HomeMy WebLinkAbout030223 UPDATED_ Washington state will need more than one million homes in the next 20 years________________________________
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More than half of the homes are needed for residents at the lowest income levels
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News Release
march 2, 2023
Infographic updated to read "Area Median income" rather than Area Medium Income.
Washington state will need more than 1 million homes in next 20 years
More than half of the homes are needed for residents at the lowest income levels
OLYMPIA, WA --- The Washington State Department of Commerce today released its final housing needs projections, which show the state needs to add 1.1 million homes over the next 20 years,
and more than half of them need to be affordable for residents at the lowest income levels. Based on census data and the Office of Financial Management’s population projections <https://lnks.gd/l/ey
JhbGciOiJIUzI1NiJ9.eyJidWxsZXRpbl9saW5rX2lkIjoxMDEsInVyaSI6ImJwMjpjbGljayIsImJ1bGxldGluX2lkIjoiMjAyMzAzMDIuNzI1OTA0MzEiLCJ1cmwiOiJodHRwczovL29mbS53YS5nb3Yvd2FzaGluZ3Rvbi1kYXRhLXJlc2VhcmNoL3BvcHVsYXRp
b24tZGVtb2dyYXBoaWNzL3BvcHVsYXRpb24tZm9yZWNhc3RzLWFuZC1wcm9qZWN0aW9ucyJ9.HGbIvQPS0FAVT0urOl1zv331CijHmVPkCUbaKiDIOTo/s/451240783/br/155482681022-l> , these final housing projections
<https://lnks.gd/l/eyJhbGciOiJIUzI1NiJ9.eyJidWxsZXRpbl9saW5rX2lkIjoxMDIsInVyaSI6ImJwMjpjbGljayIsImJ1bGxldGluX2lkIjoiMjAyMzAzMDIuNzI1OTA0MzEiLCJ1cmwiOiJodHRwczovL2RlcHRvZmNvbW1lcmNlLmFwcC5ib3guY29tL3
MvNno2YmpibmJhdDgzd2lrcHAyM3lpdWt0dXRtMHo0enYifQ.-7qC4PEHtehmPnzvYZ_rAPw8jCy4tADOBe0rCtzpxig/s/451240783/br/155482681022-l> (.pdf) illustrate that Washington needs more than 50,000
new units annually to keep pace with expected population growth.
<https://content.govdelivery.com/attachments/fancy_images/WADOC/2023/03/7237845/housingneeds-graphic_original.png>
In 2021, the Growth Management Act (GMA) framework that required the fastest growing counties and cities to plan for a certain number of housing units based on projected population growth
for the next 20 years was amended to also incorporate income levels. The update to the state’s planning framework requires communities to focus on affordability, a standard that housing
and utilities should cost no more than 30% of household income. Recent federal data <https://lnks.gd/l/eyJhbGciOiJIUzI1NiJ9.eyJidWxsZXRpbl9saW5rX2lkIjoxMDMsInVyaSI6ImJwMjpjbGljayIsImJ1bGxldGluX2lkIj
oiMjAyMzAzMDIuNzI1OTA0MzEiLCJ1cmwiOiJodHRwczovL3d3dy5odWR1c2VyLmdvdi9wb3J0YWwvZGF0YXNldHMvY3AuaHRtbCJ9.wc1EuqHClRLEN5EPL3vlb4oQf1EaMkrNo32IvJKoaQI/s/451240783/br/155482681022-l> suggests
approximately 30% of Washingtonians are cost-burdened - paying more than that 30% for housing.
“Based on the large number of housing needs at the lower income bands, many communities will need to change the way they plan for housing and plan for more apartments, condominiums,
moderate density housing such as middle housing, and accessory dwelling units,” said Dave Andersen, managing director of the Growth Management Services unit. “Planning for housing in
the next 20 years will require an inclusive and equity-driven approach if we are to meet the housing needs for all the residents at all income levels.”
