered by most spas cost about $8O/hour. While there are almost 100 different services offered, they can generally be grouped into two major categories, Less intensive services usually take about Yzhour and cost $40; these include nail care, electrolysis, waxing, and baths. At most spas, the average cost for more intensive services such as massages and facials is about $8O/hour. However, at luxury spas, these are more likely to be priced at $120/hour. We take the extra value added into account when determining the overal! revenue estimates, These figures can be used to generate an average figure for revenue per square foot for the spa. According to the ISPA data, the average day spa visitor spends about $60 per visit, which is equivalent to 1 % ol the less intensive services. At resort spas, however, the average visitor spends $180, which consists of 1% of the less intensive and 1 of the more intensive services. ISPA data quoted above indicate that the average amount spent on spa facilities per visitor is equal to $9.4 billion divided by 111 million, or slightly more than $84 per person. Day spas account for 8Oo/o of the visits, according to ISPA. Using the figures in the previous paragraph, we find that the $84 per average spa visit is equal to 0.8 times $60 plus 0.2 times $180. ln most cases, the application of more intensive services requires approximately the same amount of space as the low intensive services. Hence the ratios given above can be used to determine the revenue per square foot at the spa. Based on these ratios, revenue per square foot at day spas would average $159, while revenue per square foot at resort spas would average $190. For this facility, we estimate that sales would average $180 per square foot. When that figure is multiplied by the estimated size of 15,000 square feet, that would generate revenue of about $2.7 million. lndustry group Agriculture, forestry fishing Mining Utilitles Construction Manufacturing Wholesale trade Retailtrade Transportation and warehousing lnformation Employment 0.0 0.0 o.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 1.6 0.4 0.3 5 1 72 28 40 24 139 47 59 ings 1 0 15 9 8 7 45 18 16 Output Earn Table 10-2. lncrease in Employment, Output, and Earnings, 15,000 Square Foot Spa and Fitness Center 44 The retail parameters were discussed in the previous section; these calculations are based on the assumption of an additional 20,000 square feet of retail space in this phase of the project. Finance and insurance Real estate and rental and leasing Professiona l, scientific, services Management of companies Administrative and waste mgmt Educational services Health care and social assistance Arts, entertainment, and recreation Accommodation Food services and drlnking places Other services Households o.4 2.6 o.7 0.1 1.0 0.2 1,5 77.2 0.1 1.1 0.6 o.2 114 372 74 19 69 11 152 2,7L6 L4 61 103 0 28 33 32 8 26 4 67 8s4 4 19 28 2 Total 88.8 128 lndustry group Agriculture, forestry, fishing Mining Utilities Construction Manufacturing Wholesale trade Retailtrade Transportation and warehousing lnformation Finance and insurance Real estate and rental and leasing Professional, scientifi c, services Management of compa nies Administratlve and waste mgmt Educational services Health care and social assistance Arts, entertainment, and recreation Accommodation Food services and drinking places Other services Employment 0.0 0.0 0.1 o.2 o.2 0.1 35.1 0.6 0.3 0.3 1.8 0.5 0.0 0.9 0.3 1.6 0.4 0.1 1.1 0.6 3,029 64 71 100 310 62 10 58 t4 t62 18 10 63 82 10 994 26 L7 23 23 27 4 22 5 7t 6 3 19 23 1 0 9 7 9 o utput 7 1 44 21 43 32 Table 10-3. lncrease in Employment, output, and Earnings,20,000 Square Feetof Additional Retail Space Earnings 45 Households 0.2 0 2 Total 44.4 1,3O2 Table 10-4 shows average and recommended space for various types of