Planning to help prevent and address homelessness
Communities must plan for housing needs at all incomes, including emergency housing and permanent supportive housing (subsidized housing with support services) for people at risk of
or experiencing homelessness. The final housing numbers estimate the need for approximately 91,360 units of emergency housing by 2044 to ensure that those with unstable housing situations
have a safety net, such as those in-between jobs who cannot afford housing and young people exiting the foster care system.
“We used census and other best available data sources to identify existing housing, household incomes and household sizes, as well as best available homeless data and information about
housing risk factors to develop a model to identify the housing that will be needed over the 20-year planning period.” said Tedd Kelleher, housing policy director. “Every community
in the state is experiencing housing pressures and needs to plan for enough housing so that everyone can live inside. This housing will require significant local, state and federal
investments to meet our state’s future housing needs, because it is difficult for the private market to produce housing for the lowest income brackets.”
Next steps
Most communities will be updating their comprehensive plans and regulations over the next few years. Counties may choose a higher or lower population target from the Office of Financial
Management range and then will use Commerce’s new Housing for All Planning Tool (HAPT) <https://lnks.gd/l/eyJhbGciOiJIUzI1NiJ9.eyJidWxsZXRpbl9saW5rX2lkIjoxMDQsInVyaSI6ImJwMjpjbGljayIsImJ1bGxldGluX2l
kIjoiMjAyMzAzMDIuNzI1OTA0MzEiLCJ1cmwiOiJodHRwczovL2RlcHRvZmNvbW1lcmNlLmFwcC5ib3guY29tL3MvNDhvOGZ6ZWR6eG5oNjN4dGg2YW9maTJqYzJucGNqb2EifQ.59LhLvIHYhkYK3BYZqHCO2xbH-q49h5xzbD2d2QgEYA/s/451240783/br/1554
82681022-l> (.xlsx) to identify how much housing in each income bracket is needed. Counties, cities and towns must work together to decide how to plan for and accommodate housing to
meet the needs of each income bracket, and ensure enough emergency housing can be sited as well. Learn more on the Commerce webpage Updating GMA Housing Elements <https://lnks.gd/l/eyJhbGciOiJIUzI1
NiJ9.eyJidWxsZXRpbl9saW5rX2lkIjoxMDUsInVyaSI6ImJwMjpjbGljayIsImJ1bGxldGluX2lkIjoiMjAyMzAzMDIuNzI1OTA0MzEiLCJ1cmwiOiJodHRwczovL3d3dy5jb21tZXJjZS53YS5nb3Yvc2VydmluZy1jb21tdW5pdGllcy9ncm93dGgtbWFuYWdlbW
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.
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<https://links.govdelivery.com/track?enid=ZWFzPTEmYnVsbGV0aW5yZWNpcGllbnRpZD0xNTU0ODI2ODEwMjItbCZzdWJzY3JpYmVyaWQ9NDUxMjQwNzgzJm1zaWQ9JmF1aWQ9Jm1haWxpbmdpZD0yMDIzMDMwMi43MjU5MDQzMSZtZXNzYWdlaWQ9TURC
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mZmw9Jm12aWQ9JmV4dHJhPSYmJg==>
, which show the state needs to add 1.1 million homes over the next 20 years, and more than half of them need to be affordable for residents at the lowest income levels. Based on census
data and the Office of Financial Management’s population projections <https://lnks.gd/l/eyJhbGciOiJIUzI1NiJ9.eyJidWxsZXRpbl9saW5rX2lkIjoxMDEsInVyaSI6ImJwMjpjbGljayIsImJ1bGxldGluX2lkIjoiMjAyMzAzMDIuN
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aKiDIOTo/s/451240783/br/155482681022-l> , these final housing projections <https://lnks.gd/l/eyJhbGciOiJIUzI1NiJ9.eyJidWxsZXRpbl9saW5rX2lkIjoxMDIsInVyaSI6ImJwMjpjbGljayIsImJ1bGxldGluX2lkIjoiMjAyMzAzM
DIuNzI1OTA0MzEiLCJ1cmwiOiJodHRwczovL2RlcHRvZmNvbW1lcmNlLmFwcC5ib3guY29tL3MvNno2YmpibmJhdDgzd2lrcHAyM3lpdWt0dXRtMHo0enYifQ.-7qC4PEHtehmPnzvYZ_rAPw8jCy4tADOBe0rCtzpxig/s/451240783/br/155482681022-l>
(.pdf) illustrate that Washington needs more than 50,000 new units annually to keep pace with expected population growth.