offfce jobs, as prepared by the GSA. We use the figure of 250 square feet per person, very close to, but slightly higher than, the average figure of 239 square feet shown in this table. Slnce there are an estimated 5,000 square feet, there would be 20 direct office ad m inistration em Ployees. Table {0-4. Summary Office Space Use lnsurance comPan lnsurance company - actual 215 usable square feet per Consulting company - actual 320 qsable square feet per person Software enginee ring firm - actual 220 usable square feet per person Telecommunications company I - actual w/hoteling LSZ-174 usable square feet per person Telecommunications company ll - actual 325 usable square feet per person Energy firm - actual "best i er peJsoll Range of benchmark averages 152 to 321 l1qble square feet per person Mid-polnt of range 238 usable square feet per person "Average" ofthe benchmark aretages 2 Recommended Governmentwide standard 200 re feet per person Output 4 0 23 t2 26 19 131 33 61 95 227 100 10 1,953 lndustry Sroup Agricultu re, forestry, fi shi ng Mining Utilities Construction Manufacturing Wholesale trade Retail trade Tra nsportation and warehousing lnformation Finance and insurance Real estate and rental and leasing Professiona l, scie ntifi c, services Management of comPanies Administrative and waste mgmt L 0 5 4 5 6 43 72 t4 22 13 42 4 915 EarningsEmployment 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 1.5 0.3 0.2 0.3 1.0 0.9 0.0 2t.t Table 10-5. lncrease in Employment, Output. and Earnings,5,000 Square Feetof Office Admi nistration Space 46 The figures for the conference center are based on rental income only, since the space will presumably be rented out to groups who are not affiliated with the resort. Rental rates for conference centers vary widely by location, but a review of 8 websites as of April 19, 2O'12 tor conference centers not in major metropolitan areas shows a cluster of rates around $1.60 per person per day, and about 10 square feet per person. Hence 30,000 square feet of conference room space would be able to hold 3,000 people, or about $4,800 per day. We estimate a 50o/o occupancy rate, or 180 days per year, which would equal rental revenue of $864,000. Educational services Health care and social assistance Arts, entertainment, and recreation Accommodation Food services and drinking Places Other services Households o.2 1.5 0.5 0.2 1.4 0.5 0.2 30.3 11 151 2L t4 82 74 0 4 67 7 4 25 2L 2 278Total lndustry group Agriculture, forestry, fishing Mining Utilities Construction Manufacturing Wholesale trade Retailtrade Transportation and warehousing lnformation Finance and insurance Real estate and rental and leasing Professional, scientific, services Management of comPanies Administrative and waste mgmt Educational services Health care and social assistance Arts, entertainment, and recreation Accommodation Food services and drinking Places 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 o,2 0.0 0.0 0.1 10.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 0.0 o.2 0.1 0.0 o.2 utput 1 0 13 13 5 3 20 4 7 24 925 15 1 24 2 22 3 2 10 Employment 0 0 3 4 L 1 7 1 1 5 6 1 8 7 1 1 3 o Earnings 723 10 Table 10-6. lncrease in Employment, Output, and Earnings,30,000 Square Feetof Conference Room Space, Rental lncome Only 47 The average sales per square foot for major chain restaurants is taken from figures provided by Retail Traffic Magazine at: http://retailtrafficmao,com/rnaq/retail settino menu/ and reproduced below as Table 10-7. That figure is $550 per square foot. Table 10-7. Sales Foot for M Chains Other services Households 0.1 0,0 13 3 00 Total 11.6 180 Chain Cheesecake Factory P.F. Chang's Cracker Barrel Olive Garden Red Lobster Outback Steakhouse MacaroniGrill Carraba's Joe's Crab Shack Chili's California Pizza Kitchen Red Robin O'Charley's Longhorn Steakhouse Applebee's Ruby Tuesday Units 76 90 4U 532 680 66s 198 133 138 7tt 135 110 206 180 372 449 Average Sq. Ft. 11,(X)O 6,700 10,000 8,000 6,600 6,20O 7,100 6,550 8,000 5,40O 5,000 5,400 6,750 5,100 4,950 5,100 Seats 340 275 L87 235 190 247 26s 255 215 2LO 150 200 255 190 185 205 (Smillions) Su Ss.zo s4.10 Sg.go Sr.zo Sg.4o Sg.so 53.r0 $s.ro Sg sz.go Sz.go S2.80 sz.oo $2.2O 5z.zo 60 s1,000 Sesr Sqro Sasg Ssor 5s48 s45s s466 Ssss sss6 Ssao s4s3 541s Sslo s4s4 5431 AnnualSales lndustry group Agriculture, forestry, fishing Mining Utilities Construction Manufacturing Wholesale trade 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.6 0.3 ings 4 0 16 10 23 18 15 1 78 30 129 50 Employment Output Earn Table 10-8. lncrease in Employment, Output, and Earnings, 7,000 Square Feet of Restaurant Space Retail trade Transportation a nd wa rehousing lnformation Finance and insurance Real estate and rental and leasing Professional, scientific, se rvices Management of comPanies Administrative and waste mgmt Educational services Health care and social assistance Arts, entertainment, and recreation Accommodation Food services and drinking Places Other services Households Total 2.3 0.8 0.4 0.4 2.3 o.7 o.2 0.9 0.3 2.0 0.6 o.2 68.9 0.8 0.3 82.3 202 85 83 105 402 83 33 53 15 208 26 18 3,942 116 0 66 39 20 25 30 35 13 23 6 92 9 5 1,204 33 2 2 48 The developer has stated that it will build housing tor 104 maintenance workers. Most of those will be employed at the golf course and marina, so employment for those two sectors are not counted separately in this report. All maintenance workers will be employees of the resort. utput 15 7 49 29 79 59 339 67 180 794 548 L79 19 Industry group Agriculture, forestry, fi shing Mining Utilities Construction Manufacturing Wholesale trade Retai! trade Transportation and warehousing lnformation Finance and insurance Real estate and rental and leasing Professiona l, scientifi c, services Management of comPanies Adrninistrative and waste mgmt Educational services Health care and social assistance 0.1 0.0 0.1 o.2 0.4 0.3 3.9 0.6 0.6 o.7 2.7 1.5 0.1 106.3 0.5 3.3 3 o 10 10 L7 18 111 23 39 45 39 78 8 1,959 11 147 oEmployment Earnings 5,551 30 333 Table 10-9. lncrease in Employment, Output, and Earnings, 104 Direct Building and Grounds Maintenance Employees 49 Finally, Table 10-10 shows the economic impact of all of the jobs stemming from operations opened during Stage 1, Phase 1. Arts, entertainment, and recreation Accommodation Food services and drinking Places Other services Households o.7 0.3 2.4 1.6 0.4 37 27 138 239 0 72 8 42 67 4 lndustry group Agrlcuhu re, forestry, fishing Mining Utilities Construction Manufacturing Wholesale trade Retailtrade Transportation and warehousing lnformation Finance and insurance Real estate and rental and leasing Professional, scientific, services Management of companies Administrative and waste mgmt Educational services Health care and social assistance Arts, entertainment, and recreation Accommodation Food services and drinking Places Other services Households Total Employment 0.3 0.0 o.7 1.1 L.7 1.0 45.3 2.9 2.O 2.3 20.8 4.6 0.5 131.0 L.7 10.6 79.6 12.3 75.7 4.4 1.3 0.0 399.9 Output 49 3 toz 744 341 2U 3,910 320 497 661 2,873 540 101 7,746 88 L,OU 2,829 1,139 4,329 661 0 0 27,824 Earnings 11 0 63 49 66 51 L,294 728 115 155 266 23L 42 2,972 33 480 891 346 L,322 184 t2 0 8,714 Table 10-10. lncrease in Employment, Output, and Earnings, Al! Operations in Sta e 2, Phase 1 50 11. Economic lmpact of Operating Jobs in Stage 2, Phases 2 and 3 For this final stage of the project, the developer has stated that: Stage 2 Phases 2 and 3 encompasses_the balance of lhe structures, wherethe multi-levelTERRACE RESORT buiEings are designed for Shorl Term Stays ( epproxlmately 545 TERRACE RESORTS); and the Sea-View Villas ahd Alpine Vistas are deslgned lo accommodate lhose wishing to enjoy Longer Stays, and most likely second homet.