<https://content.govdelivery.com/attachments/fancy_images/WADOC/2023/03/7237845/housingneeds-graphic_original.png>
In 2021, the Growth Management Act (GMA) framework that required the fastest growing counties and cities to plan for a certain number of housing units based on projected population growth
for the next 20 years was amended to also incorporate income levels. The update to the state’s planning framework requires communities to focus on affordability, a standard that housing
and utilities should cost no more than 30% of household income. Recent federal data <https://lnks.gd/l/eyJhbGciOiJIUzI1NiJ9.eyJidWxsZXRpbl9saW5rX2lkIjoxMDMsInVyaSI6ImJwMjpjbGljayIsImJ1bGxldGluX2lkIj
oiMjAyMzAzMDIuNzI1OTA0MzEiLCJ1cmwiOiJodHRwczovL3d3dy5odWR1c2VyLmdvdi9wb3J0YWwvZGF0YXNldHMvY3AuaHRtbCJ9.wc1EuqHClRLEN5EPL3vlb4oQf1EaMkrNo32IvJKoaQI/s/451240783/br/155482681022-l> suggests
approximately 30% of Washingtonians are cost-burdened - paying more than that 30% for housing.
“Based on the large number of housing needs at the lower income bands, many communities will need to change the way they plan for housing and plan for more apartments, condominiums,
moderate density housing such as middle housing, and accessory dwelling units,” said Dave Andersen, managing director of the Growth Management Services unit. “Planning for housing in
the next 20 years will require an inclusive and equity-driven approach if we are to meet the housing needs for all the residents at all income levels.”
Planning to help prevent and address homelessness
Communities must plan for housing needs at all incomes, including emergency housing and permanent supportive housing (subsidized housing with support services) for people at risk of
or experiencing homelessness. The final housing numbers estimate the need for approximately 91,360 units of emergency housing by 2044 to ensure that those with unstable housing situations
have a safety net, such as those in-between jobs who cannot afford housing and young people exiting the foster care system.
“We used census and other best available data sources to identify existing housing, household incomes and household sizes, as well as best available homeless data and information about
housing risk factors to develop a model to identify the housing that will be needed over the 20-year planning period.” said Tedd Kelleher, housing policy director. “Every community
in the state is experiencing housing pressures and needs to plan for enough housing so that everyone can live inside. This housing will require significant local, state and federal
investments to meet our state’s future housing needs, because it is difficult for the private market to produce housing for the lowest income brackets.”
Next steps
Most communities will be updating their comprehensive plans and regulations over the next few years. Counties may choose a higher or lower population target from the Office of Financial
Management range and then will use Commerce’s new Housing for All Planning Tool (HAPT) <https://lnks.gd/l/eyJhbGciOiJIUzI1NiJ9.eyJidWxsZXRpbl9saW5rX2lkIjoxMDQsInVyaSI6ImJwMjpjbGljayIsImJ1bGxldGluX2l
kIjoiMjAyMzAzMDIuNzI1OTA0MzEiLCJ1cmwiOiJodHRwczovL2RlcHRvZmNvbW1lcmNlLmFwcC5ib3guY29tL3MvNDhvOGZ6ZWR6eG5oNjN4dGg2YW9maTJqYzJucGNqb2EifQ.59LhLvIHYhkYK3BYZqHCO2xbH-q49h5xzbD2d2QgEYA/s/451240783/br/1554
82681022-l> (.xlsx) to identify how much housing in each income bracket is needed. Counties, cities and towns must work together to decide how to plan for and accommodate housing to
meet the needs of each income bracket, and ensure enough emergency housing can be sited as well. Learn more on the Commerce webpage Updating GMA Housing Elements <https://lnks.gd/l/eyJhbGciOiJIUzI1
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