(approximately 293 VILLAS and VISTAS), The additional employment from operations in these final stages of the project are confined to the jobs created from the short-term and long-term stays as defined above. As also noted, some of the villas will be second homes, in which case no additionaljobs r,rrould be created from an EB-S perspective. Without further information, then, we have not included any of the Sea-View and Alpine Vistas in our EB-S job count. The number of new jobs created by the operation of the terrace resort buildings, designed for short-term stays, are based on the same metrics as discussed above: an average daily rate of $100 and an occupancy rate of 60%. On this basis, annual revenues for 545 units would be $11.93 million, which would create 176 new jobs. The detailed industry results are given in Table 11-1. lndustry Sroup Agriculture, forestry fishing Mining Utilities Construction Manufacturing Wholesale trade Retail trade Tra nsportation and warehousing lnformation Finance and insurance Real estate and rental and leasing Professional, scientific, services Management of com panies Administrative and waste mgmt Educational services Health care and social assistance Arts, entertainment, and recreation Accommodation Food services and drinking Places Other services 0.2 0.0 o.7 1.0 1.0 o.4 6.7 2.3 1.4 t.2 4.5 2.6 0.5 4.8 0.9 6.3 1.9 Output 26 2 285 13s 26 94 581 234 303 335 1,003 309 104 32t 48 645 99 11,982 379 383 Earnings 5 0 60 47 4t 29 191 109 73 79 61 L34 43 115 18 285 32 3,642 116 L07 Employment 6.5 2.5 129.9 Table 11-1. lncrease in Employment, Output, and Earnings for 545 Short-Term Stay Units 51 Households Total 0.8 776.2 0 7 t7 77 12. Summary Statistics by Phase Table 12-1 shows the combined impacts of the construction expenditures in Stage 1 plus the operations from the hotel rooms and retail space at the Pleasant Harbor Marina and Golf Resort. The entries in each cell are simply the summation of these tables in sections (8) and (9) and are presented here for ease of exposition. Once again, figures for output and eamings are in thousands of dollars. Table 12-1 shows there would be about 281 new jobs created from the construction of Stage 1 and the operation of the hotel rooms and retail space included in that phase of the project. Total output would rise about $35.8 million, and household lndustry group Agriculture, forestry, fi shing Mining Utilities Construction Manufacturing Wholesale trade Retail trade Transportation a nd warehousing lnformation Finance and insurance Real estate and rental and leasing Professiona l, scientific, services Management of companies Administrative and waste mgmt Educational services Health care and socialassistance Arts, entertainment, and recreation Accommodation Food services and drinking Places Other services Households Total Employment 1.0 0.9 0.6 742.7 7.O t.7 45.0 3.2 1.7 2.5 8.2 9.3 0.3 5.7 2.O 13.8 2.8 16.6 9,4 5.4 L,7 281.5 Output 196 130 267 19,455 L,477 368 3,996 391 427 742 2,063 1,483 69 369 to7 1,415 135 1,535 536 776 0 Earnings 42 31 55 6,591 288 110 !,277 133 96 t70 722 554 29 139 40 626 46 466 165 220 15 35,830 11,315 Table 12-1. lncrease in Employment, Output, and Earnings, Construction and rations of the Pleasant Harbor Marina and Golf Resort, Stage 1, All Phasesope 52 earnings would increase about $11.3 million. Table 12-2 shows that output per new employee for all jobs would be about $127,300, and average annual earnings would be about $40,200. Table 12-3 shows the combined impacts of construction of Stage 2, Phase 1, and the operating jobs from the hotel, retail space, spa and fitness center, office administration space, rental of the conference room space, restaurants, and building and maintenance personnel in this stage of the project at the Pleasant Harbor Marina and Golf Resort. The entries in each cell are simply the summation of these tables in the sections (8) and (10). lndustry grouP Agriculture, forestry, fishing Mining Utilitaes Constructaon Manufacturing Wholesale trade Retailtrade Transportation and warehousing lnformation Finance and insurance Real estate and rental and leasing Professiona l, scientifl c, services Management of comPanies Administrative and waste mgmt Educational services Health care and socialassistance Arts, entertainment, and recreation Accommodation Food services and drinking Places Other services Households Total Employment 1.0 0.9 0.5 142.7 7.O 1.7 45.0 3.2 1.7 2.5 8.2 9.3 0.3 5.7 2.0 13.8 2.8 16.6 9.4 5.4 1.7 OutpuVEmpl 199.4 141.8 425.O 136.3 2L2.5 2LL.4 86.3 123.9 253.0 294.s 251.9 150.0 210.9 65.2 52.9 toz.2 48.8 92.2 57.7 14/.5 0.0 Earnings/Empl 42.8 33.7 87.8 46.9 41.5 62.9 28.4 42.L 57.2 67.5 14.8 59.8 89.0 24.5 19.8 45.2 16,5 28.0 77.6 41.0 8.9 281.5 727.3 40.2 Table 12-2. Output and Earnings Per New Worker, Construction and Operations of the Pleasant Harbor Marina and Golf Resort, Stage 1, All Phases lndustry group Agriculture, forestry, f ishing Mining Utilities t!2 77 168 2.6 2.3 1.9 Output 5L7 323 813 Employment Earnings Table 12'3. lncrease in Employment, Output, and Earnings, Construction and Operations of the Pleasant Harbor Marina and Golf Resort, Sta ge 2, Phase 1 Construction Manufacturing Wholesale trade Retailtrade Transportation and warehousing lnformation Finance and insurance Real estate and rental and leasing Professional, scientifi c, se rvices Management of comPanies Administrative and waste mgmt Educational services Health care and socialassistance Arts, entertainment, and recreation Accommodation Food services and drinking Places Other services Households Total 353.2 18.2 4.9 102.5 9.2 5.3 7.7 37.1, 25.9 1.1 742.3 6.0 40.6 85.4 14.6 9s.3 16.1 5.1 48,747 3,964 1,039 9,951 L,122 L,357 2,246 7,213 4,O20 226 8,477 377 4,749 3,111 1,345 5,447 2,341 0 15,559 754 309 2,907 385 306 518 514 1,520 94 3,249 118 1,935 987 408 1,556 662 45 977.2 53 Table 12-3 shows there would be about 977 new jobs created from the construction and operation of the Stage 2, Phase 1 of the project. Total output would rise about $104.9 million, and household earnings would increase about $33.2 million. Table 12-4 shows that output per new employee for all jobs would be about $107,400, and average annua! earnings would be about $34,000. lndustry group Agricu lture, fo restry, fish i ng Mining Utilities Construction Manufacturing Wholesale trade Retail trade Transportation and warehousing lnformation Finance and insurance Real estate and rental and leasing Professiona l, scientifi c, services Employment 2.6 2.3 1.9 353.2 18.2 4.9 102.5 9.2 5.3 7.7 37.1 25.9 L,L Output/Empl 195.8 741.6 425.0 136.3 211.8 2t1.4 85.3 722.3 255.5 291.8 194.7 155.1 210.8 Earnings/Empl 42.2 33.7 87.9 46.9 41.3 62.9 28.4 42.1 57.7 67.3 13.9 58.6 88.3Management of Table f 2-4. Output and Earnings Per New Worker, Gonstruction and Operations of the Pleasant Harbor Marina and Golf Resort, Stage 2, Phase 1 54 Table 12-5 shows the combined impacts of construction of Stage 2, Phase 2 and 3, and the operating jobs from the additional hotel rooms opened in this stage of the project at the Pleasant Harbor Marina and Golf Resort. The entries in each cell are simply the summation of these tables in the sections (8) and (11). Administrative and waste mgmt Educational services Health care and social assistance Arts, entertainment, and recreation Accommodation Food services and drinking Places Other services Households t42.3 5.0 40.5 85.4 14.6 9s.3 16.1 5.1 59.6 52.9 LO2.2 36.4 92.1 57.2 145.7 0.0 22.8 19.7 45.2 11.6 28.0 77.5 4t.2 8.9 Total 1o7.4 34.0 lndustry grouP Agriculture, fo restry, fishing Mining Utilities Construction Manufacturing Wholesale trade Retailtrade Transportation and warehousing lnformation Finance and insurance Real estate and rentaland leasing Professiona l, scie ntifi c, services Management of comPa nies Administratlve and waste mgmt Educational services Health care and socialassistance Arts, entertainment, and recreation Accommodation Food services and drinking Places Other services Households Total Employment 7.4 7.7 4.4 1099.6 52.6 12.8 185.3 21.8 11.6 17.9 55.2 69.1 2.3 39.9 14.4 99.8 20.0 136,9 67.7 39.0 L2.5 Output 1,486 1,000 L,g7g 149,995 11,198 2,7OL 15,996 2,736 2,984 5,281 L4,542 71,167 49L 2,600 763 LO,207 978 L2,623 3,855 5,626 0 Earnings 319 238 387 51,551 2,195 803 5,255 913 569 l,2l! 835 4,155 207 978 286 4,515 330 3,836 1,199 1,597 111 1977.4 81,559 Table 12-5. lncrease in Employment, Output, and Earnings, Construction and Operations of the Pleasant Harbor Marina and Golf Resort, Stage 2, Phase 2 and 3 977.2 258,019 Hlfi{+itr#,,. 2200 Sixth Avenue, Suite 707 Seattle, WA 98121 www.eaest.com Apri! 6,2015 GENERAL GUIDE FOR HOW TO PREPARE FINAL SEIS COMMENT RESPONSES Pleasant Harbor Final SEIS Following is a general guide for how to prepare responses to comments on the Pleasant Harbor Draft SEIS. All comment letters are numbered for ease of reference, and each individual comment in each of the letters has been numbered and assigned to a team member to craft a response. For some comments, multiple team members have been identified to respond to comments - in such cases, the first person/consultant identified is assumed to take the lead in responding to the comment. lf copies of Draft SEIS Sections or EIS Appendices are needed in order to respond to comments, please contact Kristy Hollinger at EA Engineering (khollinqer@eaest.com) 1. Determine if a response to the comment is necessary. For example, if a comment is a statement of like/dislike of a project or preference for one alternative over another, "your comment is acknowledged for the record" is a sufficient response. 2. Determine if the Draft SEIS (Chapter or Technical Appendix) contains information or analvsis that adequatelv responds to the comment. lf so, refer to the page(s)/section(s) of the text and technical analysis where the information/analysis is presented and briefly summarize. For example, "As described on page 3-5 of the DEIS, the height of the proposed building is within the 125-foot maximum height allowed by COR zoning." 3. lf the comment points out an error. omission or necessary clarification to the DEIS that is valid, acknowledge the error/omission/clarification, correct or amend the appropriate section of the Draft SEIS, and refer to the Section of the Final SEIS where this information has been corrected. For the Final SE/S we will reprint the Draft, and highlight or underline new text that is added to show what has changed between the Draft and the Final. 4. When there are several comments on the same topic, rather than providing a similar response to each comment that shares the theme, provide a more complete response, and then refer to this response in subsequent comments (be careful to address all aspects of each comment, though). For example, "See the response to Comment 4 in Letter 10 regarding the adequacy of the proposed water quality treatment facilities." Hlili#ffffi,,. 2200 Sixth Avenue, Suite 707 Seattle, WA 98121 www.eaest.com 5. When updated information/analvsis has been included in the Final SEIS, summarize the information/analysis contained in a separate chapter of the Final SEIS and, as appropriate, hit the high points in the responses to comments and direct the commentor to this chapter and the appropriate technical appendices for the complete response to their comment.